What is A Fabre's strike rate?

A Fabre has won 1,789 of 8,646 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does A Fabre do best at?

Vichy by strike rate: 23 wins from 83 runners (27.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for A Fabre?

Maxime Guyon, with 2,095 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 531 (25.3%).

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 20.7% since 2008.

What is A Fabre's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 7,954 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

A Fabre

8,646 runners in the lifetime window · 1,814 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.1% of 465 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 2 Nov 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,789–8,646

Wins / Runs

20.7%

Strike rate

n=8,646

3,693 (43%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=7,954 · 0.87 incl. margin

−1,051.66

£1 level stake

n=8,213 at SP · −12.8%

£87.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 460 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 21% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 8,646 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 21% 35.9% when favourite Maxime Guyon: 25.3% from 2,095 Sends off the favourite in 28% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 11.3% (n=159, Fair A/E 0.85). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (4.5%, 16.2pts below the 20.7% baseline). Maxime Guyon rides 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (25.3% vs 20.7%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 689 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2019, £2,573,874). The stable star of the record: Tribalist (GB) — 10 wins from 24 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

21%+0.3

n=2,091 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −53.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

19%−1.7

n=42 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +19.63

Debutants · first career start

21.9%+1.2

n=1,749 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −276.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.3%−9.4

n=159 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −52.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.8%−8.9

n=17 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +2.20

When favourite

35.9%

n=2,452 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −328.16

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.4%−4.3

n=773 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −77.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%−4.0

n=3,272 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −555.91

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mathieu Pelletan 0% vs 20.7% · n=38

With Augustin Madamet 9% vs 20.7% · n=201

With M Favriaux 9.9% vs 20.7% · n=111

With first-time headgear 11.3% vs 20.7% · n=159

With Rufus Vergette 8.9% vs 20.7% · n=45

With Arthur Mosse 10.8% vs 20.7% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 8,644 1788 20.7% −1,053.46

Hurdle 2 1 50% +1.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,309 466 20.2% −347.64

Good 2,204 479 21.7% −43.86

Good to Soft 2,022 428 21.2% −258.65

Standard (AW) 1,239 241 19.5% −224.90

Heavy 815 157 19.3% −183.39

Good to Firm 47 12 25.5% +8.78

Firm 7 4 57.1% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 1,907 402 21.1% −257.28

Longchamp (FR) 1,805 317 17.6% −198.69

Saint-Cloud (FR) 1,730 384 22.2% −161.00

Deauville 1,531 277 18.1% −328.89

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 736 180 24.5% +7.37

Compiegne 172 35 20.3% −29.00

Clairefontaine 139 38 27.3% +2.92

Vichy 83 23 27.7% −5.10

Lyon Parilly 83 20 24.1% −23.20

Fontainebleau 76 15 19.7% −15.90

Newmarket 40 10 25% −1.67

Toulouse 28 3 10.7% −17.40

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 26 8 30.8% +7.50

Ascot 26 3 11.5% −16.25

Dieppe 25 3 12% −14.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 3,278 549 16.7% −548.91

Class 2 25 2 8% −18.82

Class 3 7 1 14.3% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2,550 908 35.6% 1.00 −338.58

2nd–3rd fav 2,865 509 17.8% 0.99 −373.98

4th–6th fav 2,046 204 10% 1.11 −211.50

7th+ in betting 752 33 4.4% 1.07 −127.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 3,251 663 20.4% −306.63

1m – 1m1f 3,013 653 21.7% −228.14

6f – 7f 1,718 355 20.7% −333.62

1m5f – 2m 474 78 16.5% −130.57

Under 6f 177 39 22% −43.50

2m1f – 2m4f 12 1 8.3% −8.20

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 355 94 26.5% +40.33

2009 253 67 26.5% −26.35

2010 493 114 23.1% +34.43

2011 534 104 19.5% −28.02

2012 466 96 20.6% −2.08

2013 536 133 24.8% −58.91

2014 518 108 20.8% −30.57

2015 489 101 20.7% −64.41

2016 432 83 19.2% −119.46

2017 490 106 21.6% −70.92

2018 511 94 18.4% −80.50

2019 485 96 19.8% −12.05

2020 416 78 18.8% −107.30

2021 490 89 18.2% −138.10

2022 462 90 19.5% −66.60

2023 488 110 22.5% −56.20

2024 391 76 19.4% −95.80

2025 414 82 19.8% −38.60

2026 423 68 16.1% −130.55

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 478 50 10.5% −109.30

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,019 585 19.4% −442.74

5-7 runners 2,508 609 24.3% −306.87

11-13 runners 1,509 233 15.4% −265.23

14-16 runners 887 116 13.1% −104.55

2-4 runners 522 220 42.1% +133.55

17+ runners 193 18 9.3% −78.12

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Stangheli (FR) 28 1 8 14 Sep 26

Soleil Marin (IRE) 25 6 13 15 Mar 20

Tribalist (GB) 24 10 19 6 Jul 25

Rajkumar (FR) 23 3 12 23 Nov 21

Birr Castle (FR) 22 4 9 12 Apr 26

Sevenna's Knight (IRE) 21 4 8 26 Oct 25

Duhail (IRE) 21 6 13 19 Jun 22

Zoom (FR) 20 4 8 10 Oct 26

Esoterique (IRE) 20 6 11 14 Aug 16

Brigantin (USA) 20 3 11 19 Aug 12

First Look (IRE) 19 4 9 3 Oct 26

Jimmy Two Times (FR) 19 6 12 27 Oct 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,814 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 22 4.5% · −16.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.5%

Lifetime base20.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

103319232221222121182013

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMaxime Guyon

24% of all rides
25.3% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Guyon 2,095 531 25.3% −133.04

Mickael Barzalona 1,931 424 22% −180.36

P C Boudot 1,409 294 20.9% −109.05

Vincent Cheminaud 458 75 16.4% −100.96

A Pouchin 418 65 15.6% −133.95

Stephane Pasquier 317 69 21.8% −61.45

Olivier Peslier 312 63 20.2% −10.93

Mlle Amelie Foulon 205 48 23.4% +67.50

Augustin Madamet 201 18 9% −72.70

Hugo Besnier 171 27 15.8% −31.40

Bauyrzhan Murzabayev 145 29 20% −13.50

M Favriaux 111 11 9.9% −46.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,100

Archived wins

689

Pattern / graded wins

£101.4m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 133 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Waldgeist (GB) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£2,573,874

Rail Link (GB) — Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Lucien Barriere (Colts & Fillies) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2006 · Group 1

£788,138

Lope De Vega (IRE) — Prix Du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2010 · Group 1

£758,496

Notable horses

Tribalist (GB) Waldgeist (GB) Fractional (IRE) Mqse De Sevigne (IRE) Magny Cours (USA) Persian King (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 20% · 68–340

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dansili (GB) 21.9% · 73–334

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 19.8% · 66–334

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,854 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 21% · 68–324

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Shamardal (USA) 26.3% · 85–323

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Dubawi (IRE) 21.6% · 62–287

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,975 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,685 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,685 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sonatine (IRE)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 50/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sansa (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix La Bamba6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Asiah (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix La Bamba6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 11/4

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Sumaco (IRE)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angersClass 1 · 15f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 9/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Justicia (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 5/2F

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Salmy (USA)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix De L'epinay9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 5/2

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Arthur Bear (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Ici Maine (Prix Des Hunaudieres)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Lord Lindeth (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De La Sarthe9.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 9/2

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Swinguer (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Grand Prix Du MansClass 1 · 9.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 15/8

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Caramel (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Adolphe Besnard16f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 8/13F

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Lefteye (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 2/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Zlata (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Belle de NuitClass 1 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 25/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Eleganz (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Prix Belle de NuitClass 1 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 6/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Indalimos (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix de FloreClass 1 · 10.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 33/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Kuutamo (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Putanges9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 9/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Puck (GB)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De Putanges9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 17/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Friar Tuck (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Fierville7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 9/2

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Bhaskari (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Du Chateau De Crevecoeur7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Loop (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Caen7.5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 4/5F

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Wadi (GB)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Le Calvados Fete Le Cheval (Prix Ashmore)8f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Fabre's strike rate?: A Fabre has won 1,789 of 8,646 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Fabre do best at?: Vichy by strike rate: 23 wins from 83 runners (27.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for A Fabre?: Maxime Guyon, with 2,095 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 531 (25.3%).
Is A Fabre in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 20.7% since 2008.
What is A Fabre's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 7,954 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.