What is Chris Fairhurst's strike rate?

Chris Fairhurst has won 11 of 125 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Fairhurst do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 runners (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Chris Fairhurst's Fair A/E?

1.17, from 124 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Fairhurst

125 runners in the last 5 seasons · 15 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2023 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

11–125

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=125

32 (26%)

Placed

1.17

Fair A/E

n=124 · 0.99 incl. margin

+156.50

£1 level stake

n=125 at SP · +125.2%

£85,544

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (62 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 125 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 11.3%

The read

The yard also reads well in Class 5 (14%, n=57) and off a 15-30-day break (12.5%, n=48). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 2.6% over 38 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ripon Bell-ringer Handicap at Ripon (Jul 2018, £15,563). The stable star of the record: The Armed Man (GB) — 10 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−4.0

n=21 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +2.00

Debutants · first career start

11.1%+2.3

n=9 · A/E 6.82 · £1 +42.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−8.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

12.5%

n=8 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −5.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.3%+2.5

n=62 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +92.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.6% vs 8.8% · n=38

In Class 5 14% vs 8.8% · n=57

Off a 15-30-day break 12.5% vs 8.8% · n=48

With Paula Muir 11.9% vs 8.8% · n=42

With claiming riders up 11.3% vs 8.8% · n=62

On Standard (AW) going 6.5% vs 8.8% · n=62

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 120 11 9.2% +161.50

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 62 4 6.5% +62.00

Good 24 2 8.3% +29.25

Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% −11.50

Good to Firm 11 3 27.3% +64.75

Soft 10 1 10% +13.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 39 3 7.7% +80.00

Southwell (AW) 20 1 5% −15.00

Ripon 10 1 10% +41.00

Pontefract 8 0 0% −8.00

Doncaster 8 1 12.5% +15.00

Redcar 7 1 14.3% −4.75

Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00

Catterick 6 1 16.7% −1.00

Carlisle 6 1 16.7% +61.00

Wetherby 2 1 50% +1.75

Beverley 2 1 50% +3.50

York 2 0 0% −2.00

Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 57 8 14% +198.75

Class 6 46 3 6.5% −20.25

Class 4 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 1 11.1% 0.41 −6.75

2nd–3rd fav 14 4 28.6% 1.69 +5.25

4th–6th fav 45 1 2.2% 0.31 +6.00

7th+ in betting 57 5 8.8% 3.52 +152.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Top Attraction (GB) 17 0 1 22 Jun 23

Benadalid (GB) 14 0 3 21 Sep 23

Masham Moor (GB)then Simon West 13 1 8 19 Sep 23

Velma (GB) 11 2 4 19 Apr 23

Grey Force One (GB)then Philip Kirby 9 2 2 21 Sep 23

Vallamorey (GB)then Sam England 9 1 1 7 Aug 23

Hezmie (IRE) 9 1 1 20 Jul 23

Opal Storm (GB)then Brian Rothwell 7 1 1 28 Sep 23

Vixey (GB)then Michael Herrington 7 1 7 31 Aug 23

Madam Arkati (GB) 7 0 0 12 Jul 23

Luciabelle (GB) 7 0 0 1 Nov 22

The Armed Man (GB) 6 2 4 13 Sep 22

All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

8220251080613000

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaula Muir

34% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.50

RiderRWSR£1

Paula Muir 42 5 11.9% −5.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£626k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Benadalid (GB) — Ripon Bell-ringer Handicap Ripon · Jul 2018 · Class 2

£15,563

Florenza (GB) — totepool Thirsk Summer Cup Handicap Thirsk · Aug 2017 · Class 3

£12,591

Burnt Oak (UAE) — E.B.F. Cheltenham Race Club Junior NH Flat race (Listed) Cheltenham · Jan 2006 · Listed

£9,819

Notable horses

The Armed Man (GB) Who's Shirl (GB) Benadalid (GB) Passion Fruit (GB) Florenza (GB) Burnt Oak (UAE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.

Assertive (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,569 runs since 2008 (84 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.3% from 159.

Hot Streak (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,749 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 779. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 152.

Music Master (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 6.5% of 232 runs since 2008 (17 horses).

Fast Company (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,588 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Divine Prophet (AUS) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.6% of 293 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,377 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,377 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 28 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Sep 23 Pontefract Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Celebrating The Life Of Eric Armstrong Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 9/2

21 Sep 23 Pontefract Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Ben And Mary Hibbert Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 13/2

21 Sep 23 Pontefract Grey Force One (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Solutions 4 Cleaning Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 17/2

19 Sep 23 Newcastle (AW) Masham Moor (GB)J: Paula Muir Happy Retirement Paul Hanagan From Vickers.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 9/2F

19 Sep 23 Redcar Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Racing TV Club Day HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 18/1

08 Sep 23 Newcastle (AW) Grey Force One (GB)J: Aiden Brookes United Living Group Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 50/1

07 Sep 23 Carlisle Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Trustatrader HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 66/1

31 Aug 23 Carlisle Vixey (GB)J: Jason Hart racingtv.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

28 Aug 23 Southwell (AW) Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes GB Civils HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

27 Aug 23 Beverley Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Beverley Lions Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

18 Aug 23 Thirsk Grey Force One (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Great Prices On bresbet.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 40/1

15 Aug 23 Newcastle (AW) Masham Moor (GB)J: Paula Muir At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

12 Aug 23 Redcar Vixey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Download The Vickers.Bet App Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 5/4F

07 Aug 23 Ripon Vallamorey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

07 Aug 23 Ripon Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Andy & Jacquie Abbott Ruby-Wedding Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

05 Aug 23 Thirsk Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

26 Jul 23 Catterick Vallamorey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

22 Jul 23 Haydock Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Steve Yarborough Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 15/2

20 Jul 23 Hamilton Hezmie (IRE)J: Jason Hart Follow RacingTV On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 10/1

14 Jul 23 York Grey Force One (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Coopers Marquees HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Fairhurst's strike rate?: Chris Fairhurst has won 11 of 125 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Fairhurst do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 runners (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Chris Fairhurst's Fair A/E?: 1.17, from 124 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.