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Trainer profile

Ryan Chapman

47 runners in the last 5 seasons · 13 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
2–47
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=47
3 (6%)
Placed
1.09
n=47 · 0.93 incl. margin
−9.00
£1 level stake
n=47 at SP · −19.1%
£22,794
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+3.7
n=25 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 28 1 3.6% −2.00
Chase 15 1 6.7% −3.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% +2.00
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +21.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 16 1 6.3% +10.00
Exeter 13 0 0% −13.00
Taunton 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Wincanton 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 27 2 7.4% +11.00
Class 4 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 1.04 −3.00
7th+ in betting 28 1 3.6% 1.83 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.7% completed · 43 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 15 80% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 28 85.7% 0 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Blue Ribbon (GB)from Dr Richard Newland 12 0 1 28 May 25
Forrard Away (IRE)from J T R Dreaper 5 0 0 31 Jan 24
Leading Knight (IRE)from Ben Pauling 3 1 1 30 Dec 22
Comeragh Lad (IRE)from John E Kiely 3 0 0 20 May 22
Porth Mear (GB) 2 0 0 23 Apr 26
The Flaming Galah (GB) 2 0 0 7 May 25
Alberts Bay (IRE)then Jackie Du Plessis 2 0 0 10 Oct 24
Risky Whiskey (IRE)from Paul O'Flynn 2 0 0 1 Jul 22
Clouncerna (IRE)from Rebecca Menzies 2 0 0 1 Jun 22
Onomatotia (GB) 1 0 0 14 May 25
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00000003300·50
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
David Noonan 14 0 0% −14.00
Jack Stenhouse 13 1 7.7% +13.00
Beau Morgan 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Sean Houlihan 4 0 0% −4.00
Kevin Brogan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Peter Summers 2 0 0% −2.00
David Prichard 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Martin McIntyre 1 0 0% −1.00
James Best 1 0 0% −1.00
Rex Dingle 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
2
Archived wins
£27,218
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Leading Knight (IRE) — Claire Hitch 50th Birthday Handicap Chase Taunton · Dec 2022 · Class 5
£4,629
Son Of Hypnos (IRE) — Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race Newton Abbot · Aug 2026 · Class 5
£4,489

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sayif (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 829 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 299. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.9% from 101.
Morpheus (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,787 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Leading Light (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,196 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Linda's Lad (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.
Barely A Moment (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 3.1% of 129 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 86 · newest first

The latest 50 of 86 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2006 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 25/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Porth Mear (GB)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Oddschecker Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ryan Chapman's strike rate?
Ryan Chapman has won 2 of 47 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Ryan Chapman in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ryan Chapman's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 47 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).