Jane Walton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).
The record is strongest at Sedgefield (14.3%, n=35), clear of the yard's 6.2% baseline. It is weakest at Ayr (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −80.75 to a £1 stake over 143 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Alistair Findlay rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.82). The yard also reads well in Chase races (10.3%, n=232) and off a 15-30-day break (10.5%, n=143). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 2% over 198 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Uptown Harry (IRE) — 5 wins from 47 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 469 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 469 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2007 to 27 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 27 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jane Walton's strike rate?
- Jane Walton has won 29 of 465 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jane Walton do best at?
- Sedgefield by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Jane Walton?
- Alistair Findlay, with 150 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.7%).
- Is Jane Walton in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jane Walton's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 465 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.