4:05 Limerick
The 4:05 at Limerick is a 20-runner Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Division I) over 2m5f70y on yielding ground. It is a competitive field where the KTB Fit scores range from 64 down to 31, underlining the spread of ability and the likelihood that several runners will be coming into this off modest recent form. With no obvious leader in a steadily-run, tactical contest, the KTB numbers highlight It's Time Again as the selection on the back of his course familiarity and recent solid effort.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay dividends. Most of the field are held-up types who produce their effort late, meaning the race is likely to develop into a sprint for the line from around the second-last. The key question will be whether any horse can get into a rhythm early enough to take advantage of the predicted steady gallop without using up too much energy from the rear.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1It's Time Again KTB Selection64/100
It's Time Again is a fair sort who has run well at Limerick in the past and comes here in decent nick after a solid second last time. He has a good record at today's trip and has won on yielding ground, though he is now a 10-year-old with 31 runs on the clock. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 3.14 from 14 runs while the jockey's 15% strike rate here carries an A/E of 0.93 from 117 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has course form that reads 2nd, 8th and brought down from three starts. His recent form figures are PF89P2 and he carries an official rating of 85.
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2Tasmanian Girl56/100
Tasmanian Girl is a fair mare who has been around a long time and shown consistent but limited ability. She has never won or placed in three runs at Limerick and is stepping up in trip for the first time today which remains an unknown. The trainer has a 17% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.07 from 109 runs while the jockey is operating at a 33% strike rate here from a small sample of six rides carrying an A/E of 1.57. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she has been placed twice from four starts on yielding ground without winning. Her recent form figures are -P9653 and she carries an official rating of 78.
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3Island McCoo54/100
Island McCoo is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year and holds strong course connections here. He has been placed over this trip and on yielding ground yet remains winless at both, while his four runs at Limerick have produced one placing alongside two failures to complete. The trainer has a 4% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 1.05 from 47 runs and the jockey has a 2% strike rate here carrying an A/E of 0.2 from 58 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form figures are 218453 and he carries an official rating of 91.
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4Mount Ferns54/100
Mount Ferns is a useful performer who has shown enough in better company to suggest he can be competitive here. He fell on his only previous run at Limerick and has just the one run on yielding ground so both track and ground remain unknowns. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 0.85 from 1047 runs while the jockey has a 9% strike rate here carrying an A/E of 0.84 from 500 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form figures are P3F-P7 and he carries an official rating of 98.
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5Ballindenisk53/100
Ballindenisk is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He has shown very little in two starts this year and steps up in trip as a lightly-raced six-year-old. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 0.9 from 354 runs while the jockey has a 0% strike rate here from one ride carrying an A/E of 0. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has no course form on record. His recent form figures are 005-90 and he carries an official rating of 94.
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6Dalmatic52/100
Dalmatic is a useful performer who won over this trip on his only attempt and has already scored at Limerick. Recent form is a bit mixed and he showed little on his latest start over much shorter, while he is 0 from 2 on yielding ground. The trainer has a 4% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 0.63 from 27 runs.
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7Lord De Choisel52/100
Lord De Choisel is a useful performer who ran respectably on his only previous visit to Limerick when fifth. He steps up in trip today having shown little in three starts since an initial promise, and the yard's 9% strike rate at the track offers no particular encouragement. The jockey is still seeking a first Limerick winner from 12 rides.
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8Political Stance51/100
Political Stance is a fair performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor efforts after an early second. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried while making his first start at Limerick. The trainer has a 15% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.9 from 512 runs.
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9Fenian Maxios50/100
Fenian Maxios is a useful performer on the balance of his form but has been below that level in two starts this year and was pulled up last time. He has only one previous run at Limerick which produced an eighth-place finish and steps up in trip today for the first time.
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10Friar Hogan48/100
Friar Hogan is a useful performer who has shown enough in recent runs to suggest he can be competitive off this mark. He has been placed once from three starts at Limerick and the yard has a 6% strike rate here from 215 runs. This is his first try on yielding ground and a step up in trip.
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11Midnight Musical48/100
Midnight Musical is a fair performer on the balance of its ratings and race history but arrives in modest form after six runs without a win. First-time headgear is now tried while the step up in trip poses a fresh question that could suit. The horse remains unproven on yielding ground.
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12Fervida48/100
Fervida is a fair mare who has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor efforts. She has run only once at Limerick and once on yielding ground without showing much, while first-time headgear is now tried and the drop back from 3m to today's trip asks a fresh question.
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13Elbow Lane44/100
Elbow Lane is a fair performer who has shown little spark in four starts so far. The step up from 2m to 2m5f today asks a fresh question while the yard's 4% strike rate at Limerick from 561 runs offers no encouragement. The jockey has an 8% record here.
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14Another Ocana42/100
Another Ocana is a fair sort who has won twice at Limerick from 18 runs and arrives in reasonable form after a solid third last time. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance, though he has failed to place in three runs on yielding ground. The trainer has a 3% strike rate at the track.
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15Ancient Myth42/100
Ancient Myth is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and 19-run history yet arrives in poor form having shown little in his last six starts. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 57 runs at Limerick while the 7 lb claimer has had only two rides here. Several unknowns remain as he steps up in trip on ground he has never tried and makes his first appearance at the track.
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16At The Wings42/100
At The Wings is a fair performer who has won his last two starts over shorter trips. He steps up in trip today which poses a fresh question while he remains unproven on yielding ground. Both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at Limerick.
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17Western Opera42/100
Western Opera is a fair performer who ran creditably when fourth over this course and trip on his only visit to Limerick. He has been consistent enough in recent starts without looking like a winner in waiting, and the drop back from 2m6f poses a fresh question today. The jockey operates at an 11% strike rate at the track.
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18Leva Deva41/100
Leva Deva is a fair performer on the balance of ratings and race history but has been well beaten on all five starts so far. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 16 runs at Limerick. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse whose going suitability also remains unknown from a small sample.
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19Silent Flight38/100
Silent Flight is a fair performer who showed some spark when third at this trip last time. He has never won on yielding ground from three attempts and the trainer has a 0% record at Limerick from 44 runs. The jockey's 8% strike rate here from 245 rides is modest but the horse's placed effort at today's distance is a positive.
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20Doyen Og31/100
Doyen Og is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of mid-field finishes. Both trainer and jockey have a 0% strike rate at Limerick from decent-sized samples. He drops back in trip today for a first run at the track on yielding ground that has so far produced no win or place from two starts.
KTB verdict
It's Time Again stands out as the KTB Selection. He is a fair sort who has run well at Limerick in the past, comes here in decent nick after a solid second last time and has a good record at today's trip plus a win on yielding ground. The trainer's strong record at the track adds to his claims in a race where being handy should pay. His main dangers are likely to come from Tasmanian Girl, who brings consistent but limited ability and a high jockey strike rate at the venue, and Island McCoo, whose useful level and course connections keep him in the mix despite some negatives around the trainer and jockey combination.
KTB Selection It's Time Again
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:20 UTC, 17 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| It's Time Again | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Tasmanian Girl | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Island McCoo | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Mount Ferns | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Ballindenisk | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Dalmatic | 10/1 | BetTom |
| Lord De Choisel | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Political Stance | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Fenian Maxios | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Friar Hogan | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Midnight Musical | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Fervida | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Elbow Lane | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Another Ocana | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Ancient Myth | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| At The Wings | 7/2 | BetTom |
| Western Opera | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Leva Deva | 50/1 | BoyleSports |
| Silent Flight | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Doyen Og | 16/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 4:05 Limerick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Limerick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Limerick results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Limerick racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time as a lightly-raced six-year-old?
Ballindenisk steps up in trip as a lightly-raced six-year-old.
How many times has It's Time Again been placed at Limerick?
It's Time Again has been placed once from three runs at Limerick.
Which runner is wearing first-time headgear in this race?
Both Midnight Musical and Fervida are wearing first-time headgear.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Limerick for the yard of the selection?
The trainer of It's Time Again has a 14% strike rate at Limerick with an A/E of 3.14 from 14 runs.
Which horse has won over today's trip on its only attempt at the distance?
Dalmatic won over this trip on his only attempt.
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