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Jockey profile

Sean O'Keeffe

3,275 rides in the lifetime window · 1,463 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
In form — 5 winners last 14 days Rides today 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
242–3,275
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=3,275
749 (23%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=3,275 · 0.82 incl. margin
−1,138.98
£1 level stake
n=3,275 at SP · −34.8%
£5.10m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (259 rides). The rider is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,275 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 32.2% when favourite Paul Nolan: 10.3% from 466 LTO winners: 13.1% Claiming: 7.5% Rides the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Roscommon (16.7%, n=48) and Cork (13.3%, n=165) — all clear of the rider's 7.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.1% (n=259, Fair A/E 0.96). Right now the rider is firing: 5 winners from 19 rides in the last 14 days (26.3%, 18.9pts above the 7.4% baseline). Paul Nolan supplies 14% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.3% vs 7.4%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £112,760). The standout partner of the record: Feet Of A Dancer (FR) — 6 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.5%−0.9
n=1,463 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −541.07
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.1%+5.7
n=259 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −45.32
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.3%−1.1
n=747 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −374.77
When favourite
32.2%
n=180 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −13.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.5%+0.1
n=786 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −283.62
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.6%−1.8
n=1,710 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −632.19
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.7%+1.3
n=424 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −83.93

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Declan Queally 22.4% vs 7.4% · n=49
At Roscommon 16.7% vs 7.4% · n=48
On last-time-out winners 13.1% vs 7.4% · n=259
At Cork 13.3% vs 7.4% · n=165
With Peter Maher 1.3% vs 7.4% · n=80
With W P Mullins 11.6% vs 7.4% · n=344
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 2,242 159 7.1% −836.27
Chase 963 80 8.3% −260.71
NH Flat 47 3 6.4% −19.00
Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 1,321 104 7.9% −343.09
Good 828 53 6.4% −379.37
Heavy 581 43 7.4% −270.08
Good to Soft 529 41 7.8% −135.94
Good to Firm 14 1 7.1% −8.50
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 337 19 5.6% −162.74
Fairyhouse 261 18 6.9% −99.11
Wexford 220 25 11.4% +20.39
Limerick 187 20 10.7% −75.04
Clonmel 177 10 5.6% −92.55
Tramore 166 8 4.8% −88.30
Cork 165 22 13.3% −7.36
Naas 161 10 6.2% −68.17
Thurles 157 12 7.6% −1.67
Navan 136 5 3.7% −85.75
Tipperary 123 7 5.7% −69.00
Galway 121 9 7.4% −24.87
Kilbeggan 117 9 7.7% −63.30
Leopardstown 117 5 4.3% −69.00
Ballinrobe 116 7 6% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 448 38 8.5% −78.93
Class 2 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 208 66 31.7% 1.12 −12.43
2nd–3rd fav 516 61 11.8% 0.78 −214.55
4th–6th fav 841 72 8.6% 1.21 −87.00
7th+ in betting 1,710 43 2.5% 0.96 −825.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.1% completed · 3,205 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 963 79.6% 39 34 116 4 3
Hurdle 2,242 87.4% 59 16 192 9 6
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Knock On Steel (IRE) 19 2 6 30 Aug 23
Sandor Clegane (IRE) 18 2 6 4 Nov 26
Bellgrove (IRE) 17 0 2 2 Aug 22
Feet Of A Dancer (FR) 16 6 10 14 Nov 26
Battle Of Mirbat (IRE) 16 1 6 21 May 26
King In Love (FR) 15 2 4 25 Oct 26
Only A Dollar (IRE) 14 1 2 22 Jul 26
Sonny May (IRE) 14 2 3 14 May 26
Conyers Hill (IRE) 14 3 8 15 Nov 25
Ask And Answer (IRE) 14 1 1 6 May 23
Happy Dreams (FR) 13 3 6 14 Feb 26
Exit Poll (IRE) 13 2 5 23 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,463 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form
5 from 19 26.3% · +18.9pts vs baseline
Last 14 days26.3%
Lifetime base7.4%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
7694612798977
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaul Nolan
14% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.10
TrainerRWSR£1
Paul Nolan 466 48 10.3% −67.91
W P Mullins 344 40 11.6% −109.79
Mrs John Harrington 233 16 6.9% −107.02
Liz Doyle 185 9 4.9% −75.50
Sean Aherne 165 13 7.9% −6.00
John Patrick Ryan 104 10 9.6% +24.00
Michael J McDonagh 92 6 6.5% −56.29
Peter Maher 80 1 1.3% −69.00
Gordon Elliott 63 5 7.9% −5.88
James Joseph Mangan 57 5 8.8% −24.30
Thomas Mullins 55 6 10.9% −15.87
Shane Crawley 54 5 9.3% −7.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
242
Archived wins
37
Pattern / graded wins
£5.10m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 42 wins
Lecky Watson (IRE) — Brown Advisory Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Broadway Novices' Chase) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Grade 1
£112,760
The Nice Guy (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Grade 1
£78,680
Flame Bearer (IRE) — WilllowWarm Gold Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Apr 2023 · Grade 1
£59,000
Notable horses
Feet Of A Dancer (FR) Conyers Hill (IRE) Happy Dreams (FR) Capture The Action (IRE) Western Model (IRE) Daily Present (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 10.6% · 9–85
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (503 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 10.7% · 8–75
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,107 runs since 2011 (713 horses).
Getaway (GER) 8.3% · 6–72
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,047 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Yeats (IRE) 5.6% · 4–72
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,863 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 821.
Shirocco (GER) 9.9% · 7–71
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,213 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Mahler (GB) 8.6% · 6–70
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,901 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,275 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,275 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2017 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Nov 26 Navan (IRE) Feet Of A Dancer (FR)T: Paul Nolan Railway Bar Lismullen Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 17/2
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Orkneys Jack (IRE)T: L Young Horse & Jockey Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 7th 50/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gethegoodtimesroll (IRE)T: Peter Maher Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 19th 66/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Glenageary (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 3/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Western Model (IRE)T: Andrew Kinirons Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 9/2J
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Westport Cove (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Barberstown Castle Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Daily Present (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran PU 100/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Ignite The Moment (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Cavan Developments Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 33/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 8/1
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Stily (FR)T: Michael J McDonagh Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 4/1
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) N Kelleher (IRE)T: Michael J McDonagh Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 300/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) The Big Clubman (IRE)T: Paul Nolan racingtv.com/freetrial Beginners Chase15.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 1st 11/8F
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Sandor Clegane (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)23f · Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 9/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Mcallister (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 2/1F
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) An Peann Dearg (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Botanica International Rated Novice Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 18/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) East Wall (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 10/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Sageborough (FR)T: Paul Nolan Group Discounts For Winter Festival General Admission Rated Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 100/30
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Look Sport (FR)T: Paul Nolan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 40/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Maxicourt (IRE)T: Patrick J Duffy Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 15th 20/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rightly Snookered (IRE)T: Shane Crawley Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 4 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · to 12 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sean O'Keeffe's strike rate?
Sean O'Keeffe has won 242 of 3,275 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean O'Keeffe do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 22 wins from 165 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sean O'Keeffe ride most for?
Paul Nolan, with 466 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (10.3%).
Is Sean O'Keeffe in form?
In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 26.3%. That is above the baseline of 7.4% since 2008.
What is Sean O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 3,275 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).