Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21). In Group and Graded company the record reads 19% (480 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 1,475 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFires Sep–Nov33.9% when favouriteMorgan Regairaz: 13.7% from 415New recruits: 18.2%Group/Graded: 18.8%Sends off the favourite in 13% of races
The read
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 18.8% (n=480, Fair A/E 1.29), but debutants struggle at 6.4% (n=283, Fair A/E 0.69). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 14% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.32 and +121.90 to a £1 stake over 178 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Morgan Regairaz rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.7%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Flat races — 4.9% over 103 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. 92 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2015, £296,512). The stable star of the record: Losange Bleu (FR) — 15 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Nov.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14%−0.3
n=421 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +17.29
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.2%+3.9
n=44 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +14.00
Debutants · first career start
6.4%−7.9
n=283 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −9.85
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.2%−5.1
n=76 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −13.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.9%−1.4
n=31 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −6.88
When favourite
33.9%
n=186 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −24.64
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14%−0.3
n=178 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +121.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
18.8%+4.5
n=480 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +180.86
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners29.6% vs 14.3% · n=179
At Enghien (FR)3.5% vs 14.3% · n=85
With debutants6.4% vs 14.3% · n=283
In Flat races4.9% vs 14.3% · n=103
With Jacques Ricou23.2% vs 14.3% · n=95
At Deauville (FR)3.2% vs 14.3% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle88113915.8%+294.34
Chase4916713.6%+16.85
Flat10354.9%+3.10
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft84011513.7%+230.43
Heavy5519016.3%+44.76
Standard (AW)4124.9%+37.90
Good to Soft2528%+4.40
Good18211.1%−3.20
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)1,01917016.7%+298.51
Compiegne1912211.5%−50.07
Enghien (FR)8533.5%+30.60
Deauville (FR)3113.2%+39.00
Chantilly (FR)2314.3%−15.10
Clairefontaine22418.2%−1.20
Dieppe21419%+54.55
Saint-Cloud (FR)1715.9%−10.00
Pau16212.5%−8.80
Angers (FR)1200%−11.00
Longchamp (FR)8112.5%−0.20
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)8112.5%+1.40
Craon6116.7%−1.40
Fontainebleau400%−3.00
Toulouse200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 14809018.8%+180.86
Class 312541.7%+7.75
Class 28225%−3.80
Class 45120%−1.75
Class 5200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1956533.3%1.03−26.34
2nd–3rd fav3686317.1%1.10−32.07
4th–6th fav4546313.9%1.70+210.90
7th+ in betting424163.8%1.15+161.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f99314314.4%+212.29
2m5f – 3m2414217.4%+48.45
1m5f – 2m1461611%+40.40
1m2f – 1m4f5935.1%+28.80
Over 3m19736.8%+0.35
1m – 1m1f1600%−16.00
6f – 7f100%—
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008600%—
200919421.1%—
20106035%−37.20
20113738.1%+67.80
20124224.8%+76.00
20134249.5%−3.10
201455712.7%−3.60
2015721013.9%−17.40
20161141614%+142.50
20171171815.4%+57.90
20181042120.2%+36.20
20191231613%−19.70
20201241310.5%+41.20
2021721216.7%+3.10
20227579.3%−43.30
2023781316.7%−4.30
20241091211%−30.40
2025992020.2%+3.80
20261273023.6%+44.79
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2512811.2%+26.30
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners4858116.7%+30.95
11-13 runners3253711.4%+8.23
14-16 runners260259.6%+125.45
5-7 runners2454920%+67.66
17+ runners1191310.9%+94.70
2-4 runners41614.6%−12.70
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 325 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.
15 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Nicholls (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
1 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
071110121617181620179
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
216
Archived wins
92
Pattern / graded wins
£14.7m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 30 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Milord Thomas (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2015 · Grade 1
£296,512
Milord Thomas (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2014 · Grade 1
£206,250
Milord Thomas (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2015 · Grade 1
Progeny have won 16% of 3,224 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 562. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Martaline (GB)30.8% · 24–78
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Turgeon (USA)14.9% · 10–67
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.
Saint Des Saints (FR)9.8% · 6–61
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Poliglote (GB)15.4% · 8–52
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,490 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,490 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 June 2005 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is D Bressou's strike rate?
D Bressou has won 211 of 1,475 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D Bressou do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 170 wins from 1,019 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for D Bressou?
Morgan Regairaz, with 415 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (13.7%).
Is D Bressou in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is D Bressou's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 1,420 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
D Bressou·SR 14.3%·A/E 1.21
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