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Trainer profile

D McNamara

264 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2025 92% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
13–264
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=264
51 (19%)
Placed
0.86
n=264 · 0.68 incl. margin
−187.96
£1 level stake
n=264 at SP · −71.2%
£169k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (139 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 264 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Cork (10%, n=30), clear of the yard's 4.9% baseline. The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.1%, n=81) and on Heavy going (10.3%, n=39). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 50 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.45 across 96 runners (2.1% strike, −86.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Mossey Joe (IRE) — 6 wins from 13 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%−1.8
n=65 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+15.1
n=5 · A/E 3.00 · £1 +2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.1%+2.2
n=14 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −12.38
When favourite
44.4%
n=9 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.71
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%+1.6
n=139 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −80.01
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 11.1% vs 4.9% · n=81
On Heavy going 10.3% vs 4.9% · n=39
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.9% · n=50
At Cork 10% vs 4.9% · n=30
On Soft going 2.1% vs 4.9% · n=96
In Hurdle races 2.5% vs 4.9% · n=157
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 157 4 2.5% −118.00
Chase 81 9 11.1% −43.96
Flat 20 0 0% −20.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 96 2 2.1% −86.25
Good 75 5 6.7% −54.95
Heavy 39 4 10.3% −21.76
Good to Soft 35 2 5.7% −6.00
Good to Firm 15 0 0% −15.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 30 3 10% −19.13
Limerick 23 2 8.7% −10.00
Killarney 16 2 12.5% −11.45
Ballinrobe 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Listowel 15 0 0% −15.00
Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00
Tipperary 13 0 0% −13.00
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Downpatrick 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 1 100% +4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 4 33.3% 1.04 −3.71
2nd–3rd fav 26 5 19.2% 1.52 −1.25
4th–6th fav 47 3 6.4% 0.81 −25.00
7th+ in betting 179 1 0.6% 0.23 −158.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.4% completed · 238 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 81 75.3% 3 4 12 0 1
Hurdle 157 86% 4 5 11 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Time And Times (IRE) 33 1 11 18 Dec 21
Profoundly (IRE) 29 0 3 12 Nov 18
Getaclan (IRE) 21 0 2 10 Dec 24
Glorious Galway (IRE) 18 2 7 6 Nov 22
Clan Music (IRE)from Lorna Casey 17 0 7 24 Sep 11
Zebos Beanos (IRE) 14 0 1 31 Dec 24
Mourne Mist (IRE) 14 0 1 30 Sep 24
Mad Money (IRE)then Sophie Leech 14 0 0 4 Oct 14
True Or False (IRE) 13 1 4 16 Aug 24
Mossey Joe (IRE)from W J Austin · then E Bolger 13 6 8 7 Jun 13
Bonny Isle (IRE) 9 0 2 2 Aug 11
Bold Hero (IRE) 8 0 0 2 Jul 22
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lorna Casey (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001061710040005
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J C Barry 26 4 15.4% −2.00
Ben Harvey 20 0 0% −20.00
Mark McDonagh 19 0 0% −19.00
Alex Harvey 14 1 7.1% +7.00
A P Heskin 14 1 7.1% −7.00
A E Lynch 14 0 0% −14.00
Ian McCarthy 10 0 0% −10.00
Kevin Coleman 10 0 0% −10.00
Barry Geraghty 9 2 22.2% −4.95
Richard Deegan 8 0 0% −8.00
Sean O'Keeffe 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr Damien Skehan 7 4 57.1% +4.99
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
13
Archived wins
£169k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 4 wins
Mossey Joe (IRE) — W+S Recycling Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (55th Running) Stratford · Jun 2013 · Class 2
£14,990
Mossey Joe (IRE) — Dromahane Chase Cork · May 2011
£13,000
Mossey Joe (IRE) — O'Keeffe, O'Shea, O'Connor Solicitors Novice Chase Killarney · May 2011
£8,280

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,836 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Motivator (GB) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 12% of 5,594 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 16% from 1,090. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,281. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,979 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Westerner (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,853 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Accordion (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Alderbrook (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 264 · newest first

The latest 50 of 264 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2010 to 22 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is D McNamara's strike rate?
D McNamara has won 13 of 264 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D McNamara do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is D McNamara's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 264 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).