What is Gerard Keane's strike rate?

Gerard Keane has won 40 of 533 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gerard Keane do best at?

Curragh by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gerard Keane?

Colin Keane, with 113 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.4%).

Is Gerard Keane in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Gerard Keane's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 532 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gerard Keane

533 runners in the last 5 seasons · 62 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

40–533

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=533

124 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=532 · 0.79 incl. margin

−180.73

£1 level stake

n=533 at SP · −33.9%

£750k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 19% (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 533 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 22% when favourite Colin Keane: 12.4% from 113 Headgear returns: 18.9% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Curragh (12.8%, n=47), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 18.9% (n=37, Fair A/E 2.10), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.59). Colin Keane rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.4% vs 7.5%, A/E 0.84). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap at Curragh (Sep 2023, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Monahullan Prince (GB) — 9 wins from 93 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4%−3.5

n=99 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −76.59

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.5

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−4.1

n=29 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −16.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.8%−2.7

n=21 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −17.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.9%+11.4

n=37 · A/E 2.10 · £1 +28.50

When favourite

22%

n=41 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −11.64

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−0.5

n=185 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −45.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%+1.6

n=11 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −8.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With headgear back on 18.9% vs 7.5% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 18.9% vs 7.5% · n=37

With C&D winners 15.6% vs 7.5% · n=45

With James Ryan 0% vs 7.5% · n=30

With Colin Keane 12.4% vs 7.5% · n=113

At Curragh 12.8% vs 7.5% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 340 29 8.5% −133.39

Hurdle 159 9 5.7% −98.34

Chase 17 1 5.9% +34.00

NH Flat 17 1 5.9% +17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 174 15 8.6% −49.64

Soft 162 9 5.6% −81.00

Standard (AW) 77 5 6.5% −47.59

Good to Soft 67 8 11.9% +23.50

Heavy 43 2 4.7% −28.00

Good to Firm 10 1 10% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 74 4 5.4% −49.59

Curragh 47 6 12.8% +15.00

Navan 40 2 5% −28.50

Fairyhouse 34 1 2.9% −29.50

Leopardstown 29 1 3.4% −26.90

Downpatrick 27 3 11.1% +50.00

Galway 27 4 14.8% −6.50

Punchestown 26 1 3.8% −22.25

Gowran Park 24 3 12.5% −11.75

Naas 24 0 0% −24.00

Roscommon 23 0 0% −23.00

Bellewstown 21 2 9.5% −6.50

Sligo 19 0 0% −19.00

Down Royal 18 0 0% −18.00

Ballinrobe 17 4 23.5% +34.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 11 1 9.1% −8.90

Class 2 2 1 50% +10.00

Class 6 1 1 100% +4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 13 24.5% 1.06 −4.39

2nd–3rd fav 83 12 14.5% 0.92 −21.84

4th–6th fav 121 9 7.4% 1.03 −24.50

7th+ in betting 276 6 2.2% 0.81 −130.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mephisto (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 57 5 12 21 Oct 26

Ragmans Corner (IRE) 31 6 14 25 Sep 26

Beauparc (IRE) 28 4 12 22 Aug 26

Genuine Article (GB)from D K Weld 25 1 7 13 Sep 26

Thegooseiscooked (IRE)from Anthony Mullins 23 1 7 21 Oct 26

Franno (IRE) 22 1 3 23 Jan 24

Art Of Silence (IRE) 21 2 4 12 Jul 26

Laughifuwant (IRE) 19 2 3 19 Sep 23

Joshua Chamberlain (IRE) 17 1 6 7 Sep 26

War Rooms (IRE)from Owen Burrows 16 1 3 21 Sep 26

Theophilos (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Paul Midgley 16 0 3 10 Dec 25

Givehertilxmas (IRE) 15 2 5 15 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 62 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A J Martin (4) and D K Weld (3); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs C O'Leary (4) and A J Martin (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1202076118129500

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColin Keane

21% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Colin Keane 113 14 12.4% −39.99

Jack Kearney 77 5 6.5% −40.75

Ricky Doyle 49 2 4.1% +10.00

Seamie Heffernan 34 2 5.9% −21.50

James Ryan 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

124

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.85m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Crystal Black (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2023

£88,500

Laughifuwant (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Ahonoora' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Galway · Aug 2019

£70,800

Crystal Black (IRE) — Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Class 2

£56,694

Notable horses

Monahullan Prince (GB) Effernock Lad (IRE) Ragmans Corner (IRE) Crystal Black (IRE) Mephisto (IRE) Laughifuwant (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kendargent (FR) 8.8% · 5–57

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,221 runs since 2008 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 253.

Free Eagle (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,399 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 130.

Kalanisi (IRE) 20% · 7–35

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Teofilo (IRE) 20.7% · 6–29

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,072 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Muhaarar (GB) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,783 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,324 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,324 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Mephisto (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 19th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 14th 50/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Grecian Pearl (IRE)J: Nicola Burns 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 300/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lethimfly (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 1st 11/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Ragstoriches (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 80/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Freddiesadienray (IRE)J: Nicola Burns M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 200/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Grecian Pearl (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 15th 150/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Verified (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 12th 8/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mephisto (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 10th 18/1

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 1st 9/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Verified (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 1st 9/2F

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 22/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Freddiesadienray (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 500/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Grennanstown Lady (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran BD 33/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ragmans Corner (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 10/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)J: Colin Keane La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 5th 7/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Freddiesadienray (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 15th 200/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) War Rooms (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan John McGuire Handicap12f · Yielding · 15 ran 10th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerard Keane's strike rate?: Gerard Keane has won 40 of 533 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerard Keane do best at?: Curragh by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gerard Keane?: Colin Keane, with 113 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.4%).
Is Gerard Keane in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Gerard Keane's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 532 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.