5:00 Bath
This Class 6 handicap over the minimum trip at Bath brings together a field of 13 limited performers on good ground. The KTB Fit Scores reflect a modest bunch overall, with Recon Mission heading the ratings on the back of a recent course-and-distance success. Several runners have shown glimpses at this track and trip, yet consistency remains elusive across the board.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for the closers to reel in late on. Most of the principals, including the selection, tend to be held up and produce their efforts from off the pace, while Spirited Dancer is the one likely to take that uncontested front-running role. The key question is whether any of the held-up types can muster a strong enough late rally on a track where the draw can often play a part, particularly from wider stalls.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Recon Mission KTB Selection55/100
Recon Mission is a limited performer who has dropped to a realistic mark and showed his best form when winning over this trip here in July. Stall one should help him get a good early position but he is not the most consistent and has been beaten at shorter odds on three of his last four starts. The 10-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Trainer Tony Carroll has an 11% strike rate at Bath from 867 runs with an A/E of 1.01 while Luke Morris has an 11% strike rate at the track from 726 rides with an A/E of 0.72. He has recorded two wins from nine starts on good ground with a further two placed efforts and has won here from five runs.
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2Symbol Of Hope51/100
Symbol Of Hope is a limited performer who has been around a long time and rarely wins. He has run well here on occasions, winning twice from 27 starts, and has shown his best form at this trip. The 8-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. The yard has a 9% strike rate at Bath from 307 runs with an A/E of 0.91 while Callum Hutchinson has an 8% strike rate from 143 rides with an A/E of 1.01. He has one win from ten starts on good ground with six placed efforts and has won here twice from 27 starts.
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3Jackie Brown49/100
Jackie Brown is a limited class performer who has won over this trip and at this track from just three visits. Recent form is mixed but he has been competitive in several of these races and the Bath figures for both trainer and jockey are solid enough. Stall 13 is the main negative on a track where the draw often matters. The 6-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Trainer Adrian Wintle has a 15% strike rate at Bath from 271 runs with an A/E of 1.1 while Finley Marsh has a 14% strike rate from 250 rides with an A/E of 0.94. He has one win from nine starts on good ground with one placed effort and has won here from three runs.
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4Ten Cuidado49/100
Ten Cuidado is a limited performer who has shown little in most runs but did manage a placed effort over this trip on his only visit to Bath. The first-time headgear is now applied in a bid to spark improvement from a wide draw. The 3-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Trainer Mark Usher strikes at a 5% rate here from 415 runs with an A/E of 0.71 while Darragh Keenan has a 10% strike rate from 105 rides with an A/E of 1.03. He has been placed once from two starts on good ground without winning and was third on his only run here.
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5It's A Mugs Game49/100
It's A Mugs Game is a limited performer who has failed to place in three runs at this track and three runs at this trip. First-time headgear is now applied and the yard has a solid record here. Recent form is modest and the wide draw in stall 10 adds another negative. The 3-year-old typically settles in midfield. Trainer Joe Tickle has a 13% strike rate at Bath from 87 runs with an A/E of 1.02 while Taylor Fisher has a 12% strike rate from 133 rides with an A/E of 0.9. He has one run on good ground without a win or place and has failed to win or place from three runs here.
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6Spirited Dancer48/100
Spirited Dancer is a limited performer who has shown enough at this track to win once from five runs here. Drops back to 5f having last run over 7f and has won at the trip before though recent form is patchy. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Bath without setting the place alight. The 4-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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7Wedgewood47/100
Wedgewood is a limited class performer who has won once in eight runs at this track and is 7 from 43 at today's trip. He arrives in reasonable form having posted two seconds in his last six starts and has shown he can be competitive on good ground. Trainer Tony Carroll holds a solid 11% strike rate here from a huge sample while Marco Ghiani is operating at 15% from 48 rides. The 6-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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8Macanudo46/100
Macanudo is a limited performer who has shown bits and pieces this season without being a regular threat. Has won at this trip but only placed once from five runs on good ground and was a modest third when he ran here before. Trainer strikes at 12% here while the jockey is operating at 9%. The 5-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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9Ken Brulee46/100
Ken Brulee is a limited performer who has shown bits and pieces but remains winless after 13 starts. Has run three times at Bath without placing and is 0-8 at this trip. Trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at the track is a further negative. The 3-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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10Princess Of Limnos41/100
Princess Of Limnos is limited on the evidence of four runs and looks to have her work cut out from stall eight. She showed a bit when third over this trip and distance at the track last time but has been beaten a long way on her other starts. Trainer and jockey both hold a solid record here. The 3-year-old typically settles in midfield and is unproven on good ground.
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11Outer Edge39/100
Outer Edge is a limited performer who has shown nothing better than modest form this year and has never won or placed in three runs at Bath. Drops back to his winning trip today but has failed to place in nine starts on good ground and the yard and jockey both sit below the course average. The 5-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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12Bluesy Moon38/100
Bluesy Moon is a limited performer who has shown the odd flash of ability but is generally out of her depth in even modest company. She has placed once from two runs at Bath and has also placed at today's trip, though her record on good ground is limited to a single unplaced effort. The trainer holds a solid record here while the jockey's strike rate is more modest. The 4-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late.
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13Lochaber33/100
Lochaber is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last five starts. He has shown nothing lately to suggest he can reverse that trend here, though he has won over today's trip in the past. Trainer is operating at a low strike-rate at Bath while the horse himself has failed to place in his only previous run at the track. The 5-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
KTB verdict
Recon Mission is the KTB Selection. He has dropped to a realistic mark and showed his best form when winning over this trip here in July, with stall one likely to help him secure a good early position in a race with an uncontested lead. Trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at Bath. His main dangers are Symbol Of Hope, who has run well here on occasions and shown his best form at this trip, and Jackie Brown, who has won over this trip and at this track despite the wide draw in stall 13.
KTB Selection Recon Mission
This is the narrative read of the 5:00 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Spirited Dancer tends to make the running or race on the pace and is the only front-runner in a pace shape that features a lone leader with high confidence.
Why is stall 13 a negative for Jackie Brown?
Stall 13 is the main negative on a track where the draw often matters.
How many wins has Symbol Of Hope recorded at Bath?
Symbol Of Hope has won here twice from 27 starts.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Bath for Ten Cuidado?
Trainer Mark Usher has a 5% strike rate at Bath from 415 runs with an A/E of 0.71.
Has Recon Mission won over course and distance?
Recon Mission showed his best form when winning over this trip here in July and has won here from five runs.
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