What is J T R Dreaper's strike rate?

J T R Dreaper has won 99 of 975 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J T R Dreaper do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J T R Dreaper?

A E Lynch, with 229 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (12.2%).

What is J T R Dreaper's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 975 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J T R Dreaper

975 runners in the lifetime window · 137 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2024 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

99–975

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=975

270 (28%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=975 · 0.81 incl. margin

−335.30

£1 level stake

n=975 at SP · −34.4%

£1.65m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

66.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 975 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 12.1% 31.1% when favourite A E Lynch: 12.2% from 229 New recruits: 16.7% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.7% (n=36, Fair A/E 2.18), but debutants struggle at 1.1% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.17). A E Lynch rides 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.2% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 1.8% over 56 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.41 across 81 runners (3.7% strike, −60.12 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup at Punchestown (Apr 2009, £165,000). The stable star of the record: Notre Pere (FR) — 7 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.1%+1.9

n=256 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −17.86

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.7%+6.5

n=36 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +15.60

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−9.1

n=89 · A/E 0.17 · £1 −84.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%−2.5

n=52 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −27.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.8%−6.4

n=26 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

31.1%

n=122 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −15.84

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.5%−0.7

n=252 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −70.46

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.1%−2.1

n=74 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −28.79

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mr J J Codd 31.8% vs 10.2% · n=44

With debutants 1.1% vs 10.2% · n=89

At Leopardstown 0% vs 10.2% · n=32

In NH Flat races 1.8% vs 10.2% · n=56

Off a 8-14-day break 3.7% vs 10.2% · n=81

Over 1m5f – 2m 5.7% vs 10.2% · n=300

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 470 65 13.8% −105.66

Hurdle 430 32 7.4% −164.64

NH Flat 56 1 1.8% −51.00

Flat 19 1 5.3% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 352 32 9.1% −121.25

Heavy 303 39 12.9% −52.25

Good 187 18 9.6% −78.69

Good to Soft 84 7 8.3% −50.52

Good to Firm 39 3 7.7% −22.59

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 118 11 9.3% −60.00

Navan 83 12 14.5% −9.52

Punchestown 72 7 9.7% −13.92

Down Royal 64 6 9.4% −30.24

Downpatrick 63 7 11.1% +11.50

Naas 62 4 6.5% −34.67

Limerick 48 5 10.4% −32.40

Gowran Park 47 5 10.6% −1.12

Clonmel 43 7 16.3% −7.29

Thurles 38 4 10.5% −12.07

Leopardstown 32 0 0% −32.00

Killarney 30 5 16.7% −15.15

Tramore 29 3 10.3% −8.67

Sligo 25 2 8% −15.10

Cork 23 2 8.7% −13.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 69 6 8.7% −23.79

Class 4 24 3 12.5% −15.40

Class 5 23 3 13% −15.21

Class 2 10 1 10% −4.00

Class 3 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 141 42 29.8% 1.05 −15.34

2nd–3rd fav 208 34 16.3% 1.09 −21.46

4th–6th fav 231 15 6.5% 0.92 −67.50

7th+ in betting 395 8 2% 0.73 −231.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 339 37 10.9% −91.92

1m5f – 2m 300 17 5.7% −170.48

2m5f – 3m 254 36 14.2% −47.66

Over 3m 71 8 11.3% −19.24

1m2f – 1m4f 5 1 20% +0.00

1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

6f – 7f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 77 8 10.4% −7.00

2009 83 5 6% −62.12

2010 61 4 6.6% −41.09

2011 58 7 12.1% +28.78

2012 67 11 16.4% −5.77

2013 63 3 4.8% −48.25

2014 79 8 10.1% −41.79

2015 101 12 11.9% −49.99

2016 73 9 12.3% −16.21

2017 47 8 17% −17.29

2018 32 5 15.6% −5.85

2019 31 3 9.7% −12.50

2020 47 3 6.4% −8.67

2021 52 8 15.4% −0.75

2022 54 2 3.7% −37.50

2023 47 1 2.1% −39.50

2024 3 2 66.7% +30.20

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 417 48 11.5% +7.55

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 269 13 4.8% −191.32

14-16 runners 238 21 8.8% −8.90

11-13 runners 198 17 8.6% −79.13

8-10 runners 161 21 13% −61.38

5-7 runners 100 25 25% +9.95

2-4 runners 9 2 22.2% −4.52

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.3% completed · 900 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 470 82.8% 23 12 43 0 3

Hurdle 430 92.3% 6 5 18 4 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sizing Solution (IRE) 34 4 17 26 Nov 20

Retrievethelegend (IRE) 32 4 11 22 Sep 11

Sizing Coal (IRE) 26 4 16 2 May 19

Venitien De Mai (FR) 24 3 10 12 Oct 20

Goonyella (IRE)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 23 3 10 9 Dec 16

Mr Cosmopolitan (IRE) 22 2 8 3 Apr 16

Camillas Wish (IRE)then Richard Ford 21 1 5 1 May 17

Cerca Trova (IRE)from Paul Stafford 19 4 7 8 May 18

Mullaghmurphy Blue (IRE) 18 2 7 28 Oct 21

Shake It Up (IRE)then Richard Ford 18 1 5 19 May 17

Notre Pere (FR)then Barry Potts 18 3 6 28 Dec 10

Know The Game (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 17 1 5 10 Jul 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 137 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barry Potts (2) and Henry De Bromhead (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Tom Dreaper (7) and Barry Potts (4); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA E Lynch

23% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

A E Lynch 229 28 12.2% −54.93

Keith Donoghue 156 15 9.6% −52.80

Jonathan Burke 70 7 10% −41.16

Mr J J Codd 44 14 31.8% +24.59

Mr J E Flynn 35 3 8.6% −8.00

T J Dreaper 30 2 6.7% −19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

118

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.09m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Notre Pere (FR) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2009 · Grade 1

£165,000

Notre Pere (FR) — williamhill.ie Troytown Handicap Chase (0-150) Navan · Nov 2008 · Grade B

£65,100

Notre Pere (FR) — Knight Frank Ganly Walters Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2007 · Grade 1

£65,000

Notable horses

Notre Pere (FR) Retrievethelegend (IRE) Sizing Solution (IRE) Sizing Coal (IRE) Cerca Trova (IRE) Jim (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 10.6% · 10–94

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Milan (GB) 19% · 8–42

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Califet (FR) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Flying Legend (USA) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 7.3% of 855 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,188 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,188 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 5 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Feb 24 Punchestown Lar's Lass (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien SBK Irish EBF Mares Handicap Chase22f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 28/1

29 Jan 24 Punchestown Folly Master (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Punchestown Party At Festival 2024 Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 16/5F

14 Jan 24 Punchestown Zarvero (IRE)J: Tom Harney Sky Bet Acca Freeze Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 22 ran 13th 200/1

27 Dec 23 Limerick Folly Master (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Roche's Feeds Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 16 ran 12th 12/1

26 Dec 23 Down Royal Lar's Lass (IRE)J: Mr B O'Neill Metcollect Handicap Chase (0-102)20f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 8/1

26 Dec 23 Leopardstown Doctor Glide (FR)J: Keith Donoghue Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 23 ran 10th 25/1

02 Dec 23 Fairyhouse Folly Master (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Kettles Country House Hotel Supporting Fingal Ravens GFC Raceday Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 17th 150/1

02 Dec 23 Fairyhouse Doctor Glide (FR)J: Keith Donoghue Kettles Country House Hotel Supporting Fingal Ravens GFC Raceday Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 4th 100/1

24 Nov 23 Fairyhouse Papa Barns (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 10th 10/3F

12 Nov 23 Naas Folly Master (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Cavan Developments Home Builders Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 15th 200/1

07 Nov 23 Fairyhouse Papa Barns (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien BARONERACING.COM Winter Festival Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 5/1

28 Oct 23 Galway Folly Master (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/1

27 Oct 23 Sligo Master Breffni (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Jack Lee & Patricia Lee Murphy Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 14/1

27 Oct 23 Sligo Always Giving (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Callan Tansey Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1

07 Oct 23 Fairyhouse Papa Barns (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 28/1

29 Sep 23 Gowran Park Master Breffni (IRE)J: Luke Carberry Golf At Gowran Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 12th 4/1

08 Aug 23 Roscommon Tech Talk (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Patrick Hennigan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95)25f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 6/1

10 Jul 23 Roscommon Know The Game (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Re/Max Team Earley Handicap Hurdle (80-102)15.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 9/1

31 May 23 Wexford Papa Barns (IRE)J: Ben Harvey BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)17.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 25/1

25 May 23 Limerick Tech Talk (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue CUBE Handicap Chase (0-95)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J T R Dreaper's strike rate?: J T R Dreaper has won 99 of 975 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J T R Dreaper do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J T R Dreaper?: A E Lynch, with 229 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (12.2%).
What is J T R Dreaper's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 975 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.