What is Thomas Reilly's strike rate?

Thomas Reilly has won 9 of 285 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Reilly do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Thomas Reilly ride most for?

John C McConnell, with 108 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.5%).

What is Thomas Reilly's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 285 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Thomas Reilly

285 rides in the lifetime window · 147 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2024 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

9–285

Wins / Runs

3.2%

Strike rate

n=285

34 (12%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=285 · 0.71 incl. margin

−184.17

£1 level stake

n=285 at SP · −64.6%

£106k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 285 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun John C McConnell: 6.5% from 108 First rides: 3.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (13.5%, n=37), clear of the rider's 3.2% baseline. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 1.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −137.67 to a £1 stake over 163 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. John C McConnell supplies 38% of the rides and edges the rider's average (6.5% vs 3.2%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (8.3%, n=36) and over 2m5f – 3m (7.5%, n=53). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 45 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.5%+0.3

n=144 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −89.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10%+6.8

n=10 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −5.67

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.3%−1.9

n=79 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −53.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −1.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.2%+0.0

n=280 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −179.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.2%−2.0

n=163 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −137.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Downpatrick 13.5% vs 3.2% · n=37

In Chase races 8.3% vs 3.2% · n=36

Over 2m5f – 3m 7.5% vs 3.2% · n=53

With John C McConnell 6.5% vs 3.2% · n=108

With debutants 7.3% vs 3.2% · n=41

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 3.2% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 174 3 1.7% −140.67

NH Flat 49 1 2% −41.00

Chase 36 3 8.3% −14.50

Flat 26 2 7.7% +12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 105 3 2.9% −90.00

Good 84 4 4.8% −28.50

Good to Soft 50 2 4% −19.67

Heavy 35 0 0% −35.00

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Downpatrick 37 5 13.5% +8.83

Down Royal 35 0 0% −35.00

Kilbeggan 18 0 0% −18.00

Punchestown 18 0 0% −18.00

Fairyhouse 18 0 0% −18.00

Bellewstown 17 0 0% −17.00

Navan 15 0 0% −15.00

Leopardstown 13 0 0% −13.00

Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00

Sligo 10 1 10% −2.50

Tramore 8 0 0% −8.00

Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00

Galway 8 0 0% −8.00

Wexford 7 2 28.6% +23.50

Naas 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 1 25% 0.76 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.24 −2.17

4th–6th fav 51 5 9.8% 1.57 +12.00

7th+ in betting 219 1 0.5% 0.25 −193.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 210 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 36 66.7% 4 3 4 1 0

Hurdle 174 90.8% 5 3 6 2 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kalsman (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Apr 24

Falak (IRE) 6 0 2 24 Apr 24

Meoulflower (IRE) 5 0 0 21 Feb 24

Free Parking (IRE) 5 0 0 10 Nov 23

Room To Roam (IRE) 5 1 1 26 Oct 23

Tick Along (IRE) 5 1 1 13 Aug 23

Howsthewoman (IRE) 5 0 0 30 May 23

Mister Saxman (GB) 5 0 0 14 Oct 20

Max Flamingo (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Apr 24

Rock Ya Boy Ya (IRE) 4 0 1 28 Sep 23

Enemy Coast Ahead (GB) 4 0 0 18 May 23

I Must (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Apr 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 147 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0000127037000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn C McConnell

38% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 1.21

TrainerRWSR£1

John C McConnell 108 7 6.5% −37.67

T G McCourt 35 1 2.9% −9.00

Liam Lennon 32 1 3.1% −27.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£106k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 4 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Clonguile Way (IRE) — Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-109) Wexford · May 2022

£7,080

Lowtown Charlie (IRE) — Dr. Louis O'Carroll Flat Race Listowel · Jun 2019

£6,776

Hereditary Rule (IRE) — C R Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Downpatrick · Sep 2022

£6,490

Notable horses

Room To Roam (IRE) Tick Along (IRE) Clonguile Way (IRE) Ottoman Style (GB) School Lane (IRE) Cabin Hill (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kalanisi (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,754 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Mahler (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,901 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Fast Company (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,604 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Carlotamix (FR) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,032 runs since 2010 (114 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15% from 160. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 270.

Winged Love (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 301 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 April 2006 to 26 April 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Apr 24 Downpatrick Max Flamingo (IRE)T: Francis Casey Randox Ulster National Handicap Chase29f · Good · 14 ran F 10/1

26 Apr 24 Downpatrick Kalsman (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Billie & Bertie FitzGerald Memorial Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 7 ran 4th 100/1

24 Apr 24 Bellewstown Falak (IRE)T: Miss Tracy M Reilly BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 66/1

22 Apr 24 Tramore Ciankyle (IRE)T: P Cluskey West Waterford Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good · 14 ran 12th 25/1

22 Apr 24 Tramore Mythical Times (IRE)T: P Cluskey Tramore Promenade Beginners Chase22f · Good · 15 ran UR 125/1

14 Apr 24 Down Royal Kalsman (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 150/1

17 Mar 24 Down Royal Kalsman (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Bluegrasshorsefeed.com Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 20 ran 13th 250/1

21 Feb 24 Punchestown Meoulflower (IRE)T: P Cluskey Sherry Fitzgerald Brady O'Flaherty Supporting Longford GAA Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 80/1

04 Feb 24 Leopardstown Palace Rock (IRE)T: Francis Casey Timeless Sash Windows Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed)16f · Soft · 21 ran BD 33/1

03 Feb 24 Leopardstown Max Flamingo (IRE)T: Francis Casey Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Soft · 22 ran 15th 80/1

28 Jan 24 Naas Squire Darlin (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Download The BetVictor App Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 250/1

23 Jan 24 Down Royal Meoulflower (IRE)T: P Cluskey Pravha Handicap Hurdle (80-95)17f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 80/1

12 Jan 24 Naas Keeptellinemnuttin (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Naas Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 21 ran 20th 66/1

01 Jan 24 Tramore Notkeepinyagoing (IRE)T: John C McConnell Ryans Cleaning Services Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 7/1

31 Dec 23 Punchestown Keeptellinemnuttin (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Heavy · 22 ran 17th 50/1

29 Dec 23 Limerick Meoulflower (IRE)T: P Cluskey Get In The Game Racing Maiden Hurdle (In Memory Of Andrew McNamara)19f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 150/1

26 Dec 23 Down Royal School Lane (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Metcollect Handicap Chase (0-102)20f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 25/1

26 Dec 23 Down Royal Citizen Dan (IRE)T: John C McConnell I.N.H. Stallion Owners European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 200/1

10 Nov 23 Down Royal Free Parking (IRE)T: John C McConnell Lough Construction Ltd. Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Soft · 19 ran F 33/1

10 Nov 23 Down Royal Meoulflower (IRE)T: P Cluskey Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Reilly's strike rate?: Thomas Reilly has won 9 of 285 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Reilly do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Reilly ride most for?: John C McConnell, with 108 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.5%).
What is Thomas Reilly's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 285 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.