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Trainer profile

F Cellier

46 runners in the lifetime window · 18 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–46
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=46
6 (13%)
Placed
0.39
Fair A/E
n=45 · 0.29 incl. margin
−42.00
£1 level stake
n=46 at SP · −91.3%
£49,452
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.2% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 29 1 3.4% −25.00
Hurdle 14 0 0% −14.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% −2.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Enghien (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Dax 6 0 0% −6.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Auteuil (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Toulouse (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Tarbes (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Longchamp (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Deauville (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 1 1 100% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.01 −3.00
4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
7th+ in betting 29 0 0% 0.00 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Adela (FR)from C Pautier 5 0 3 21 Oct 26
Deeley's Double (FR)from N Caullery 4 0 1 9 Jul 20
Sugar Bay (GB)from C Ferland 4 0 0 18 Jun 20
Miss As (FR) 4 0 0 7 Oct 17
Altesse Lescribaa (FR) 4 0 1 20 Nov 13
First Lily Pecos (FR) 3 1 1 10 Sep 26
Balkino De Maspie (FR) 3 0 0 16 Jun 20
Agour Lescribaa (FR) 3 0 0 14 Nov 16
Belak Chop (FR) 3 0 0 30 Jan 16
Ideal De Cajus (FR) 2 0 0 2 Oct 26
Goldy Bird (FR) 2 0 0 23 Aug 26
Rockfuchias (FR) 2 0 0 9 Jun 20
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000250000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Romain Dubord 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Gaetan Olivier 4 0 0% −4.00
Jordan Agostini 4 0 0% −4.00
Samuel Massinot 3 0 0% −3.00
Damien Morin 3 0 0% −3.00
David Michaux 2 0 0% −2.00
Jonathan Plouganou 2 0 0% −2.00
Alexandre Gavilan 2 0 0% −2.00
Jefferson Smith 1 0 0% −1.00
Clement Merille 1 0 0% −1.00
Mlle Camille Flechon 1 0 0% −1.00
Thomas Trullier 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
1
Archived wins
£49,452
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
First Lily Pecos (FR) — Prix Floraline Iii Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Aug 2026
£9,500
Notable horses
First Lily Pecos (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Makfi (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,828 runs since 2008 (358 horses).
Panis (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,976 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 146. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.
Davidoff (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.9% of 504 runs since 2008 (53 horses).
Kaldounevees (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 669 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 164. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 152. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 106.
Archange D'Or (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 5.6% of 342 runs since 2008 (45 horses).
Balko (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,651 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 46 archived runs · newest first

Every one of F Cellier's 46 archived runners, from 19 April 2013 to 21 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Adela (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix De Lons8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 7/2F
09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Adela (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Fontaine LestangClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 3rd 11/4F
02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Ideal De Cajus (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix De La Chambre D'amour11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 50/1
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Adela (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix De L'ordre International Des AnysetiersClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/2
16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Ideal De Cajus (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Andre Lahouille12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 80/1
10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) First Lily Pecos (FR)J: Romain Dubord Grand Prix Des Anglo-arabes12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1
23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Goldy Bird (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Grand Dax 1ere Destination Thermale De France11.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 11th 125/1
17 Aug 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) First Lily Pecos (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Floraline Iii12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 3/1
10 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Adela (FR)J: Alexandre Gavilan Prix DuralockClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 4/1J
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Goldy Bird (FR)J: Anthony Jardel Prix F. Ducassou11.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 50/1
15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) First Lily Pecos (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Martine Lapoujade - Criterium De L'atlantique12f · Good · 9 ran 4th 40/1
15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Adela (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix Pierre & Gerard SchocronClass 4 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 10/1
21 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Padirac (FR)J: Alexandre Orain Prix Claude Cohen (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran PU 54/1
09 Jul 20 Longchamp (FR) Deeley's Double (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix des Mathurins (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)15.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 53/10
18 Jun 20 La Teste De Buch (FR) Sugar Bay (GB)J: Damien Morin Prix de la Base Aerienne 120 de Cazaux (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 28/1
16 Jun 20 Dax (FR) Deeley's Double (FR)J: Valentin Seguy Prix du Bois de Boulogne - Geny Courses (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 57/10
16 Jun 20 Dax (FR) Balkino De Maspie (FR)J: Franck Mouraret De Vita Grand Steeple-Chase de Dax (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)20.5f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 91/1
09 Jun 20 Tarbes (FR) Rockfuchias (FR)J: Damien Morin Prix Louis Ducru (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 63/1
09 Jun 20 Tarbes (FR) Sugar Bay (GB)J: Clement Merille Prix Louis Ducru (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/1
12 Dec 19 Chantilly (FR) Deeley's Double (FR)J: Damien Morin Prix de Vemars (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 17 ran 5th 47/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F Cellier's strike rate?
F Cellier has won 1 of 46 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is F Cellier in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is F Cellier's Fair A/E?
0.39, from 45 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).