What is Ross Chapman's strike rate?

Ross Chapman has won 190 of 1,979 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ross Chapman do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 21 wins from 133 rides (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ross Chapman ride most for?

Rebecca Menzies, with 250 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (14%).

What is Ross Chapman's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 1,977 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ross Chapman

1,979 rides in the lifetime window · 729 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 238 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

190–1,979

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=1,979

463 (23%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=1,977 · 0.91 incl. margin

−620.44

£1 level stake

n=1,979 at SP · −31.4%

£1.72m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (183 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,979 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 36.9% when favourite Rebecca Menzies: 14% from 250 LTO winners: 26.8% Claiming: 14.3% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (15.8%, n=133), clear of the rider's 9.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.8% (n=183, Fair A/E 1.31), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=192, Fair A/E 0.66). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −398.18 to a £1 stake over 729 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rebecca Menzies supplies 13% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14% vs 9.6%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 188Bet Summer Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen (Jul 2018, £22,780). The standout partner of the record: Oak Vintage (IRE) — 6 wins from 20 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−4.1

n=729 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −398.18

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

26.8%+17.2

n=183 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +14.87

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.8%−2.8

n=444 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −163.65

When favourite

36.9%

n=141 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +4.34

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

14.3%+4.7

n=517 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −130.07

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.1%−6.5

n=192 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −122.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+2.9

n=16 · A/E 2.53 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 26.8% vs 9.6% · n=183

With Iain Jardine 17.1% vs 9.6% · n=240

With Alistair Whillans 20.5% vs 9.6% · n=39

With Chris Grant 0% vs 9.6% · n=45

With debutants 1.9% vs 9.6% · n=107

At Ayr 15.8% vs 9.6% · n=133

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,163 92 7.9% −454.73

Chase 650 88 13.5% −52.47

NH Flat 165 10 6.1% −112.24

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 704 61 8.7% −174.11

Soft 550 53 9.6% −175.90

Good to Soft 456 39 8.6% −188.06

Heavy 222 33 14.9% −49.78

Standard (AW) 29 2 6.9% −23.59

Good to Firm 18 2 11.1% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 241 24 10% −22.00

Sedgefield 199 20 10.1% +16.37

Newcastle 187 19 10.2% −35.86

Kelso 181 19 10.5% −78.63

Carlisle 174 16 9.2% −47.02

Perth 149 10 6.7% −83.37

Wetherby 133 7 5.3% −78.50

Ayr 133 21 15.8% −14.69

Musselburgh 111 7 6.3% −75.30

Catterick 107 16 15% −41.40

Market Rasen 68 8 11.8% −19.05

Cartmel 64 7 10.9% −35.28

Southwell 41 1 2.4% −35.50

Uttoxeter 39 2 5.1% −35.46

Doncaster 36 1 2.8% −28.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 979 90 9.2% −410.70

Class 5 682 65 9.5% −140.24

Class 3 208 23 11.1% −40.75

Class 2 68 5 7.4% −34.50

Class 1 19 2 10.5% +2.00

Class 6 19 3 15.8% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 168 61 36.3% 1.25 +17.84

2nd–3rd fav 366 66 18% 1.02 −44.78

4th–6th fav 651 47 7.2% 1.00 −213.50

7th+ in betting 794 16 2% 0.79 −380.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.7% completed · 1,813 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 650 80.5% 14 25 83 2 3

Hurdle 1,163 88.6% 20 9 102 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Instingtive (IRE) 27 3 9 22 Sep 21

Court Baloo (IRE) 23 5 9 30 May 21

Uptown Harry (IRE) 22 4 6 3 Feb 25

So Satisfied (GB) 21 3 6 8 May 19

Oak Vintage (IRE) 20 6 9 16 Mar 21

Bafana Blue (GB) 16 4 7 17 Oct 21

Real Armani (GB) 16 2 9 9 Oct 21

The Churchill Lad (IRE) 15 2 8 9 Dec 24

Pads (IRE) 15 1 3 10 Oct 20

Tokaramore (GB) 15 3 5 25 Nov 19

Harper Valley (IRE) 14 4 8 24 Nov 25

Victory Echo (IRE) 14 2 4 6 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 729 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

812981296101291011

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRebecca Menzies

13% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.23

TrainerRWSR£1

Rebecca Menzies 250 35 14% −12.33

Iain Jardine 240 41 17.1% −31.83

Maurice Barnes 135 13 9.6% +30.37

Sue Smith 129 6 4.7% −71.00

Philip Kirby 97 5 5.2% −55.63

Gillian Boanas 93 6 6.5% −45.50

Jane Walton 92 12 13% +28.01

Lisa Harrison 77 4 5.2% −52.75

Daragh Bourke 56 6 10.7% −6.50

Stuart Coltherd 53 4 7.5% −37.26

Chris Grant 45 0 0% −45.00

Tina Jackson 42 4 9.5% −18.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

190

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.72m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 44 wins

L'inganno Felice (FR) — 188Bet Summer Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Market Rasen · Jul 2018 · Listed

£22,780

Boomslang (GB) — Virgin Bet Auld Reekie Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£20,931

Bafana Blue (GB) — Cumberland Handicap Chase Carlisle · Nov 2019 · Class 3

£15,640

Notable horses

Oak Vintage (IRE) Court Baloo (IRE) Dica (FR) Uptown Harry (IRE) Bafana Blue (GB) Harper Valley (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sulamani (IRE) 12.1% · 8–66

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,248 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Yeats (IRE) 3.5% · 2–57

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,863 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 821.

Scorpion (IRE) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 6,329 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Schiaparelli (GER) 13% · 6–46

Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,846 runs since 2015 (203 horses).

Milan (GB) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,893 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,979 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,979 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2013 to 22 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Mar 26 Carlisle William Of York (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Subscription Go North Monet's Garden Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 28/1

22 Mar 26 Carlisle Rafferty's Return (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 10/1

22 Mar 26 Carlisle Art Dancer (GB)T: Chris Grant Pauline Phizacklea Memorial Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 250/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Always A Reason (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies BetWright Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 20/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Kingston Narcissus (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies BetWright Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 50/1

20 Mar 26 Musselburgh Monsieur Le Fuzz (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Ultimate Go North Brindisi Breeze Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 20/1

19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Millford Hill (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 4th 250/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Mr Man (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Guinness At The Canny Lad Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 14/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Glory Hights (GB)T: Chris Grant Smirnoff At The Apartment Grand Wedding Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 17/2

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Return To Florida (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Guinness Draught Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 40/1

08 Mar 26 Carlisle Big Jon (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Safer Gambling At CopyBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 150/1

03 Mar 26 Newcastle Millford Hill (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 200/1

24 Feb 26 Catterick Monsieur Le Fuzz (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Again 4th March Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

21 Feb 26 Newcastle Always A Reason (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Jimmy Hunter 60th Birthday Celebration Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 11/2

21 Feb 26 Newcastle Au Plaisir (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 50/1

16 Feb 26 Carlisle Forever Louie (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Come Racing At Carlisle In 2026 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 33/1

13 Feb 26 Kelso Big Jon (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Johnston Smillie Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 200/1

09 Feb 26 Catterick Kingston Narcissus (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Bowel Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

05 Feb 26 Doncaster William Of York (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 5 ran UR 7/1

05 Feb 26 Doncaster Annie Mcgrath (IRE)T: L J Morgan Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ross Chapman's strike rate?: Ross Chapman has won 190 of 1,979 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ross Chapman do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 21 wins from 133 rides (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ross Chapman ride most for?: Rebecca Menzies, with 250 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (14%).
What is Ross Chapman's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 1,977 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.