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Trainer profile

Andrew Kinirons

376 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
32–376
Wins / Runs
8.5%
Strike rate
n=376
90 (24%)
Placed
1.15
Fair A/E
n=376 · 0.92 incl. margin
−33.09
£1 level stake
n=376 at SP · −8.8%
£409k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (69 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 376 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.6% Luke McAteer: 12% from 50 Claiming riders: 9%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (1.8% over 56 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.6% (n=69, Fair A/E 1.53). Luke McAteer rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12% vs 8.5%, A/E 2.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (13.3%, n=120). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 37 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 58 runners (1.7% strike, −50.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Hidden Land (USA) — 7 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.6%+3.1
n=69 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −6.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
3.4%−5.1
n=29 · A/E 0.92 · £1 +5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.9%−2.6
n=17 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
19.2%
n=26 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −5.42
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9%+0.5
n=100 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −27.34
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 0% vs 8.5% · n=37
On Standard (AW) going 1.7% vs 8.5% · n=58
At Dundalk (AW) 1.8% vs 8.5% · n=56
Off a 15-30-day break 13.3% vs 8.5% · n=120
Over 6f – 7f 3.6% vs 8.5% · n=84
With a new jockey booking 4.5% vs 8.5% · n=198
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 277 23 8.3% −10.17
Hurdle 77 9 11.7% −0.92
Chase 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 121 15 12.4% +4.16
Good 118 13 11% +25.75
Standard (AW) 58 1 1.7% −50.50
Good to Soft 38 3 7.9% +28.50
Heavy 37 0 0% −37.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 56 1 1.8% −48.50
Curragh 37 1 2.7% −30.00
Gowran Park 25 3 12% +20.50
Galway 22 3 13.6% +35.50
Navan 17 0 0% −17.00
Killarney 17 2 11.8% −1.00
Sligo 16 0 0% −16.00
Punchestown 16 1 6.3% +18.00
Naas 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Cork 14 2 14.3% +1.00
Roscommon 14 3 21.4% +10.83
Listowel 14 3 21.4% +7.00
Downpatrick 14 5 35.7% +12.58
Leopardstown 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Bellewstown 12 1 8.3% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 1 7.1% +15.00
Class 6 6 1 16.7% +0.50
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 38 7 18.4% 0.86 −8.59
2nd–3rd fav 52 6 11.5% 0.78 −17.50
4th–6th fav 93 11 11.8% 1.66 +9.00
7th+ in betting 193 8 4.1% 1.47 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hidden Land (USA)from P Bary 34 6 12 11 Aug 24
Patrick Street (GB)from Patrick Martin 23 2 5 7 Oct 26
Mary Salome (IRE)from Madeleine Tylicki 18 3 6 1 Aug 23
Lagoon Nebula (GB)from W McCreery 16 1 4 15 Jul 26
Casheldale Lass (IRE) 15 2 5 7 Oct 26
Lips Freedom (GER)from Andreas Suborics 15 2 3 4 Oct 26
Blue Moon Boy (IRE) 13 3 4 14 Jun 26
Carmina Burana (IRE)from Jack W Davison 12 0 0 11 Feb 26
Nostringsattached (IRE) 12 3 6 13 Oct 24
Evolving (GB)from F-H Graffard 11 0 0 28 Nov 24
Rebecca's Girl (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Gary Rutherford 11 0 1 6 Aug 24
Celebrating Ethel (IRE)then Tony Carroll 11 1 2 19 Jan 24
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gavin Cromwell (2) and Madeleine Tylicki (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Rutherford (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
066125189208200
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLuke McAteer
13% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 2.20
RiderRWSR£1
Luke McAteer 50 6 12% +44.50
Robbie Colgan 47 5 10.6% +35.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
40
Archived wins
£490k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Lagoon Nebula (GB) — KTDA Fillies' Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Apr 2025 · Class 1
£22,780
Nostringsattached (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Jun 2024
£17,700
Nostringsattached (IRE) — Racing Again May 10th & 11th Handicap Cork · Apr 2024
£12,390
Notable horses
Hidden Land (USA) Mary Salome (IRE) Blue Moon Boy (IRE) Nostringsattached (IRE) Patrick Street (GB) Lips Freedom (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hard Spun (USA) 17.6% · 6–34
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,388 runs since 2008 (120 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.2% from 475.
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 6.8% of 516 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.
Heeraat (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
New Bay (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Zebedee (GB) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Raven's Pass (USA) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,933 runs since 2008 (453 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 516 · newest first

The latest 50 of 516 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 August 2020 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Emmas Glory (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 6/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Tina Tereshkova (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 22/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 50/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Patrick Street (GB)J: Jack Kearney Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 10/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Lips Freedom (GER)J: Donagh Meyler Charlie Foley's Rated Novice Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran F 11/8F
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Western Model (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 3/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)J: Daniel King Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 10/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Patrick Street (GB)J: Daniel King Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 4/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 14th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Grá Chocolates Maiden10f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 200/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) C Pas Possible (FR)J: Donagh Meyler Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 13/2
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Lips Freedom (GER)J: Donagh Meyler SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 9/2
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Western Model (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Vianstown Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 4/1J
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Tina Tereshkova (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Care At Home Nursery Handicap8f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 40/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Shane Foley Slievenamon Maiden10f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 16/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Patrick Street (GB)J: Jack Kearney Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 17/2
13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Lips Freedom (GER)J: Rossa Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap10f · Good · 22 ran 18th 28/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 11 ran PU 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Kinirons's strike rate?
Andrew Kinirons has won 32 of 376 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Kinirons do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Kinirons?
Luke McAteer, with 50 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (12%).
Is Andrew Kinirons in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Andrew Kinirons's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 376 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).