1:55 Ripon
This Class 4 restricted maiden for two-year-olds at Ripon covers six furlongs on good ground and features a field of eight. The KTB Fit Scores sit in a relatively tight band from 53 down to 40, reflecting a race where most participants have shown only modest ability or remain largely unexposed. With the KTB Selection carrying top marks at 53, the contest looks winnable for a horse that can translate placed form into a first victory.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as a lone leader with medium confidence, pointing to one clear front-runner facing little pressure. Arenite is the most obvious candidate to take up that role from his draw, while the majority of the field, including the selection Ouragan, tend to be held up and produce their effort late. The key question is whether the uncontested lead will prove hard for the closers to peg back over this straight six furlongs.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Ouragan KTB Selection53/100
Ouragan is a modest performer who has shown consistent form without winning across four starts, finishing second over this trip on his penultimate outing. He steps up from five furlongs today, though that looks a fair question given a previous placed effort at six furlongs already. Archie Watson holds a 15% strike rate at Ripon from 62 runs with an A/E of 0.75, while Oisin Murphy takes the ride and boasts a 23% strike rate at the track from 13 rides with an A/E of 0.9. The colt is held up and usually produces his effort late. Dropping in class, he is the KTB Selection.
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2Arenite48/100
Arenite is a modest performer who has finished second on both of his starts, most recently over six and a half furlongs. He drops back to six furlongs today where he is two from two in terms of placing, though he is yet to win at the trip. Michael Dods has a 9% strike rate at Ripon from 391 runs with an A/E of 0.85, while Connor Beasley is making his first appearance at the track. The colt tends to make the running or race prominently and has been placed once from one run on good ground. With the pace shape suggesting a lone leader, his front-running style could prove significant.
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3Brewster46/100
Brewster is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has an 11% strike rate at Ripon from 95 runs with an A/E of 0.86. With no racecourse form the assessment rests on pedigree and sales background which offer limited clues at this stage. Billy Garritty takes the ride on a horse whose ability remains entirely unknown. The yard's overall trainer-jockey record stands at 10% with an A/E of 0.87. As a debutant he adds an unpredictable element to a race that already looks tightly contested on paper.
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4Dee's Mochafella45/100
Dee's Mochafella has only one run to his name and finished a remote 13th on this track over a mile last time. He now drops back to an untried six furlongs which asks a fresh question of him. Fionn McSharry has a 0% strike rate at Ripon from four runs, though Daniel Tudhope brings a 21% strike rate at the track from 479 rides with an A/E of 1.02. The yard's trainer-jockey record is 20% with an A/E of 1.73. With so little evidence available this remains very much an unknown.
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5My Boo Boo45/100
My Boo Boo has shown mixed form in two starts so far, finishing second on debut before a lesser effort last time. The trip looks suitable enough on what she has done, though she has yet to win at it. Dropping in class, she remains a low-confidence read with only two runs on the board and no course experience.
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6Harry Who44/100
Harry Who showed fair promise when finishing fourth on debut over this trip. The yard have a modest 5% strike rate from 38 runs at Ripon. Stepping up in class with only one run on his record, the colt remains largely unexposed but has to improve to figure prominently here.
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7Black Gin43/100
Black Gin is a debutant with low data confidence so the assessment rests mainly on his pedigree and sales background. The yard has a modest 3% strike rate from 29 runs at Ripon. Connections will be hoping the pedigree translates into a competitive first run.
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8Travellers Girl40/100
Travellers Girl is a modest performer who has shown consistent form without winning, finishing in the first four on all five starts including two placed efforts at this trip. She has been placed both times at Ripon and steps up from five furlongs today, which looks a fair question on pedigree and prior placed efforts over six furlongs. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate here from a big sample.
KTB verdict
Ouragan is the KTB Selection. He has displayed consistent modest form without winning and his second over this trip on his penultimate start provides a solid base, while the drop in class and the booking of Oisin Murphy add to his appeal. The pace shape may allow the front-running Arenite an uncontested lead that could be difficult for held-up types to overcome, making him the most obvious danger. Brewster and Dee's Mochafella bring plenty of unknowns as lightly raced or debut types, while the remainder of the field largely consist of modest performers or those needing to improve markedly.
KTB Selection Ouragan
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 31 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Ouragan | 3/1 | William Hill |
| Arenite | 6/4 | Bet365 |
| Brewster | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Dee's Mochafella | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| My Boo Boo | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Harry Who | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Black Gin | 20/1 | Midnite |
| Travellers Girl | 10/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 1:55 Ripon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ripon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ripon results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Arenite, whose run-style is to make the running or race on the pace.
How many placed efforts has Travellers Girl recorded at Ripon?
Two, having finished third and fourth on her two visits to the track.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Ripon for the yard of the selection Ouragan?
15% from 62 runs with an A/E of 0.75.
Over what distance did Dee's Mochafella finish 13th on his sole start?
A mile, at this same course.
Which principal has shown placed form on good ground?
Arenite, who has been placed once from one run on good.
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