What is Roger Teal's strike rate?

Roger Teal has won 122 of 1,215 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roger Teal do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Roger Teal?

Jack Mitchell, with 100 runners since 2022 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (13%).

Is Roger Teal in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Roger Teal's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,208 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roger Teal

1,215 runners in the last 5 seasons · 124 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.4% of 251 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

122–1,215

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=1,215

354 (29%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,208 · 0.83 incl. margin

−186.13

£1 level stake

n=1,215 at SP · −15.3%

£2.39m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,215 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 32% when favourite Jack Mitchell: 13% from 100 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (23.8%, n=42), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.82). Jack Mitchell rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13% vs 10%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (15.7%, n=102) and off a 8-14-day break (15.3%, n=144). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.4% over 72 runners, 8.6pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King's Stand Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2021, £198,485). The stable star of the record: Alcazan (GB) — 11 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−1.3

n=206 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −35.93

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.8%+1.8

n=17 · A/E 1.92 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

8.6%−1.4

n=70 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +66.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.5%−3.5

n=46 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −30.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.0

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

When favourite

32%

n=103 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −7.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−1.8

n=340 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −143.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−2.9

n=42 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −29.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chelmsford City (AW) 23.8% vs 10% · n=42

Off a break of 180+ days 1.4% vs 10% · n=72

With Jim Crowley 18.8% vs 10% · n=32

With Jason Watson 18.2% vs 10% · n=33

On Good to Soft going 15.7% vs 10% · n=102

Off a 8-14-day break 15.3% vs 10% · n=144

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,149 117 10.2% −169.38

Hurdle 51 3 5.9% −19.25

Chase 12 2 16.7% +5.50

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 522 57 10.9% −69.64

Good 255 19 7.5% −124.47

Good to Firm 208 15 7.2% −13.57

Good to Soft 102 16 15.7% +24.58

Soft 87 12 13.8% +28.25

Heavy 35 3 8.6% −25.28

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 192 17 8.9% +27.70

Lingfield (AW) 147 16 10.9% −43.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 109 12 11% −53.17

Windsor 78 7 9% −42.98

Newbury 73 4 5.5% −30.00

Bath 58 6 10.3% +7.83

Ascot 57 5 8.8% +0.00

Goodwood 49 6 12.2% −5.00

Salisbury 45 5 11.1% −4.62

Chelmsford City (AW) 42 10 23.8% +7.21

Sandown 36 6 16.7% −7.05

Lingfield 31 3 9.7% −16.50

Southwell (AW) 30 2 6.7% −6.38

Chepstow 29 1 3.4% −25.25

Newmarket 26 0 0% −26.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 422 42 10% −151.75

Class 4 282 22 7.8% −85.27

Class 6 230 30 13% +37.84

Class 2 122 12 9.8% +21.50

Class 3 117 13 11.1% +20.80

Class 1 42 3 7.1% −29.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 33 26% 0.93 −31.02

2nd–3rd fav 279 47 16.8% 1.07 −36.61

4th–6th fav 420 26 6.2% 0.78 −125.00

7th+ in betting 389 16 4.1% 1.12 +6.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Alcazan (GB) 46 7 17 3 Jul 25

Civil Law (IRE)from Brian Ellison 37 5 9 2 Feb 26

Swiss Pride (IRE)from Richard Hughes 37 3 11 31 Aug 24

Whenthedealinsdone (GB) 36 4 11 18 May 26

Rosario (IRE) 29 3 10 3 Oct 26

Chipstead (GB) 29 5 9 13 Sep 25

Dakota Power (GB) 28 2 8 15 Oct 26

Distant Rumble (GB) 26 4 10 29 Sep 26

Gert Lush (IRE) 24 2 11 13 Sep 26

Marion's Boy (IRE)then Damien Wingrove 24 2 6 20 Jun 24

Dancing Gemini (IRE) 23 4 8 17 Oct 26

Ellexis (IRE) 22 3 5 12 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 124 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

157128995141471013

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Mitchell

8% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Mitchell 100 13 13% −10.17

Lewis Edmunds 93 12 12.9% −13.92

Joe Leavy 76 7 9.2% −35.42

George Rooke 54 6 11.1% +69.50

Owen Lewis 36 4 11.1% −6.50

Tom Marquand 34 4 11.8% +6.75

Rossa Ryan 34 3 8.8% −23.97

Jason Watson 33 6 18.2% +26.88

Frederick Larson 33 5 15.2% −4.50

Jim Crowley 32 6 18.8% +41.22

Cieren Fallon 31 3 9.7% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

338

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.85m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 38 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Oxted (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£198,485

Oxted (GB) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Newmarket · Jul 2020 · Group 1

£141,775

Dancing Gemini (IRE) — bet365 Mile (Group 2) Sandown · Apr 2025 · Group 2

£70,888

Notable horses

Alcazan (GB) Jack Of Diamonds (IRE) Langley Vale (GB) Chipstead (GB) Whenthedealinsdone (GB) Highly Regal (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.7% · 14–120

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Camelot (GB) 8.6% · 5–58

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,675 runs since 2008 (752 horses).

Swiss Spirit (GB) 9.4% · 5–53

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,644 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Mayson (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,363 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,726. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Aclaim (IRE) 14% · 7–50

Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.

Al Kazeem (GB) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,262 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,468 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,468 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2007 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Ascot Dancing Gemini (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 9th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Oakford (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 25/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Dakota Power (GB)J: Owen Lewis Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 6th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Freshie (GB)J: Joe Leavy Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 28/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Shellyandback (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 3/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood At My Expense (GB)J: George Wood Virgin Bet / British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Rogue Empire (GB)J: Tom Cannon Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 13/2

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) The Hare Rail (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 11/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Threelittleangels (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

08 Oct 26 Bath Pangbourne (GB)J: Jack Dace Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 16/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Barbuda Bay (GB)J: Dougie Costello Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 12th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Rosario (IRE)J: Owen Lewis Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

03 Oct 26 Newmarket Polgaria (GB)J: Tyler Heard £200,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 11th 300/1

02 Oct 26 Ascot Pilu (IRE)J: Joe Leavy BetMGM Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 12th 6/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Dancing Tiger (IRE)J: Owen Lewis Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 6/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Rovinia (GB)J: Joe Leavy Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 13/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Distant Rumble (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Hemustbeanangel (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 5/2F

29 Sep 26 Bath Pangbourne (GB)J: Olivia Haines Jdl Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 15/2

26 Sep 26 Haydock Hucklesbrook (GB)J: Joanna Mason William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Teal's strike rate?: Roger Teal has won 122 of 1,215 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Teal do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Roger Teal?: Jack Mitchell, with 100 runners since 2022 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (13%).
Is Roger Teal in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Roger Teal's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,208 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.