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Trainer profile

Brian Toomey

201 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
22–201
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=201
58 (29%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=201 · 0.94 incl. margin
−37.79
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −18.8%
£177k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Class 6 (16%, n=100) and off a 31-60-day break (15.4%, n=65). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 6.5% over 62 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Silky Robin (IRE) — 7 wins from 25 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−7.5
n=29 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −20.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−5.6
n=19 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −10.50
Debutants · first career start
10%−0.9
n=10 · A/E 2.69 · £1 +16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+5.8
n=6 · A/E 1.99 · £1 −1.67
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
18.8%+7.9
n=16 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=18 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −6.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.9
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 16% vs 10.9% · n=100
Off a 31-60-day break 15.4% vs 10.9% · n=65
In Class 5 6.5% vs 10.9% · n=62
On Good to Firm going 15.6% vs 10.9% · n=45
With a new jockey booking 7.9% vs 10.9% · n=126
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 199 22 11.1% −35.79
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 104 10 9.6% −36.29
Good to Firm 45 7 15.6% +17.50
Good 30 3 10% −14.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Soft 7 2 28.6% +10.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 3 10.3% −0.12
Kempton (AW) 26 4 15.4% −5.17
Chelmsford City (AW) 21 1 4.8% −12.50
Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% −7.50
Brighton 12 5 41.7% +14.50
Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 10 1 10% −4.50
Yarmouth 8 0 0% −8.00
Newbury 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield 5 2 40% +7.00
Salisbury 5 1 20% +3.50
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 100 16 16% −7.29
Class 5 62 4 6.5% −26.00
Class 4 28 2 7.1% +6.50
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 4 20% 0.74 −8.12
2nd–3rd fav 44 9 20.5% 1.33 +8.33
4th–6th fav 66 8 12.1% 1.49 +20.00
7th+ in betting 71 1 1.4% 0.43 −58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Valadero (IRE)from George Boughey 28 1 10 15 Oct 26
Flag Carrier (IRE)from Harry Eustace 26 2 8 13 Sep 26
Silky Robin (IRE)from Paul Midgley 25 7 10 12 Oct 26
Classic Speed (IRE)from Clive Cox 18 2 3 24 Jan 26
Electrical (GB) 9 1 1 5 Oct 26
Wake Up Harry (GB)from Simon Dow 9 2 6 19 Jul 24
Cuban Girl (GB)from Andrew Balding 8 0 1 21 Sep 26
Kraken Diamond (IRE)from John C McConnell · then Jim Goldie 7 0 1 13 Apr 24
Burdett Estate (IRE) 6 1 1 21 Sep 26
Black Falcon (GB) 6 0 0 27 Jun 25
Inanna (IRE)from S Woods · then Jim Goldie 6 0 2 13 Jul 24
Arthur Rose (IRE)from Mark Fahey 5 2 4 11 Feb 26
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Scott (2) and Mark Fahey (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Goldie (3); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0913810141079142025
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Callum Shepherd 24 4 16.7% +4.71
Sean D Bowen 20 2 10% −3.00
Jason Watson 17 4 23.5% +24.50
Joe Leavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Kieran Shoemark 9 0 0% −9.00
Oisin Murphy 8 4 50% +14.00
Tom Marquand 8 2 25% +2.00
J F Egan 7 0 0% −7.00
William Cox 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean Levey 5 0 0% −5.00
David Probert 5 0 0% −5.00
Rossa Ryan 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
22
Archived wins
£177k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 11 wins
Electrical (GB) — Fidelity Energy Green Future Novice Stakes Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 4
£6,480
The Quiet Gent (IRE) — PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes Salisbury · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£5,888
Wake Up Harry (GB) — Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 6
£4,501
Notable horses
Silky Robin (IRE) Flag Carrier (IRE) Classic Speed (IRE) Wake Up Harry (GB) Arthur Rose (IRE) Valadero (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 5.6% · 3–54
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 28% · 7–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Kodiac (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Le Havre (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 12.5% of 5,853 runs since 2008 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Nathaniel (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,062 runs since 2008 (634 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 201 · newest first

The latest 50 of 201 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2023 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Haydock Tina's Indian (IRE)J: Tom Marquand M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton My Boo Boo (GB)J: Tom Marquand Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 1st 1/2F
15 Oct 26 Brighton Valadero (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 3/1J
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Silky Robin (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 7/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Valadero (IRE)J: Liam Wright Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 13/2
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Electrical (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 15/2
21 Sep 26 Leicester Cuban Girl (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 16/1
21 Sep 26 Leicester Burdett Estate (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 12th 125/1
14 Sep 26 Windsor Silky Robin (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 16/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Flag Carrier (IRE)J: Jason Watson Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 12/1
11 Sep 26 Salisbury The Quiet Gent (IRE)J: Callum Rodriguez PKF Francis Clark Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 15/2
07 Sep 26 Windsor Burdett Estate (IRE)J: Jack Callan Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 9th 125/1
31 Aug 26 Ripon My Boo Boo (GB)J: Tom Marquand Squadron Flyer At Aldwark Manor Estate Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 7/2
30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Cuban Girl (GB)J: Jack Callan Bodhi Solutions - Commercial Fit-out Challenge Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 6/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Tina's Indian (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Coopers Marquees Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 11/1
15 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Electrical (GB)J: Clifford Lee Watch Live Racing At Betway Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 28/1
14 Aug 26 Yarmouth Valadero (IRE)J: Liam Wright Danny Frost - Medlock Electrical Distributors Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 7/2
07 Aug 26 Brighton The Quiet Gent (IRE)J: David Probert Harry Bloom Memorial "Brighton Bullet" Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
06 Aug 26 Brighton Valadero (IRE)J: Liam Wright JenningsBet In Bexhill On Sea Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 17/2
03 Aug 26 Windsor Flag Carrier (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Talk Sport Radio Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Toomey's strike rate?
Brian Toomey has won 22 of 201 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Brian Toomey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Brian Toomey's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).