No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−4.0
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.8%+0.8
n=21 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −15.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−4.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat2414.2%−18.50
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1119.1%−5.50
Good to Firm500%−5.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Soft300%−3.00
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Folkestone300%−3.00
Bath2150%+3.50
Brighton200%−2.00
Thirsk200%−2.00
Warwick200%−2.00
Windsor200%−2.00
Chepstow200%−2.00
Newbury200%−2.00
Lingfield (AW)100%−1.00
Southwell (AW)100%−1.00
Nottingham100%−1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)100%−1.00
Sandown100%−1.00
Southwell100%−1.00
Carlisle100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 61200%−12.00
Class 59111.1%−3.50
Class 4300%−3.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav200%0.00−2.00
4th–6th fav9111.1%1.27−3.50
7th+ in betting1300%0.00−13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f1000%−10.00
1m2f – 1m4f700%−7.00
Under 6f4125%+1.50
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082414.2%−18.50
2018100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1915.3%−13.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners800%−8.00
11-13 runners700%−7.00
14-16 runners700%−7.00
5-7 runners2150%+3.50
17+ runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Savernake Blue (GB) — Home Of Horse Racing Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2006 · Class 4
£5,505
Nightspot (GB) — Weatherbys Printing Apprentice Handicap Kempton (AW) · Aug 2007 · Class 4
£4,728
Limonia (GER) — City Life And County Living Magazine Fillies' Handicap Leicester · Jun 2007 · Class 5
Progeny have won 10.8% of 83 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Victory Note (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.8% of 635 runs since 2008 (77 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Inchinor (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.4% of 973 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 6.4% from 125. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13.9% from 158.
Averti (IRE)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,137 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.6% from 110. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.6% from 140. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.6% from 162.
Clodovil (IRE)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Erhaab (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8% of 1,060 runs since 2008 (86 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 241 · newest first
The latest 50 of 241 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 July 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Thomas O'Brien's strike rate?
Thomas O'Brien has won 1 of 25 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Thomas O'Brien·SR 4%·A/E 0.60
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