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Trainer profile

P Costes

204 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2014 94% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–204
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=204
41 (20%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=184 · 0.80 incl. margin
−43.10
£1 level stake
n=186 at SP · −23.2%
£343k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 204 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.8%
The read

It is weakest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (0% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 8.8% (n=34, Fair A/E 2.03).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.8%+3.4
n=34 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +40.60
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.5%+5.1
n=19 · A/E 2.91 · £1 +0.60
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
10%
n=10 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −5.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 0% vs 5.4% · n=42
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.6% vs 5.4% · n=38
At Chantilly (FR) 8.1% vs 5.4% · n=37
At Saint-Cloud (FR) 3% vs 5.4% · n=33
At Deauville (FR) 7.1% vs 5.4% · n=56 · A/E 1.18
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 191 10 5.2% −38.10
Hurdle 9 0 0% −4.00
Chase 4 1 25% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 64 4 6.3% −3.00
Good 50 3 6% −4.60
Soft 50 3 6% −15.90
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −20.00
Heavy 16 1 6.3% +0.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 56 4 7.1% +10.90
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 42 0 0% −40.00
Chantilly (FR) 37 3 8.1% −6.90
Saint-Cloud (FR) 33 1 3% −6.70
Longchamp (FR) 19 1 5.3% −1.90
Auteuil (FR) 10 1 10% −2.00
Enghien (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Moulins 1 0 0% —
Fontainebleau 1 0 0% −1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 1 100% +8.50
Clairefontaine 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.57 −6.90
2nd–3rd fav 15 1 6.7% 0.56 −7.80
4th–6th fav 35 2 5.7% 0.86 −11.20
7th+ in betting 125 5 4% 1.36 −17.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Port Manech (IRE)from Robert Collet 39 2 10 22 Feb 14
Salsavana (FR)from D Windrif · then F Donne 33 1 11 2 Apr 14
Cant Catch Cathy (IRE)from Mme J Bidgood · then Y Gourraud 26 2 7 27 Jun 13
Willibr (IRE)from C Lerner · then P Monfort 13 2 5 18 Aug 12
Lorado (FR)then F Foresi 12 1 1 19 Dec 12
Dorinda (FR)from M Boutin 10 1 2 24 Jan 14
Dummy Traou Land (FR) 10 0 1 13 May 13
Tucumano (FR)then Y-M Porzier 5 0 1 25 Oct 10
Fastboy (FR)then X Leveque 5 0 1 24 Sep 10
Blue Bresil (FR)from L Larrigade 5 1 1 30 Jul 09
Citysia (FR)then J Clais 3 0 0 30 Aug 11
Triumvirat (FR)from N Minner · then N Minner 3 0 0 9 Jul 11
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from L Larrigade (3) and N Minner (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Y-M Porzier (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
100043205007011
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Johan Victoire 28 3 10.7% +32.60
Sylvain Ruis 26 2 7.7% −10.50
Fabien Lefebvre 15 2 13.3% +10.30
Theo Bachelot 15 0 0% −15.00
Alexis Badel 12 0 0% −12.00
Anthony Crastus 11 0 0% −11.00
Mathieu Tavares Da Silva 10 0 0% −10.00
Vincent Vion 10 1 10% +19.00
Eric Michel 6 0 0% −6.00
Christophe Soumillon 5 1 20% −0.90
Xavier Hondier 5 1 20% −3.00
Antoine Coutier 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£370k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Willibr (IRE) — Prix Du Bois De Boulogne (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2012
£23,500
Petelo D'Ha (FR) — Prix du Bearn (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2008
£17,647
Lorado (FR) — Prix Du Musee De La Renaissance (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2012
£12,500

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Best (USA) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.
Kingsalsa (USA) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Anabaa Blue (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,936 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.
Layman (USA) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.
Apsis (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.3% of 785 runs since 2008 (91 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 115. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 112.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 218 · newest first

The latest 50 of 218 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 July 2005 to 2 April 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Costes's strike rate?
P Costes has won 11 of 204 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Costes do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P Costes's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 184 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).