J A Berry
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).
The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (7%, n=129), clear of the yard's 3.6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −153.00 to a £1 stake over 250 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robbie Moran rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.88). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.8%, n=39). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 148 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Troytown Handicap Chase at Navan (Nov 2013, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Cara Mara (IRE) — 6 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,134 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,134 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 22 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is J A Berry's strike rate?
- J A Berry has won 35 of 977 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J A Berry do best at?
- Fairyhouse by strike rate: 9 wins from 129 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for J A Berry?
- Robbie Moran, with 253 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (4.7%).
- Is J A Berry in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is J A Berry's Fair A/E?
- 0.70, from 977 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.