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Trainer profile

Maurice Andrew Ahern

99 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
9–99
Wins / Runs
9.1%
Strike rate
n=99
22 (22%)
Placed
1.43
n=99 · 1.12 incl. margin
+16.50
£1 level stake
n=99 at SP · +16.7%
£149k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−9.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+0.9
n=10 · A/E 2.48 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−2.8
n=48 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −28.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 3.2% vs 9.1% · n=31
With claiming riders up 6.3% vs 9.1% · n=48
With Julian Pietropaolo 6.1% vs 9.1% · n=33
On Soft going 6.5% vs 9.1% · n=31
With a new jockey booking 10.9% vs 9.1% · n=55 · A/E 2.02
In Flat races 9.3% vs 9.1% · n=97 · A/E 1.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 97 9 9.3% +18.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 31 2 6.5% +7.00
Good 29 3 10.3% +3.00
Heavy 15 3 20% +25.00
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Soft 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 20 3 15% +28.00
Cork 16 0 0% −16.00
Down Royal 10 2 20% +24.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 5 2 40% +16.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 1 25% +3.00
Ballinrobe 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.81 +5.50
4th–6th fav 20 4 20% 2.93 +35.00
7th+ in betting 60 2 3.3% 1.25 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lough Leane (IRE)from David Simcock 20 2 7 25 Sep 26
Perry Mason (GB)from Michael Wigham 13 4 7 13 Sep 26
Thyer (GB)from Marco Botti 10 1 3 18 Oct 26
Royal Alliance (FR)from George Boughey 8 0 1 26 Jun 26
Counting Coup (IRE) 6 2 2 11 Oct 26
Storm Averted (IRE)from Michael Mulvany 4 0 0 21 Sep 26
Nordic Passage (IRE)from J F Levins 3 0 0 24 Oct 25
Shoney (IRE)from W McCreery 3 0 0 30 Sep 25
Shawaamekh (GB)from J F Levins 3 0 0 23 Sep 25
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J F Levins (3) and George Boughey (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan Melia (2) and Paul W Flynn (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0·14025511052100
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
33% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.26
RiderRWSR£1
Julian Pietropaolo 33 2 6.1% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
9
Archived wins
£149k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Perry Mason (GB) — Keadeen Hotel Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2026
£29,450
Perry Mason (GB) — Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap Curragh · Mar 2026
£12,369
Thyer (GB) — Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Oct 2026
£12,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cityscape (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9% of 2,993 runs since 2008 (213 horses).
Advertise (GB) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,546 runs since 2008 (151 horses).
Soldier's Call (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,111 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 245.
Gleneagles (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,557 runs since 2008 (445 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.1% from 280.
Persian King (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 919 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 272.
Vita Venturi (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 4.4% of 90 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 99 · newest first

The latest 50 of 99 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2025 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thyer (GB)J: Leigh Roche Oran Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Maurice Andrew Ahern's strike rate?
Maurice Andrew Ahern has won 9 of 99 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Maurice Andrew Ahern in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Maurice Andrew Ahern's Fair A/E?
1.43, from 99 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).