3:48 Warwick

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Kittys Glance KTB Selection68/100

   Form -23221 · Alan King · Tom Bellamy

   Kittys Glance is a smart performer who arrives in top form after winning two of his last three starts, his recent figures reading -23221. He has won on good ground and at today’s trip, and Alan King’s 19% strike rate at Warwick from 635 runs is above the yard’s overall figure. Tom Bellamy takes the ride with an 11% strike rate at the track from 207 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and this first run at Warwick carries no negative. Rated 110, he is taken to land this.

2. 2Katarcice66/100

   Form 2-2351 · Fergal O'Brien · Jack Hogan

   Family: half-brother to Bacardys, a Grade 1 winner (7 wins from 35 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Katarcice is a smart performer who arrives in solid nick after a win last time and a string of placed efforts, his figures reading 2-2351. Half-brother to Grade 1 winner Bacardys, he drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried which poses a fresh question. Fergal O’Brien’s 11% strike rate at Warwick from 258 runs sits below his overall figure. Jack Hogan rides with a 15% strike rate at the track from 33 rides. He tends to make the running or race on the pace and is rated 108.

3. 3An Buachaill Rua64/100

   Form 6512F- · Sheila Lewis · Harry Atkins(5)

   An Buachaill Rua is a useful performer who has placed on both visits to Warwick, finishing fifth and third. He looks suited by the return to this trip having won his only previous start at 2m5f and steps back from 3m last time. Sheila Lewis’s 18% strike rate at the track from 44 runs is above her overall figure, though Harry Atkins is yet to score from 13 rides here. He usually races handily on or close to the lead and has been competitive on good ground without winning. Rated 93 and stepping up in class.

4. 4Guardami Ancora60/100

   Form 2623-0 · Mrs C. Williams · Conor Ring

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Guardami Ancora is a smart performer who has shown consistent placed form at shorter trips and arrives off an official rating of 108. He steps up to 2m5f for the first time today which asks a fresh question. The dam has had just one other runner that failed to win. Mrs C. Williams has had only one run at Warwick which is too small a sample to judge. Usually races handily on or close to the lead with high confidence, he has been placed on all three starts on good ground.

5. 5So Proud55/100

   Form 5-4320 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · Jonjo O'Neill Jr.

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   So Proud is a useful performer on his official rating of 103 and has shown consistent placed form this year, his recent figures reading 5-4320. He finished fourth on his only previous run at Warwick and Jonjo & A.J. O’Neill’s 11% strike rate here from 71 runs is in line with their record elsewhere. Jonjo O’Neill Jr. has an 18% strike rate at the track from 157 rides. Typically settling in midfield, the step up in trip is an unknown. The dam has produced just one other non-winning runner and he drops in class.

6. 6Ballymoreen55/100

   Form 1642-1 · Emma Lavelle · Harry Cobden

   Ballymoreen is a useful performer who won a 2m5f handicap at this trip on his most recent start. He showed fair form when sixth here on his only previous visit to Warwick and has a solid recent record overall. Emma Lavelle operates at a 10% strike rate here in line with her record elsewhere while Harry Cobden takes the ride with a 19% strike rate at Warwick from 105 rides. Usually races handily on or close to the lead and stepping up in class.

7. 7Kentucky River51/100

   Form 871-91 · Olly Murphy · Sean Bowen

   Kentucky River is a smart performer who has already won here from just one visit to Warwick. He steps up in trip today having shown useful form over shorter, a move that asks a fresh question. Olly Murphy’s 13% strike rate at the track from 194 runs is in line with his record elsewhere while Sean Bowen has a 15% strike rate at Warwick from 224 rides. Typically settles in midfield and drops in class.

8. 8Electric Eddy48/100

   Form -36645 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · Sam Twiston-Davies

   Electric Eddy is a fair performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without threatening to win, his figures reading -36645. He has shown ability on good ground with a win and six places from 12 runs but is now dropping back in trip to 2m5f for the first time which asks a fresh question. Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies have a 4% strike rate at Warwick from 27 runs while this is the horse’s first run here. Sam Twiston-Davies rides and he is usually held up. Stepping up in class.

9. 9The Tide Turns39/100

   Form /PP9-7 · Stephen Allen · Lewis Stones(3)

   The Tide Turns is a useful performer on his day but arrives with a modest recent record of two pulled-ups and two well-beaten finishes. He steps up markedly in trip having shown little on good ground at shorter from eight runs without a win or place. Stephen Allen is still seeking a first Warwick winner from eight previous runners and Lewis Stones rides. First-time headgear is now applied and he usually races handily on or close to the lead.

10. 10Stavanger Rose32/100

    Form F-6405 · Ben Lund · Shane Quinlan(3)

    Stavanger Rose is a fair performer who has shown modest form this season with a string of unplaced efforts, her figures reading F-6405. She has never won or placed on good ground from five attempts and is dropping back in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in her only previous run at this distance. Ben Lund has had only three runs at Warwick which is too small a sample to judge and Shane Quinlan rides.