Skip to content
Trainer profile

J C Hayden

316 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2019 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
22–316
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=316
69 (22%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=316 · 0.84 incl. margin
−112.80
£1 level stake
n=316 at SP · −35.7%
£458k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 316 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep
The read

The record is strongest at Leopardstown (10.9%, n=46), clear of the yard's 7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.43). The yard also read well on Heavy going (12.1%, n=33) and on Good to Soft going (11.8%, n=34). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 2% over 50 runners, 5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Oratorio E.B.F Athasi Stakes at Curragh (May 2009, £55,250). The stable star of the record was Alone He Stands (IRE) — 6 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.2%−4.8
n=46 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.1%+4.1
n=9 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −3.50
When favourite
31.6%
n=19 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +8.08
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−1.0
n=133 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −27.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.3%+1.3
n=24 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 2% vs 7% · n=50
On Heavy going 12.1% vs 7% · n=33
Off a 31-60-day break 2.3% vs 7% · n=44
On Good to Soft going 11.8% vs 7% · n=34
At Leopardstown 10.9% vs 7% · n=46
Over 1m – 1m1f 10.1% vs 7% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 306 22 7.2% −102.80
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 104 10 9.6% −11.92
Good 64 3 4.7% −48.75
Good to Firm 50 1 2% −29.00
Good to Soft 34 4 11.8% +3.87
Heavy 33 4 12.1% +4.00
Standard (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 90 6 6.7% −28.75
Leopardstown 46 5 10.9% −13.67
Naas 43 4 9.3% −5.50
Dundalk (AW) 27 0 0% −27.00
Fairyhouse 13 3 23.1% +17.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Navan 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Limerick 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 8 1 12.5% −5.38
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 24 2 8.3% −9.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 7 25% 1.51 +1.70
2nd–3rd fav 39 4 10.3% 0.83 −15.00
4th–6th fav 70 7 10% 1.32 +2.50
7th+ in betting 179 4 2.2% 0.79 −102.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Harriers Call (IRE) 31 4 11 31 Oct 10
William Ashford (IRE)then John James Feane 28 3 5 23 Oct 18
Ice Bound (IRE) 23 1 3 8 Dec 10
Accalia (IRE) 21 1 7 30 Aug 18
Champion Boy (IRE)then Noel Meade 20 2 8 19 Nov 10
Alone He Stands (IRE) 18 2 5 18 Jul 09
Mutiska (IRE)from John C McConnell · then Eoin Doyle 17 0 6 10 May 12
Danehill Tapdancer (IRE) 17 1 2 21 Oct 11
Ten Joys (IRE) 16 0 0 24 Jul 19
Gee Rex (IRE)then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 15 0 2 3 Nov 19
Tookiedoo (IRE)then Kieran P Cotter 15 0 1 4 Nov 18
Emily Blake (IRE) 15 3 7 28 Jun 09
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Eoin Doyle (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·00852519104120
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom Madden
12% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.33
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Madden 38 3 7.9% +5.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
30
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£654k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Emily Blake (IRE) — Oratorio E.B.F Athasi Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · May 2009 · Group 3
£55,250
Emily Blake (IRE) — Tri Equestrian Stakes (group 3) Curragh · May 2009 · Group 3
£45,500
Alone He Stands (IRE) — Irish Pride Joe Mcgrath EBF Premier Handicap Curragh · Oct 2005
£42,315
Notable horses
Alone He Stands (IRE) Emily Blake (IRE) Harriers Call (IRE) William Ashford (IRE) Via Con Dios (IRE) Champion Boy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Art Connoisseur (IRE) 6.8% · 3–44
Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.
Atraf (GB) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Requinto (IRE) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Verglas (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Val Royal (FR) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 140.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 444 · newest first

The latest 50 of 444 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 3 November 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 19 Naas Gee Rex (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Naas Nursery Of Champions Handicap10f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 20/1
19 Oct 19 Leopardstown Gee Rex (IRE)J: Conor Hoban Tote Supporting Irish Racing Since 1930 Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 25/1
28 Sep 19 Curragh Gee Rex (IRE)J: Chris Hayes PG Duffy & Sons Citroen Maiden6f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 7/1
09 Aug 19 Curragh Gee Rex (IRE)J: W J Lee Curragh Supporting Kildare GAA Handicap8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 12/1
24 Jul 19 Naas Ten Joys (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Summer Racing & BBQ Evening Handicap (45-70)5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 13/2
18 Jul 19 Leopardstown Gee Rex (IRE)J: Shane Crosse Leopardstown Summer Sizzler Handicap7f · Good · 7 ran 6th 20/1
17 Jul 19 Fairyhouse Ten Joys (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan Fairyhouse For Fundraisers Handicap (45-65)6f · Good · 18 ran 11th 16/1
06 Jul 19 Naas Ten Joys (IRE)J: Dean Curran Dooley Insurance Apprentice Handicap (45-70)6f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
29 Jun 19 Curragh Gee Rex (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship Dash Stakes (Listed)6f · Good · 12 ran 9th 50/1
26 Jun 19 Naas Ten Joys (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Naas Town Goes Racing 6th July Handicap (45-65)6f · Good · 22 ran 9th 33/1
07 Jun 19 Curragh Ten Joys (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse TRM's 'Kurasyn' Handicap (45-70)6.5f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 15th 33/1
26 May 19 Curragh Ten Joys (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Hanlon Concrete Handicap (45-70)6f · Good To Firm · 26 ran 11th 66/1
24 May 19 Curragh Gee Rex (IRE)J: W J Lee K Club Maiden6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 11/4F
19 May 19 Naas Gee Rex (IRE)J: W J Lee Goffs Lacken Stakes (group 3)6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 50/1
06 May 19 Curragh Ten Joys (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan Curragh Training Grounds Apprentice Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran 17th 50/1
29 Apr 19 Naas Ten Joys (IRE)J: Tom Madden Paddy Power Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)8f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 25/1
04 Nov 18 Naas Tookiedoo (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Congrats To The Naas Minor Football Champions 2018 Handicap5f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 66/1
02 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Tookiedoo (IRE)J: Ben Coen Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (45-65)5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
25 Oct 18 Thurles Ten Joys (IRE)J: Tom Madden Moyne Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 20/1
24 Oct 18 Navan Tookiedoo (IRE)J: Tom Madden Navan Welcomes Owners Maiden (Plus 10)5.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J C Hayden's strike rate?
J C Hayden has won 22 of 316 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J C Hayden do best at?
Leopardstown by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is J C Hayden's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 316 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).