J Clais
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.69). New recruits from other yards win at 6% first time out (33 runs).
New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 6.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.51). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 57 runners (0% strike, −57.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 190 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 190 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2009 to 18 November 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is J Clais's strike rate?
- J Clais has won 4 of 190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J Clais do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 48 runners (2.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is J Clais's Fair A/E?
- 0.69, from 183 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.