Skip to content
Trainer profile

Paul John Gilligan

651 runners in the last 5 seasons · 99 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
26–651
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=651
93 (14%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=650 · 0.68 incl. margin
−423.86
£1 level stake
n=651 at SP · −65.1%
£749k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 8% (38 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 651 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Jack G Gilligan: 3.9% from 356 Headgear returns: 7.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (10%, n=40) and Galway (7.8%, n=103) — all clear of the yard's 4% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 7.9% (n=38, Fair A/E 1.82), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −89.71 to a £1 stake over 104 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jack G Gilligan rides 55% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.74). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (8.1%, n=86). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 40 runners, 4pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Gaelic Plant Hire Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Feb 2020, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Harangue (IRE) — 6 wins from 47 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−1.1
n=104 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −89.71
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Debutants · first career start
1.7%−2.3
n=59 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −42.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.9%+3.9
n=38 · A/E 1.82 · £1 −16.50
When favourite
40%
n=15 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +5.94
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−0.3
n=457 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −319.69
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2.2%−1.8
n=45 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −33.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Limerick 10% vs 4% · n=40
On Heavy going 8.1% vs 4% · n=86
At Galway 7.8% vs 4% · n=103
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4% · n=40
Off a 0-7-day break 0% vs 4% · n=36
With headgear back on 7.9% vs 4% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 403 17 4.2% −245.85
Chase 163 7 4.3% −115.01
Flat 51 1 2% −46.00
NH Flat 34 1 2.9% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 230 8 3.5% −160.01
Soft 207 7 3.4% −156.25
Good to Soft 124 4 3.2% −92.00
Heavy 86 7 8.1% −11.60
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Galway 103 8 7.8% −33.71
Ballinrobe 62 1 1.6% −57.00
Sligo 53 2 3.8% −30.00
Killarney 41 1 2.4% −34.00
Limerick 40 4 10% +10.33
Punchestown 37 1 2.7% −33.00
Kilbeggan 33 0 0% −33.00
Fairyhouse 32 1 3.1% −24.00
Listowel 29 0 0% −29.00
Roscommon 25 1 4% −20.80
Cork 21 0 0% −21.00
Tipperary 21 0 0% −21.00
Leopardstown 18 2 11.1% −0.50
Navan 17 0 0% −17.00
Cheltenham 17 1 5.9% −13.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 51 1 2% −39.00
Class 5 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Class 4 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Class 3 4 1 25% +3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 6 35.3% 1.40 +3.94
2nd–3rd fav 73 7 9.6% 0.70 −36.30
4th–6th fav 170 9 5.3% 0.93 −71.50
7th+ in betting 391 4 1% 0.55 −320.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.8% completed · 566 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 163 78.5% 8 6 21 0 0
Hurdle 403 83.1% 8 2 54 0 4
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Buddy One (IRE) 37 5 13 13 Oct 26
Moonshine Girl (IRE) 26 2 8 26 Oct 26
Kings Hill (IRE) 25 4 9 18 Oct 26
Zeeband (IRE)from Michael Bell 23 4 7 21 Nov 25
Born By The Sea (IRE)from John Bleahen 22 0 1 3 Feb 25
Just Three (IRE) 21 0 1 20 May 25
Itsalladream (IRE) 19 2 5 30 Sep 26
Georginas Jet (IRE) 19 1 5 18 Sep 26
Cloughroe (IRE)from Denis Quinn 18 1 5 8 Sep 25
Sequestered (IRE)from Leonard Paul Flynn 18 3 5 21 Apr 25
Mr Mcwhinny (IRE)then T Ellis 17 0 1 21 Jul 25
Seventy Eight Team (IRE) 16 0 1 21 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 99 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Emmet Mullins (3); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Clare Ellam (5); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
35100083241033
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack G Gilligan
55% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.74
RiderRWSR£1
Jack G Gilligan 356 14 3.9% −253.06
Danny Gilligan 88 3 3.4% −63.00
Mr O T Gilligan 33 1 3% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
107
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£2.08m
Prize money
2009
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Glamorgan Duke (IRE) — Gaelic Plant Hire Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2020 · Grade A
£88,500
Jadanli (IRE) — Powers Gold Cup (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Apr 2010 · Grade 1
£65,000
Kings Hill (IRE) — BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3) Limerick (IRE) · Oct 2026 · Grade 3
£60,000
Notable horses
Harangue (IRE) Jadanli (IRE) Buddy One (IRE) Wellforth (IRE) Nintytwo Team (IRE) Kings Hill (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sans Frontieres (IRE) 10.3% · 6–58
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,254 runs since 2018 (155 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 184.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–43
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,869 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Mount Nelson (GB) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,534 runs since 2018 (273 horses).
Malinas (GER) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,952 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Kingston Hill (GB) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,648 runs since 2019 (204 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,963 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,963 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Rockonfamouslee (IRE)J: Mr O T Gilligan Electric Galway (C & G) (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 16/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)J: Miss J Townend COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran 1st 12/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Menez Are (FR)J: Mr O T Gilligan Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 8th 200/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Fergy Five (IRE)J: Daniel King Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 33/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Tradonthebay (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Supermac's Rated Novice Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 28/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Survivors Sister (IRE)J: Daniel King Gerry Coyne Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 40/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kings Hill (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 11/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Born De Ceres (FR)J: Daniel King #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 2nd 16/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Killowen House (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 14/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Buddy One (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/4
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Survivors Sister (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Mongey Communications Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran F 14/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)J: Miss J Townend Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Tradonthebay (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 8th 5/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Born De Ceres (FR)J: Danny Gilligan Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 5th 150/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Itsalladream (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Steeplechase21f · Good · 6 ran 5th 12/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)J: Miss J Townend Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran SU 20/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Menez Are (FR)J: Danny Gilligan John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 250/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Killowen House (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 10/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Kings Hill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Guinness Kerry National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 18 ran PU 14/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Born De Ceres (FR)J: Danny Gilligan McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Paul John Gilligan's strike rate?
Paul John Gilligan has won 26 of 651 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul John Gilligan do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul John Gilligan?
Jack G Gilligan, with 356 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (3.9%).
Is Paul John Gilligan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul John Gilligan's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 650 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).