Skip to content
Trainer profile

Katja Gernreich

71 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–71
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=71
5 (7%)
Placed
0.72
n=70 · 0.60 incl. margin
−46.60
£1 level stake
n=70 at SP · −66.6%
£46,239
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
33.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%+0.8
n=28 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+4.3
n=14 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Chantilly (FR) 5.3% vs 2.8% · n=38
With a new jockey booking 1.5% vs 2.8% · n=65 · A/E 0.42
In Flat races 2.8% vs 2.8% · n=71 · A/E 0.72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 52 2 3.8% −27.60
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 38 2 5.3% −14.60
Deauville (FR) 20 0 0% −19.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Longchamp (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 19 2 10.5% 1.47 +4.40
7th+ in betting 48 0 0% 0.00 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Degas (GER)from Markus Klug 9 1 2 11 Oct 23
Le Rapide (GER) 6 0 0 20 Jun 25
Jamie's Venture (FR) 6 0 0 14 Feb 20
Aff Un Zo (GER) 4 0 0 9 Mar 25
Jolie Crazy (FR) 3 0 0 13 May 22
Bint Linngari (FR) 3 0 0 14 Sep 19
Welyka (GB) 2 0 0 17 Dec 25
Alabama Summer (FR) 2 0 0 8 Nov 25
Soraya Maxima (GER) 2 0 0 28 Dec 24
Cosmic Lady (FR)from F Guyader 2 0 0 3 Feb 23
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Guyader (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0017000000090
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Theo Bachelot 8 1 12.5% +2.40
Concetto Santangelo 4 0 0% −4.00
Mlle Sara Vermeersch 3 0 0% −3.00
Leon Wolff 3 0 0% −3.00
Corentin Berge 3 0 0% −3.00
Eddy Hardouin 3 0 0% −3.00
Delphine Santiago 2 1 50% +11.00
Mme Perrine Cheyer 2 0 0% −2.00
Alexis Pouchin 2 0 0% −2.00
Martin Seidl 2 0 0% −2.00
Antoine Hamelin 2 0 0% −2.00
Carina Fey 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
2
Archived wins
£46,239
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Degas (GER) — Prix de l'Allee Quinconce (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2023
£11,947
Asalet (GER) — Prix De L'epars Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2026
£9,100
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Brametot (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 4.6% of 195 runs since 2021 (38 horses).
Moss Vale (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,012 runs since 2011 (145 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Kallisto (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12% of 241 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Lando (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 71 · newest first

The latest 50 of 71 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 December 2009 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Katja Gernreich's strike rate?
Katja Gernreich has won 2 of 71 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Katja Gernreich do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 38 runners (5.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Katja Gernreich in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Katja Gernreich's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 70 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).