4:25 Bath
This Class 5 restricted maiden fillies’ stakes over 5f10y at Bath brings together a field of lightly-raced two-year-olds with little depth to the form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Adelaides Turn just edging Cotai Jaunt and Big Hitter on 52, 51 and 51 respectively, while the remainder sit in the low-to-mid 40s and below. Conditions are good ground and the race lacks any obvious front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest where positioning and timing will matter.
How the race shapes up
With no confirmed leader in the field, the pace is expected to be no more than even, producing a steadily-run affair in which handy racers should hold an edge. Most of the principals and field runners are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late, so the key question is whether any horse can get into a workable position early enough without using up too much energy. The draw may also prove influential given the tactical nature, particularly from the lower stalls.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Adelaides Turn KTB Selection52/100
Adelaides Turn showed little on her debut when finishing seventh and remains very lightly raced with only one run to go on. The Robert Cowell yard has a solid 19% strike rate at Bath from 113 runs while Marco Ghiani posts a 15% record from 48 rides here. Trip looks suitable enough on the one start but the going remains an unknown with such a small sample. She is held up in her races, usually producing her effort late, though that assessment is based on limited evidence. As the KTB Selection she is taken to improve past her modest debut and make her mark in this modest event.
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2Cotai Jaunt51/100
Cotai Jaunt has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing sixth on both occasions including here at Bath. The yard posts a solid 19% strike rate at the track from 37 runs while Sean D Bowen has a fair 12% from 34 rides, so the combination is not without support. With so little racing behind him any firm conclusions are risky. He is another who is usually held up and produces his effort late, though that read comes with low confidence given the small amount of evidence. The course run gives him a little familiarity but he has yet to show anything better than modest form.
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3Big Hitter51/100
Big Hitter has shown fair form in three runs this year, finishing placed twice at this trip without winning. The yard records a 9% strike rate at Bath from 297 runs while William Carver is operating at the same 9% from 55 rides here. First-time headgear is now added to a horse with only limited experience on this ground. His placed efforts at the distance mark him out as one of the more experienced performers in the line-up and he should be suited by the steadily-run nature of the race. The headgear is an interesting addition that could help him find extra at this early stage of his career.
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4Sacred Rhythm44/100
Sacred Rhythm showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over this trip. The yard has a modest 10% strike-rate here from ten runs while Luke Morris is a regular at the track with an 11% strike-rate from 726 rides. With only one run on the board the colt remains very lightly raced and has to improve. He too is a held-up performer who will look to come from off the pace, an approach that may not be ideal given the lack of an obvious leader. Still, the debut effort suggests there is enough ability to make him competitive at this level if he can build on it.
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5Crimson Blaze40/100
Crimson Blaze has shown only modest form in five runs and ran no better than sixth here last time. The yard has a solid 13% strike-rate at Bath while the jockey is operating at 14%, yet neither has managed to lift this one close to the frame. A fair performer at best who is still searching for the right trip and drops in class.
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6On The Queue Tee37/100
Modest 2yo who has shown ordinary form in four runs, finishing no better than third. Has been tried over this trip three times without success and was only fourth of six when he ran here last time. Trainer's modest record at Bath is offset by the jockey's solid 15% strike rate at the track and he drops in class.
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7Romidijo33/100
Modest performer who has been consistent without winning, finishing in the first five on five of his seven starts including a placed effort at this trip. Drops back from 6f today while wearing headgear for the first time. Trainer is 0-6 at Bath and the jockey's modest 9% strike rate here adds little encouragement.
KTB verdict
Adelaides Turn is the KTB Selection. She is very lightly raced after just one start and the Cowell yard’s healthy record at Bath, allied to Ghiani’s local expertise, offers encouragement that she can step forward markedly from a modest debut. The steadily-run race should suit her held-up style if she can be delivered at the right moment. Main dangers are Big Hitter, who brings the strongest placed form at the trip and now tries first-time headgear, and Cotai Jaunt, who has course experience and a yard in form at the track. Sacred Rhythm’s debut effort also entitles him to consideration in what remains an ordinary maiden.
KTB Selection Adelaides Turn
This is the narrative read of the 4:25 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the KTB Selection?
Adelaides Turn
Why is the race expected to be tactical?
The pace shape lacks a leader so it is likely to be a steadily-run affair where being handy pays.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Big Hitter and Romidijo
Who has the strongest placed form at the trip?
Big Hitter, who has finished placed twice at this trip in three runs.
Which horse has course experience at Bath?
Cotai Jaunt finished sixth here on his second start, On The Queue Tee was fourth of six here last time, and Crimson Blaze was sixth here last time.
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