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Trainer profile

Tom Dreaper

99 runners in the last 5 seasons · 27 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 15 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–99
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=99
13 (13%)
Placed
0.31
Fair A/E
n=99 · 0.25 incl. margin
−94.99
£1 level stake
n=99 at SP · −95.9%
£46,302
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.0
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+5.1
n=14 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −11.90
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −1.99
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.0
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2% · n=68
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2% · n=51
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2% · n=51
With claiming riders up 0% vs 2% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 68 0 0% −68.00
Chase 29 2 6.9% −24.99
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 38 1 2.6% −36.09
Heavy 26 1 3.8% −23.90
Good 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 18 1 5.6% −16.09
Fairyhouse 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% −0.90
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 0.76 −3.99
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
7th+ in betting 67 0 0% 0.00 −67.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.5% completed · 97 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 29 65.5% 1 1 8 0 0
Hurdle 68 89.7% 2 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Papa Barns (IRE)from J T R Dreaper · then Olly Murphy 11 0 4 2 Mar 25
Vallon Du Plessis (FR) 8 0 0 21 Mar 26
Folly Master (IRE)from J T R Dreaper 8 2 6 7 Mar 26
Zarushio (IRE) 7 0 0 26 Aug 26
Doctor Glide (FR)from J T R Dreaper · then Tim Vaughan 7 0 2 1 Apr 25
Question Asked (IRE) 5 0 0 2 Apr 26
Lar's Lass (IRE)from J T R Dreaper 5 0 0 9 Nov 24
Cnoc An Locha (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Apr 25
Kitty Ooru (IRE)then Martin Todhunter 4 0 0 28 Nov 24
The Declaimer (IRE)from J T R Dreaper 4 0 0 26 Aug 24
Know The Game (IRE)from J T R Dreaper · then Micky Hammond 4 0 1 2 Jun 24
Jukebox Jolene (IRE) 3 0 0 3 Sep 26
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J T R Dreaper (10); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0070000000014
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Keith Donoghue 24 2 8.3% −19.99
Patrick M O'Brien 15 0 0% −15.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 12 0 0% −12.00
Ben Harvey 12 0 0% −12.00
Donagh Meyler 9 0 0% −9.00
Alix Balfe 4 0 0% −4.00
Ivan Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Kieren Buckley 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane O'Callaghan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J C Barry 2 0 0% −2.00
Luke Carberry 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr D G Lavery 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
2
Archived wins
£46,302
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
Folly Master (IRE) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase Punchestown · Dec 2024
£8,850
Folly Master (IRE) — Leugh Beginners Chase Thurles · Mar 2024
£6,490
Notable horses
Folly Master (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mustameet (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Famous Name (GB) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (102 horses).
Kitkou (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 140 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Doctor Dino (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,176 runs since 2008 (488 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 689. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.8% from 137.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Kuroshio (AUS) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,298 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 99 · newest first

The latest 50 of 99 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 March 2024 to 6 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Aussie Warbler (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Race In Pink On October 25th Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Jukebox Jolene (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (Div II)16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 66/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Zarushio (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17f · Good · 15 ran PU 66/1
30 Jun 26 Wexford Tumuch (FR)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Duncannon Beach Handicap Chase (0-100)16f · Good · 14 ran PU 18/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Cool As A Cat (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 10th 150/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Jukebox Jolene (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 8th 25/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Zarushio (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 40/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Cool As A Cat (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Ladbrokes Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 200/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Shirleynightingale (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 80/1
18 Apr 26 Bellewstown Zarushio (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Tony Marmion Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 40/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Areema Dreamer (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 22nd 300/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Zarushio (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 16th 300/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Midfield Magic (IRE)J: James Smith Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 4th 100/1
04 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Cool As A Cat (IRE)J: Alix Balfe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran UR 80/1
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Question Asked (IRE)J: Alix Balfe KEP Italia Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 100/1
31 Mar 26 Limerick Shirleynightingale (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Ryans Cleaning Fillies Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 12/1
29 Mar 26 Downpatrick Tumuch (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Boardsmill Sires Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran PU 12/1
21 Mar 26 Navan Vallon Du Plessis (FR)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Kilberry Handicap Chase17f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 7th 66/1
08 Mar 26 Naas Vallon Du Plessis (FR)J: Conor Stone-Walsh BAR 1 Betting 'Completely Free 5 Euro Bet Online Every Day At Cheltenham' Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 7th 33/1
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Folly Master (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase16f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Dreaper's strike rate?
Tom Dreaper has won 2 of 99 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Tom Dreaper's Fair A/E?
0.31, from 99 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).