What is Paul Quinn's strike rate?

Paul Quinn has won 58 of 808 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Quinn do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Quinn ride most for?

David Nicholls, with 278 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (8.6%).

What is Paul Quinn's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Quinn

808 rides in the lifetime window · 401 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

58–808

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=808

155 (19%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=802 · 1.00 incl. margin

−51.71

£1 level stake

n=808 at SP · −6.4%

£398k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (49 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 808 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May David Nicholls: 8.6% from 278 LTO winners: 16.3%

The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (12.1%, n=33), clear of the rider's 7.2% baseline. It is weakest at Beverley (2.7% over 75 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.47), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=221, Fair A/E 0.95). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 6.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +23.00 to a £1 stake over 130 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David Nicholls supplied 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 4 (11.2%, n=152) and off a 0-7-day break (11.1%, n=63). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2% over 98 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.3%−0.9

n=396 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +57.68

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.3%+9.1

n=49 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +6.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.2%−1.0

n=130 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +23.00

When favourite

36.4%

n=22 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +3.96

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−7.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−3.1

n=221 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −67.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 7.2% · n=49

Off a 31-60-day break 2% vs 7.2% · n=98

In Class 4 11.2% vs 7.2% · n=152

At Beverley 2.7% vs 7.2% · n=75

At Haydock 12.1% vs 7.2% · n=33

Off a 0-7-day break 11.1% vs 7.2% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 253 15 5.9% −59.50

Good to Firm 234 19 8.1% −16.81

Good to Soft 108 9 8.3% +38.00

Standard (AW) 106 6 5.7% −53.40

Soft 69 5 7.2% +22.00

Heavy 29 2 6.9% −18.00

Firm 9 2 22.2% +36.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Redcar 85 4 4.7% −61.50

Catterick 77 8 10.4% −21.37

Beverley 75 2 2.7% −20.00

Thirsk 63 5 7.9% −4.75

Southwell (AW) 48 3 6.3% −32.90

Ripon 44 4 9.1% +9.00

Pontefract 39 3 7.7% −21.50

Newcastle 37 3 8.1% −0.50

Musselburgh 37 4 10.8% +46.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 35 2 5.7% −18.50

Haydock 33 4 12.1% +73.33

York 30 1 3.3% −19.00

Ayr 27 1 3.7% −23.25

Chester 26 2 7.7% +4.00

Doncaster 25 2 8% +32.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 281 16 5.7% −103.50

Class 6 241 20 8.3% −30.54

Class 4 152 17 11.2% +128.33

Class 2 65 3 4.6% −15.00

Class 3 61 2 3.3% −23.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 8 30.8% 1.11 −0.04

2nd–3rd fav 68 15 22.1% 1.50 +16.83

4th–6th fav 243 17 7% 0.91 −63.50

7th+ in betting 471 18 3.8% 1.25 −5.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Indego Blues (GB) 20 2 2 8 Aug 16

Bonnie Charlie (GB) 20 1 3 30 Jul 14

Indian Trail (GB) 18 1 2 6 Jul 13

Imperial Legend (IRE) 16 1 7 16 Dec 16

Pearl Acclaim (IRE) 14 1 1 2 Sep 16

Miss Ella Jade (GB) 12 1 6 4 Sep 14

Zenafire (GB) 11 3 5 24 Jun 16

Sparkling Sapphire (GB) 11 0 3 14 Aug 15

Madam Lilibet (IRE) 11 4 6 14 Oct 14

Something (IRE) 10 1 4 21 Aug 10

Love Island (GB) 9 3 3 24 Oct 14

Threepence (GB) 9 0 0 24 Sep 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 401 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

000118512942110

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Nicholls

34% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.17

TrainerRWSR£1

David Nicholls 278 24 8.6% −13.39

Richard Whitaker 167 13 7.8% +16.25

Alan Berry 30 1 3.3% −9.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£572k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 13 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Indian Trail (GB) — Investec 'Dash' (Heritage Handicap) Epsom Downs · Jun 2009 · Class 2

£46,733

Pearl Acclaim (IRE) — William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup Consolation Race (Handicap) Musselburgh · Jun 2015 · Class 3

£19,407

Avon Breeze (GB) — Visit Attheraces.com Handicap Ripon · Apr 2016 · Class 2

£16,173

Notable horses

Paris Bell (GB) Madam Lilibet (IRE) Zenafire (GB) Love Island (GB) West Leake Hare (IRE) Fremen (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Rio (GB) 7.8% · 4–51

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Indesatchel (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8% of 1,391 runs since 2010 (106 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 171.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,981 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Indian Ridge (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).

Intikhab (USA) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,347 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,347 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 20 October 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 17 Redcar Wind Turbine (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Watch Racing UK Anywhere Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

30 Sep 17 Chester Lady Anjorica (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish sportingbet.com NurseryClass 2 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 9/1

15 Jul 17 Chester Tread Lightly (GB)T: Tim Easterby Manor Car Hire HandicapClass 3 · 14.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 25/1

01 Jul 17 Chester Mighty Zip (USA)T: Lisa Williamson Stella Artois HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 66/1

30 Jun 17 Chester Foxy's Spirit (GB)T: Tim Easterby Call The MBNA Team Maiden Auction Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 100/1

06 Apr 17 Southwell (AW) Wotabond (GB)T: Richard Whitaker Sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1

16 Mar 17 Dundalk (AW) You Gotta Move (IRE)T: M G Quinn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65)7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 20/1

09 Mar 17 Southwell (AW) Wotabond (GB)T: Richard Whitaker Betway Sprint HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 28/1

10 Feb 17 Newcastle (AW) Bay Station (GB)T: David Nicholls 32Red Casino HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1

10 Feb 17 Newcastle (AW) Spike's Princess (IRE)T: David Nicholls 32Red.com Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 18/1

27 Jan 17 Newcastle (AW) Spike's Princess (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway Best Odds Guaranteed Plus Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 50/1

16 Dec 16 Newcastle (AW) Imperial Legend (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway Sprint HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 25/1

15 Dec 16 Newcastle (AW) Noah Amor (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway Sprint HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 11/2

06 Dec 16 Southwell (AW) Hit The Lights (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 11/1

28 Nov 16 Newcastle (AW) Hit The Lights (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway Sprint HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 40/1

18 Nov 16 Newcastle (AW) Imperial Legend (IRE)T: David Nicholls Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 10/1

14 Nov 16 Newcastle (AW) Storm Trooper (IRE)T: David Nicholls Betway Sprint HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 25/1

11 Nov 16 Dundalk (AW) You Gotta Move (IRE)T: M G Quinn Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 18/1

28 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Imperial Legend (IRE)T: David Nicholls Arrange A Pinnacle Stable Visit At Wynyard HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 50/1

25 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Wotabond (GB)T: Richard Whitaker At The Races Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Quinn's strike rate?: Paul Quinn has won 58 of 808 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Quinn do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Quinn ride most for?: David Nicholls, with 278 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (8.6%).
What is Paul Quinn's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.