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Trainer profile

Damian Murphy

46 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2025 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–46
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=46
8 (17%)
Placed
1.26
Fair A/E
n=46 · 1.02 incl. margin
−25.40
£1 level stake
n=46 at SP · −55.2%
£32,457
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
22.2%+15.7
n=9 · A/E 2.27 · £1 −0.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
100%+93.5
n=1 · A/E 8.69 · £1 +5.50
Debutants · first career start
8.3%+1.8
n=12 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +0.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 2.40 · £1 +1.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%−2.7
n=26 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 3.1% vs 6.5% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 32 1 3.1% −29.90
NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +0.00
Flat 2 1 50% +4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 25 1 4% −13.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% −5.90
Good 5 1 20% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 6 1 16.7% −3.90
Tipperary 5 2 40% +13.50
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.64 +0.10
2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 2.26 +2.50
4th–6th fav 16 1 6.3% 1.17 −4.00
7th+ in betting 24 0 0% 0.00 −24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
96.9% completed · 32 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 32 96.9% 0 1 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jakie Mac (IRE) 14 0 2 23 Sep 23
Monvour (IRE) 7 0 0 14 May 21
Inches Away (IRE)then Paul Cashman 6 0 0 8 Mar 25
Mountain Fame (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Sep 23
My Mind Reader (IRE) 4 0 0 31 Jan 21
Oscars Brother (IRE)then Connor King 3 1 2 31 Mar 24
Cascade Hall (IRE)then Jim Goldie 2 0 1 20 Oct 24
Lady's Slipper (IRE) 1 0 0 10 Dec 24
Bridge Road (IRE)then Jennie Candlish 1 0 0 24 Mar 21
Iron Bridge (IRE)then Jonjo O'Neill 1 1 1 24 Mar 21
Milan Bridge (IRE)then Paul Nicholls 1 0 0 15 Mar 21
Famous Bridge (IRE)then Nicky Richards 1 0 1 15 Mar 21
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00220200000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Daniel King 11 1 9.1% −8.90
Sean Flanagan 5 0 0% −5.00
Michael O'Sullivan 5 0 0% −5.00
B J Foley 3 0 0% −3.00
Ambrose McCurtin 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Jack Sexton 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J C Barry 2 1 50% +10.00
Danny Mullins 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Deegan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr R King 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr C J Shine 2 0 0% −2.00
Ricky Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
3
Archived wins
£32,457
Prize money
2024
Best season · 1 win
Oscars Brother (IRE) — Mother's Day At Limerick Racecourse Maiden Hurdle Limerick · Mar 2024
£7,375
Duhallow Gesture (IRE) — p2p.ie The Irish Point To Point Website Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race Tipperary · May 2017
£6,622
Iron Bridge (IRE) — Nenagh (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race (Div 2) Tipperary · Mar 2021
£4,720
Notable horses
Oscars Brother (IRE) Iron Bridge (IRE) Duhallow Gesture (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Malinas (GER) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,957 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 46 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Damian Murphy's 46 archived runners, from 11 May 2017 to 8 March 2025, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Mar 25 Gowran Park Inches Away (IRE)J: Daniel King Lord Bagenal Hotel Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 125/1
13 Feb 25 Clonmel Inches Away (IRE)J: Daniel King Derrygrath Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 250/1
27 Jan 25 Punchestown Inches Away (IRE)J: Daniel King 50,000 BetVictor Graduation Bonus Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 13th 300/1
15 Jan 25 Clonmel Inches Away (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Kilsheelan Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 66/1
10 Dec 24 Punchestown Lady's Slipper (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Punchestown Festival 2025 Tickets On Sale Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 15th 150/1
17 Nov 24 Navan Inches Away (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Coolmore N.H. Sires Hurricane Lane Irish EBF Mares Flat Race (Listed)16f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 100/1
27 Oct 24 Wexford Inches Away (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 33/1
20 Oct 24 Limerick Cascade Hall (IRE)J: Daniel King Garrynacurra Stud (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 14/1
05 Aug 24 Cork Cascade Hall (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 14/1
31 Mar 24 Fairyhouse Oscars Brother (IRE)J: Daniel King Paddy Kehoe Suspended Ceilings Novice Hurdle (Grade 2)20f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 12/1
10 Mar 24 Limerick Oscars Brother (IRE)J: Daniel King Mother's Day At Limerick Racecourse Maiden Hurdle24f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 11/10F
06 Jan 24 Cork Oscars Brother (IRE)J: Daniel King ITM Irish Stallion Trail 12-13 January Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 25/1
23 Sep 23 Listowel Jakie Mac (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 4th 7/1
20 Sep 23 Listowel Mountain Fame (IRE)J: E Walsh McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 16th 150/1
01 Sep 23 Wexford Mountain Fame (IRE)J: Daniel King Wexford Mares Maiden Hurdle24f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 150/1
01 Sep 23 Wexford Jakie Mac (IRE)J: Daniel King Download The BoyleSports App Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 13/2
27 Jul 23 Limerick Mountain Fame (IRE)J: Mr Jack Sexton Limerick Races On Facebook Flat Race19f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 10th 100/1
10 Jun 23 Punchestown Mountain Fame (IRE)J: Mr Jack Sexton Anglesey Lodge Equine Hospital (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 100/1
26 May 23 Limerick Jakie Mac (IRE)J: Daniel King FEXCO Asset Finance Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 5th 12/1
18 May 23 Tipperary Jakie Mac (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Follow Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Damian Murphy's strike rate?
Damian Murphy has won 3 of 46 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Damian Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.26, from 46 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).