What is C & Y Lerner's strike rate?

C & Y Lerner has won 136 of 1,477 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C & Y Lerner do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for C & Y Lerner?

Ronan Thomas, with 482 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (10.8%).

Is C & Y Lerner in form?

In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.2% since 2008.

What is C & Y Lerner's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 1,475 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C & Y Lerner

1,477 runners in the lifetime window · 235 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 0.3% of 298 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

136–1,477

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=1,477

446 (30%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=1,475 · 0.76 incl. margin

−452.87

£1 level stake

n=1,476 at SP · −30.7%

£6.43m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (83 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,477 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 23.1% when favourite Ronan Thomas: 10.8% from 482 New recruits: 13.3% Group/Graded: 13.2% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 13.3% (n=83, Fair A/E 1.42), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=256, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −110.85 to a £1 stake over 271 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ronan Thomas rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 30 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £745,304). The stable star of the record: Exxtra (FR) — 5 wins from 24 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7%−2.2

n=271 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −110.85

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.3%+4.1

n=83 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +14.08

Debutants · first career start

9%−0.2

n=199 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −51.90

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.8%−1.4

n=141 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −72.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.5%−4.7

n=22 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −17.40

When favourite

23.1%

n=147 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −39.08

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.9%−5.3

n=256 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −161.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.2%+4.0

n=227 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +30.13

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C Soumillon 14.9% vs 9.2% · n=201

With claiming riders up 3.9% vs 9.2% · n=256

With Mlle Frida Valle Skar 4.1% vs 9.2% · n=220

With M Lerner 2.5% vs 9.2% · n=40

With A Pouchin 15% vs 9.2% · n=60

With Stephane Ladjadj 15% vs 9.2% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,395 126 9% −459.67

Hurdle 70 8 11.4% +9.40

Chase 12 2 16.7% −2.60

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 517 34 6.6% −252.40

Soft 356 35 9.8% −105.78

Good to Soft 312 38 12.2% −43.04

Heavy 161 17 10.6% −16.95

Good 124 11 8.9% −37.00

Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +2.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 438 38 8.7% −138.60

Deauville 373 34 9.1% −110.38

Longchamp (FR) 272 25 9.2% −84.17

Saint-Cloud 241 17 7.1% −110.10

Auteuil (FR) 46 4 8.7% +3.80

Compiegne (FR) 35 4 11.4% −17.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 21 2 9.5% +0.33

Fontainebleau (FR) 10 2 20% −1.80

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Vichy (FR) 5 1 20% +0.90

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 5 2 40% +3.60

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 2 50% +9.00

Ascot 3 0 0% −3.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 1 33.3% +2.00

Toulouse (FR) 3 1 33.3% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 230 30 13% +27.13

Class 3 10 1 10% −5.50

Class 2 7 1 14.3% −3.75

Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 153 35 22.9% 0.87 −41.58

2nd–3rd fav 340 51 15% 0.99 −65.59

4th–6th fav 446 33 7.4% 0.89 −123.00

7th+ in betting 537 17 3.2% 0.89 −222.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Champ (FR)from C Lerner 36 3 12 19 Oct 23

Breath Of Fire (FR)from C Lerner · then C Martinon 31 1 7 3 Aug 23

Madouss (FR)from C Lerner 30 0 7 20 Sep 23

Puerto Madero (FR)then Mme C Chenu 25 1 10 25 May 24

Kisswood (FR)then S Gouyette 25 0 4 5 Nov 23

Breville (FR)from C Lerner 25 1 6 16 Sep 22

Exxtra (FR) 24 5 10 26 Oct 25

Flash Davier (FR) 23 4 7 19 Oct 24

Berneuil (IRE)from C Lerner 23 5 12 4 Aug 24

The Big Smoke (FR)from C Lerner 23 1 4 28 Apr 22

Wapi (FR) 20 2 8 26 Oct 26

Bullace (GB)from Ralph Beckett 20 4 10 4 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 235 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Lerner (10); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrien Fouassier (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 19 10.5% · +1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10.5%

Lifetime base9.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

885101113810111087

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRonan Thomas

33% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Ronan Thomas 482 52 10.8% −85.22

Mlle Frida Valle Skar 220 9 4.1% −152.17

C Soumillon 201 30 14.9% −32.70

Eddy Hardouin 72 5 6.9% −33.70

A Pouchin 60 9 15% +2.62

Stephane Ladjadj 60 9 15% +23.30

Thomas Trullier 53 4 7.5% −7.40

M Lerner 40 1 2.5% −35.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

136

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.43m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 30 wins

Look De Vega (FR) — Qatar Prix du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£745,304

Jasna's Secret (FR) — Arqana Series - Criterium d'Ete (Conditions) (2yo) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023

£141,593

Godspeed (FR) — Prix de Sandringham (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2025 · Group 2

£61,240

Notable horses

Exxtra (FR) Berneuil (IRE) Dilawar (IRE) Flash Davier (FR) Bullace (GB) Jasna's Secret (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Intello (GER) 5.1% · 4–78

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,497 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.

Almanzor (FR) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,118 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 149. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 305.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 13% of 5,698 runs since 2015 (792 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Le Havre (IRE) 5.8% · 3–52

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,884 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Mehmas (IRE) 2.2% · 1–46

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,224 runs since 2020 (753 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 13% · 6–46

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,222 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,476 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,476 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2020 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Mughadir (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Pigeonniere7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 7/2

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Kando (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix De La Grotte Des ErmitesClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 11/4F

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) La Saucelle (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix De La Croix Saint-rieuil8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Bahi (IRE)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Des Pins Noirs15f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 8/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hendrixx (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix De La Seine Et MarneClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Artoa (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix Du Pays De Caux9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 40/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Taxxi (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Moondance (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mister Black (FR)J: Marc Lerner Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 9/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Why Not (FR)J: Marc Lerner Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dictynna (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Cherimine (FR)J: Marc Lerner Prix De L'epinay9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Albertine (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Du Theatre Imperial Du Chateau De FontainebleauClass 3 · 18f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 7/2

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Telmorion (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Dobba (USA)J: Smr Alkirayw Prix Marcel CoutardClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 3/1F

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Waramini (IRE)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Amnesia (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Criterium De VitesseClass 1 · 5.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 22/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Wapi (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Warriors Whisper (IRE)J: Ronan Thomas Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 20/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Motraff (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Droit Divin12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C & Y Lerner's strike rate?: C & Y Lerner has won 136 of 1,477 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C & Y Lerner do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C & Y Lerner?: Ronan Thomas, with 482 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (10.8%).
Is C & Y Lerner in form?: In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.2% since 2008.
What is C & Y Lerner's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 1,475 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.