12:55 Redcar

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Iron Stone Lad KTB Selection57/100

   Form 22 · William Haggas · James Doyle

   Family: half-brother to Native Instinct (2 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Iron Stone Lad comes into this with fair ability shown by two placed efforts from as many starts and now steps up from 1m to 1m1f for the first time. The trip is a fresh question while the soft ground remains unknown given the small sample. William Haggas operates at a 25% strike rate at Redcar from 230 runs which is above his 20% at other courses while James Doyle rides at a 21% strike rate here from 38 rides in line with his 15% elsewhere. Half-brother to Native Instinct who won twice from 15 starts, he is dropping in class from an official rating of 82. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he is the KTB selection and looks to have the best blend of experience and yard support.

2. 2Sir Nicholas57/100

   David O'Meara · Mark Winn

   Family: half-brother to Halimede (2 wins from 6 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 4 of them winners.

   Sir Nicholas is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 15% strike rate at Redcar from 786 runs, above their 12% elsewhere, while jockey Mark Winn posts a 20% strike rate here from 75 rides, above his 10% at other tracks. He is a half-brother to Halimede who won twice from six starts and comes from a dam that has produced four winners from six other runners. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence the colt's ability on soft ground over this trip remains entirely unknown. The trainer and jockey combination carries appeal on local figures, and the pedigree suggests he could be up to making an impact at this level if he is forward enough on debut.

3. 3Skylar53/100

   Form 35 · Charlie Johnston · Rowan Scott

   Family: half-brother to Sirona, a Listed winner (3 wins from 19 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Skylar has shown fair placed form in two starts over longer trips and now drops back to 1m1f for the first time, which asks a fresh question. The half-brother to Listed winner Sirona comes from a family that has produced winners, though with only two career runs the overall picture remains tentative. Trainer Charlie Johnston operates at a 13% strike rate here in line with his general record while Rowan Scott matches his 9% at the track. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he could set the fractions in a genuinely-run race. Dropping in class, he is entitled to be thereabouts if the trip suits.

4. 4Charmed Boy49/100

   Form 44 · Hugo Palmer · Kevin Stott

   Family: half-brother to Bavardages (6 wins from 34 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 4 of them winners.

   Charmed Boy is a modest 2-year-old who has shown only fair form in two starts at 1m. He steps up in trip today with a half-brother to a multiple winner on the dam's side, though the small sample leaves his effectiveness at this distance and on soft ground still to be answered. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 16% and 14% strike rate respectively at Redcar, figures in line with their records elsewhere. Typically settling in midfield, he is stepping up in class from an official rating of 67. The placed efforts give him a baseline but he will need to improve to play a major part here.

5. 5Sir Terry Hadley47/100

   Form 64 · Charlie Johnston · Jason Hart

   Family: half-brother to Royal Scandal (2 wins from 10 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Sir Terry Hadley has shown ordinary form in two starts over shorter trips and now steps up to 1m1f for the first time which asks a fresh question. The half-brother to Royal Scandal comes from a family where three of the dam's other four runners have won but the small sample means everything has to be treated with caution. Usually held up and producing effort late, he has one run on soft with no win or place.

6. 6Caldo47/100

   Form 72 · Andrew Balding · P. J. McDonald

   Family: half-brother to Of Good Cheer (1 win from 4 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Caldo has shown fair promise in two starts, finishing second last time out over a mile. He steps up in trip today having already placed without winning at this distance on his only attempt. Trainer Andrew Balding has an 18% strike rate at Redcar from 55 runs in line with his record elsewhere while jockey P J McDonald posts a 10% strike rate at the track from 639 rides also in line with his wider figures. Usually races handily on or close to the lead.

7. 7Sardinero44/100

   Rebecca Menzies · Kaiya Fraser

   Sardinero is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard's 6% strike rate at Redcar is in line with their record elsewhere and the jockey matches that modest 6% figure at the track from his own rides here. Data confidence is low so any judgement rests entirely on pedigree and sales background which are not supplied.

8. 8Giant Dan Burn40/100

   Form 47 · Charlie Johnston · Oliver Stammers

   Family: half-brother to Panama City (6 wins from 37 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Lightly raced with just two runs and a modest 47 form line so far. Steps up in trip to 1m1f today which is an unknown. Trainer has a 13% strike rate at Redcar from 82 runs in line with their record elsewhere while jockey records an 11% strike rate at the track from 54 rides also in line with his overall figure. Usually races handily on or close to the lead.

9. 9Dj Harry37/100

   Form 6 · Gemma Tutty · Joanna Mason

   Family: half-brother to Takarengo (4 wins from 86 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Dj Harry ran once as a two-year-old, finishing sixth of nine over a mile here on this track. The yard records a 9% strike rate at Redcar from 58 runs, in line with their overall figure, while Joanna Mason shows a 10% strike rate at the course from 167 rides, also matching her record elsewhere. He steps up in trip today with only one previous run on the board, so the form must be treated with caution given the low data confidence.