Paul Booth
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.39). Rides mostly for Dean Ivory — 51% of rides in the window.
The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.40 and −68.25 to a £1 stake over 133 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dean Ivory supplies 51% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (1.4%, A/E 0.23). The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (8.6%, n=35). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 59 rides (0% strike, −59.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 136 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 136 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 September 2011 to 17 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Paul Booth's strike rate?
- Paul Booth has won 4 of 136 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Paul Booth do best at?
- Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 36 rides (2.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Paul Booth ride most for?
- Dean Ivory, with 70 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.4%).
- What is Paul Booth's Fair A/E?
- 0.39, from 135 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.