Fiona Shaw
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (74 runs).
The record is strongest at Fontwell (11.1%, n=36), clear of the yard's 5.3% baseline. It is weakest at Wincanton (0% over 41 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Mr Michael Legg rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (10.5%, n=57) and on Soft going (10.3%, n=58). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 39 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 228 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 228 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2008 to 6 March 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Fiona Shaw's strike rate?
- Fiona Shaw has won 12 of 228 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Fiona Shaw do best at?
- Fontwell by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Fiona Shaw?
- Mr Michael Legg, with 74 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).
- What is Fiona Shaw's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 228 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.