3:22 Downpatrick
This 3:22 Downpatrick contest is the second division of the MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle over 2m1f165y on good ground. A field of twelve runners lines up in a race that lacks any obvious leader according to the KTB pace shape, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Georginas Jet heading the numbers on 61, followed by Xquise on 56, Jodoro on 54, Burlington House on 51 and Glory Sky on 46.
How the race shapes up
With no horse obviously wanting the lead the race is set to be steadily-run and tactical, where being handy should pay dividends. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit rankings, tend to be held up and produce their efforts late, which could make it a race where the ability to weave through traffic at the right moment is crucial. The key question will be whether any runner can get into a prominent position without using up too much energy early, or whether the late runners can time their challenges perfectly off what is likely to be a modest gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Georginas Jet KTB Selection61/100
Georginas Jet is a fair performer who has won over this trip and at this track from just two runs here. He has been in and out of form this season and is now dropping back in distance after a recent longer run. The trainer holds a modest 8% strike rate at Downpatrick from 26 runs with an A/E of 1, while the jockey fares better with a 17% strike rate and A/E of 1.25 from 82 rides at the track. He has a record of 1 win from 14 starts on good ground with 5 places, and his course form reads as a winner from two starts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the KTB Selection.
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2Xquise56/100
Xquise is useful on his day but has been largely out of form this year and his latest effort was poor. The drop back in trip today asks a fresh question of him while the small overall sample makes going preferences hard to pin down. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Downpatrick from 45 runs with an A/E of 1.09, and the jockey has a 14% strike rate from 93 rides with an A/E of 1.07, both solid. He has had just 1 run on good ground with no win or place to show for it and holds no course form on record. Typically settling in midfield, he enters the race with a KTB Fit score of 56.
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3Jodoro54/100
Jodoro is a useful performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor efforts including a pulled-up and a fall. He steps up in trip for the first time in a while having shown little on his one previous attempt at this distance. The trainer holds a solid 9% strike rate at Downpatrick from 161 runs with an A/E of 1.12, while the jockey's strike rate is a more modest 6% from 103 rides with an A/E of 0.66. He has had 3 runs on good ground with no win or place and holds no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form reads P9-7U5 and he carries a KTB Fit score of 54.
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4Burlington House51/100
Burlington House is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning in recent starts. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question, while his record on good ground remains modest from just two runs. The trainer holds a solid 11% strike rate at Downpatrick from 54 runs with an A/E of 0.97, and the jockey has a 9% strike rate from 120 rides with an A/E of 0.67. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form reads 0542-7 and he comes into the race with a KTB Fit score of 51.
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5Glory Sky46/100
Glory Sky is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history but has been out of form for some time with three modest efforts this year. He drops back in trip to one he has never tried and makes his first appearance at Downpatrick where both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Downpatrick from 14 runs with an A/E of 0.94, while the jockey has a 5% strike rate from 21 rides with an A/E of 0.63. He has been placed once from three runs on good ground without winning, and holds no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form reads 0/778- and he has a KTB Fit score of 46.
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6Polly Poppins45/100
Polly Poppins is a fair mare who has shown consistent placed form on good ground without winning. She steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge on her only previous attempt at this distance while her recent efforts have been moderate. The trainer has no prior runners at Downpatrick and the jockey is 0-9 at the track.
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7Centaq45/100
Centaq is a fair performer who has been placed twice over this trip and has shown consistent placed form at Downpatrick without winning. He has run nine times here and produced his best efforts on this track in recent seasons, though he has failed to win in seven runs on good ground. The trainer holds a modest 9% strike rate at the track from a large sample while the jockey is operating at 8% from 13 rides.
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8Victoria Kesia44/100
Victoria Kesia is a fair mare who has placed here once and shown she can be competitive on good ground. She steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m4f, though she has placed once at this distance. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at Downpatrick and the jockey's 0-from-33 record here add to the negatives, while first-time headgear is an unknown.
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9Hello Johnjoe43/100
Hello Johnjoe is a fair performer who has shown little spark since his early placed efforts and was well beaten on his only previous run here. He drops back in trip today having looked stretched over further last time but he holds no strong positives on either ground or at this track. The trainer remains winless from 49 runs at Downpatrick.
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10Baltinglass Hill40/100
Baltinglass Hill is a fair performer who has been well below form this season with three poor runs since returning from a break. He has shown some ability at this track in the past but has never won here or at today's trip, and the drop back in distance now asks a fresh question. The trainer's modest record at Downpatrick and the jockey's poor strike-rate at the course add to the negatives.
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11Invincible Oscar40/100
Invincible Oscar is a fair performer who has struggled to make an impact so far with a recent string of modest efforts. The trainer holds a 7% strike rate from 208 runs here while the jockey is operating at 5% from 134 rides, both below par for the track. Trip looks a fresh question having failed to trouble the judge on his only previous attempt at this distance.
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12Youknowme36/100
Youknowme is a modest performer who has failed to place in nine starts and showed little spark when falling in his latest outing. He drops back in trip with first-time headgear and the yard's modest 7% strike rate at Downpatrick adds no encouragement. Going form on good ground is also unconvincing.
KTB verdict
Georginas Jet stands out as the KTB Selection. He has already won over this trip and at this track from limited attempts, and while his form has been patchy this season the drop back in distance looks suitable. The combination of a course-and-distance winner who is ridden by a jockey with a strong 17% strike rate at Downpatrick gives him solid claims in a race that may suit his held-up style if the pace is tactical. His main dangers are likely to come from Xquise, who retains ability despite a poor recent run and benefits from connections with good track records, and Jodoro, who brings useful form even if out of sorts of late. Burlington House and Glory Sky round out the principals and cannot be entirely ruled out if the race develops in their favour.
KTB Selection Georginas Jet
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 18 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Georginas Jet | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Xquise | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Jodoro | 6/1 | Bet Victor |
| Burlington House | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Glory Sky | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Polly Poppins | 10/1 | Bet Victor |
| Centaq | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Victoria Kesia | 18/1 | Bet Victor |
| Hello Johnjoe | 11/1 | Bet Victor |
| Baltinglass Hill | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Invincible Oscar | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Youknowme | 12/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:22 Downpatrick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Downpatrick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Downpatrick results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has previous course-and-distance winning form at Downpatrick?
Georginas Jet has won here over this trip from two runs at the track.
How many of the principals are usually held up in their races?
Four of the top five principals – Georginas Jet, Jodoro, Burlington House and Glory Sky – are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which runner is wearing first-time headgear in this race?
Victoria Kesia is wearing first-time headgear, as is Youknowme.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Downpatrick among those represented in the top five?
Dermot A McLoughlin has a 9% strike rate at Downpatrick from 161 runs with an A/E of 1.12.
What is the pace shape for this handicap hurdle?
The race lacks a leader with medium confidence, likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
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