What is Alix Balfe's strike rate?

Alix Balfe has won 7 of 142 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Alix Balfe ride most for?

Gavin Cromwell, with 60 rides since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).

Is Alix Balfe in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alix Balfe's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 142 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alix Balfe

142 rides in the last 5 seasons · 74 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

7–142

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=142

25 (18%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=142 · 0.82 incl. margin

−91.25

£1 level stake

n=142 at SP · −64.3%

£99,019

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Rides mostly for Gavin Cromwell — 42% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 142 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Gavin Cromwell: 3.3% from 60 Claiming: 5%

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.35). Gavin Cromwell supplies 42% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.3%, A/E 0.63). The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (8.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 1.7% over 60 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.4%−3.5

n=74 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −71.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

50%+45.1

n=6 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +6.63

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−4.9

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

When favourite

42.9%

n=7 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +1.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5%+0.1

n=141 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −90.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.3%−2.6

n=86 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −65.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.9

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On first rides for the horse 1.4% vs 4.9% · n=74

Off a 15-30-day break 8.5% vs 4.9% · n=47

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.7% vs 4.9% · n=60

On Soft going 7.8% vs 4.9% · n=51

With Gavin Cromwell 3.3% vs 4.9% · n=60 · A/E 0.63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 121 5 4.1% −80.63

Chase 19 2 10.5% −8.62

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 51 4 7.8% −13.25

Good 47 2 4.3% −36.88

Good to Soft 26 0 0% −26.00

Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00

Good to Firm 1 1 100% +1.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Downpatrick 17 2 11.8% −6.88

Punchestown 14 0 0% −14.00

Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00

Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00

Cork 10 1 10% +3.00

Navan 9 0 0% −9.00

Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00

Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00

Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00

Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00

Galway 5 0 0% −5.00

Tramore 5 1 20% −2.25

Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00

Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Wexford 4 1 25% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +1.88

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.56 +1.25

2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00

4th–6th fav 23 2 8.7% 1.17 −8.50

7th+ in betting 103 2 1.9% 0.98 −75.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 140 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 19 63.2% 1 0 6 0 0

Hurdle 121 88.4% 2 4 7 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sights Unseen (IRE) 13 1 6 5 Oct 26

Schiehallion (IRE) 5 1 1 9 Oct 26

Breakintheclouds (IRE) 5 0 0 12 Oct 24

Centaq (IRE) 4 0 1 9 Oct 26

Letters To Juliet (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Dec 25

Rock Ya Boy Ya (IRE) 4 3 3 27 Oct 25

Jokers 'n' Clowns (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Feb 25

Willows Word (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Sep 26

Saoirses Choice (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Aug 26

Penny Jar (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Jun 26

Digby (IRE) 3 0 0 25 May 26

Colin's Friend (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Dec 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000255001003100

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGavin Cromwell

42% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.63

TrainerRWSR£1

Gavin Cromwell 60 2 3.3% −44.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£99,019

Prize money

2025

Best season · 4 wins

Rock Ya Boy Ya (IRE) — Start Your Free Trial On Racing TV Now Rated Novice Hurdle Wexford · Oct 2025

£10,325

Macinamillion (IRE) — Leisure Domes Ltd Marquee Hire Handicap Hurdle Cork · Apr 2024

£6,785

Schiehallion (IRE) — Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase Downpatrick (IRE) · Oct 2026

£6,000

Notable horses

Rock Ya Boy Ya (IRE) Sights Unseen (IRE) Schiehallion (IRE) Macinamillion (IRE) My Girl Katie (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Hillstar (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 7.5% of 738 runs since 2008 (88 horses).

Poet's Word (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.9% of 698 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 106.

Court Cave (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Red Jazz (USA) 42.9% · 3–7

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,868 runs since 2008 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.

Califet (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,787 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 142 · newest first

The latest 50 of 142 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2023 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Schiehallion (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 13/2

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Centaq (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 9/2

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Sights Unseen (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 4th 50/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Misty Cove (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 13/2

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Black Heather (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 17/2

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Malton Groove (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran PU 28/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Path D'oroux (FR)T: Gavin Cromwell Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 50/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Schiehallion (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Vianstown Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 12/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Centaq (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II)18f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Joya Del Mar (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin P&D Lydon Mares Beginners Steeplechase23f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 16/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Mr Dibbs (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 22/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Neon Eyes (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Burke's Clonbur 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 10/1

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot My Girl Katie (IRE)T: Grace Harris Devonport Royal Dockyard Social Club Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 2/1F

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Willows Word (IRE)T: Patrick Rooney WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 100/1

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Kamino Bello (FR)T: Gavin Cromwell Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 20/1

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) My Policy (IRE)T: Patrick Rooney Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 40/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Saoirses Choice (IRE)T: Francis Casey Dale Farm Dromona Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 10 ran UR 80/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Willows Word (IRE)T: Patrick Rooney Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 100/1

22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot My Girl Katie (IRE)T: Grace Harris Happy 80th Birthday John Lane Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 15/8F

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Willows Word (IRE)T: Patrick Rooney Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alix Balfe's strike rate?: Alix Balfe has won 7 of 142 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Alix Balfe ride most for?: Gavin Cromwell, with 60 rides since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).
Is Alix Balfe in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alix Balfe's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 142 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.