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Trainer profile

Shane Crawley

254 runners in the last 5 seasons · 41 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
19–254
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=254
51 (20%)
Placed
1.07
n=254 · 0.83 incl. margin
−106.22
£1 level stake
n=254 at SP · −41.8%
£178k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (86 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 254 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.1% Claiming riders: 9.3%
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (14%, n=57), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (13.8%, n=58). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 45 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.77 across 75 runners (4% strike, −51.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2019, £51,625).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%+1.6
n=66 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −20.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+1.6
n=11 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.5
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%+1.6
n=11 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
26.9%
n=26 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.78
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.3%+1.8
n=86 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −20.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 7.5% · n=45
At Dundalk (AW) 14% vs 7.5% · n=57
On Standard (AW) going 13.8% vs 7.5% · n=58
With C&D winners 12.1% vs 7.5% · n=33
On Soft going 4% vs 7.5% · n=75
Over 6f – 7f 3.3% vs 7.5% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 137 11 8% −58.38
Hurdle 107 7 6.5% −47.84
Chase 9 1 11.1% +1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 75 3 4% −51.50
Standard (AW) 58 8 13.8% −3.88
Good 48 3 6.3% −20.34
Heavy 43 4 9.3% −13.50
Good to Soft 29 1 3.4% −16.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 57 8 14% −2.88
Navan 22 1 4.5% −13.00
Fairyhouse 17 0 0% −17.00
Leopardstown 16 0 0% −16.00
Naas 16 3 18.8% +13.50
Curragh 14 0 0% −14.00
Gowran Park 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 8 2 25% +4.50
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% +4.00
Sligo 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 7 25% 1.24 +0.78
2nd–3rd fav 39 3 7.7% 0.61 −21.50
4th–6th fav 49 5 10.2% 1.34 −4.50
7th+ in betting 138 4 2.9% 1.14 −81.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Trishuli River (IRE) 34 4 11 16 Oct 26
Royal Time (IRE)then Christian Williams 18 1 3 21 May 26
Karlsberg (IRE) 17 2 4 14 Oct 24
The Big Cloud (IRE) 15 2 6 4 Mar 26
Dreams Fled Away (IRE)then Barry Brennan 12 2 4 15 Mar 24
Del Boys Diva (IRE) 10 2 2 17 Oct 26
Blackstone Cliff (IRE)from Thomas Gibney · then Gerard Keane 10 0 1 2 Feb 24
Kalmira (IRE) 10 1 4 11 Jul 23
Del Girl (IRE) 9 0 1 21 Jan 25
Elsannah (IRE)then Paul John Gilligan 8 2 2 9 Apr 23
All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 41 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John C McConnell (2) and Luke Comer (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11752248120001110
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan
15% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 37 2 5.4% −18.00
Sean O'Keeffe 35 4 11.4% +3.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
46
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£565k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 8 wins
Sassy Diva (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2019 · Grade B
£51,625
Nodoubtaboutthat (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Handicap Hurdle Galway · Jul 2021
£17,700
Thereisnodoubt (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Navan · Mar 2020
£11,800

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Poet's Word (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 9.9% of 698 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 106.
Elzaam (AUS) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,517 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
Kalanisi (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Coulsty (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,516 runs since 2008 (166 horses).
Cloudings (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 526 · newest first

The latest 50 of 526 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2014 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Crawley's strike rate?
Shane Crawley has won 19 of 254 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Crawley do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 57 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Shane Crawley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Crawley's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 254 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).