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Trainer profile

M V Coglan

31 runners in the lifetime window · 9 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2017 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–31
Wins / Runs
3.2%
Strike rate
n=31
6 (19%)
Placed
0.63
Fair A/E
n=31 · 0.55 incl. margin
−24.50
£1 level stake
n=31 at SP · −79.0%
£3,966
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+0.2
n=29 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −22.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 30 1 3.3% −23.50
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +1.50
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Catterick 4 0 0% −4.00
Hexham 4 0 0% −4.00
Kelso 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Fakenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 24 1 4.2% −17.50
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 2.09 +2.50
4th–6th fav 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
7th+ in betting 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70% completed · 30 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 70% 1 1 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shanteen Lass (IRE)from Ferdy Murphy 7 0 1 10 Mar 10
Jupiter's Fancy (GB) 7 1 2 5 Apr 09
Nocatee (IRE)from Mrs Sarah L Dent · then C Rae 6 0 3 6 Jun 09
Fifth Column (USA)from David Thompson 5 0 0 12 Apr 10
Hurraboru (IRE)from David Thompson 2 0 0 8 Mar 17
Taylormade Boy (GB)then John Davies 1 0 0 9 Jun 17
Lethiratit (IRE)from Colin Bowe 1 0 0 4 May 17
Prince Of Silver (GB)from Andy Turnell 1 0 0 4 May 16
Millfirth (IRE) 1 0 0 30 Apr 16
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Thompson (2); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·000130······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr John Dawson 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Mr John Monk 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Christopher Dawson 4 0 0% −4.00
Henry Brooke 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Ross Wilson 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr D T Stratton 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Byrne 1 0 0% −1.00
Kyle James 1 0 0% −1.00
Harry Reed 1 0 0% −1.00
Bruce Lynn 1 0 0% −1.00
Kane Yeoman 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Serena Brotherton 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£13,353
Prize money
2006
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jupiter's Fancy (GB) — Royal Highland Show Ladies Day Novices' Hunters' Chase Perth · May 2005 · Class 6
£2,743
Jupiter's Fancy (GB) — Anderson Strtharen Hunters' Chase Musselburgh · Feb 2006 · Class 6
£1,978
Jupiter's Fancy (GB) — Going To Ground Stewards Hunters' Chase Hexham · Jun 2007 · Class 6
£1,055
Notable horses
Jupiter's Fancy (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jupiter Island (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10% of 70 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Shahanndeh (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 2.6% of 39 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Vettori (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Allied Forces (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 3.2% of 155 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Brian Boru (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11% of 4,121 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 68 · newest first

The latest 50 of 68 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 9 June 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Jun 17 Stratford Taylormade Boy (GB)J: Mr John Dawson Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Champion 'Point-To-Point' Bumper (Standard NH Flat Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 8/1
04 May 17 Sedgefield Lethiratit (IRE)J: Kane Yeoman South Durham PTP Here 28 May Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
08 Mar 17 Catterick Hurraboru (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn John Wade Skip Hire Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25f · Soft · 7 ran PU 40/1
17 Feb 17 Fakenham Hurraboru (IRE)J: Mr Ross Wilson William Bulwer Long Memorial 'Grassroots' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 66/1
04 May 16 Wetherby Prince Of Silver (GB)J: Mr Ross Wilson Follow Wetherbyraces On Twitter Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 80/1
30 Apr 16 Hexham Millfirth (IRE)J: Harry Reed Eve Aitchison Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 50/1
12 Apr 10 Sedgefield Fifth Column (USA)J: Mr D T Stratton T&S Harkers Horseboxes Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 33/1
10 Mar 10 Catterick Shanteen Lass (IRE)J: Henry Brooke John Wade Skip Hire Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25f · Good · 16 ran 9th 12/1
09 Feb 10 Market Rasen Fifth Column (USA)J: Mr John Monk Beaumontcote Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 66/1
06 Jun 09 Hexham Fifth Column (USA)J: Mr D T Stratton Filmnova Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 6th 100/1
06 Jun 09 Hexham Nocatee (IRE)J: Mr John Monk Filmnova Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 50/1
28 May 09 Wetherby Shanteen Lass (IRE)J: Mr John Monk Go Racing At York On Saturday Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 33/1
20 May 09 Sedgefield Fifth Column (USA)J: Mr John Monk Lloyds Tsb Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 100/1
15 May 09 Aintree Shanteen Lass (IRE)J: Mr John Monk Betdaq.co.uk Handicap Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 14 ran F 33/1
17 Apr 09 Sedgefield Fifth Column (USA)J: Mr John Dawson Ljj Electrical & Mechanical Contractors Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 28/1
11 Apr 09 Carlisle Nocatee (IRE)J: Henry Brooke Totesportbingo.com Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 14/1
06 Apr 09 Kelso Shanteen Lass (IRE)J: Mr Christopher Dawson Royal Caledonian Hunt Buccleuch Cup Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/1
05 Apr 09 Market Rasen Jupiter's Fancy (GB)J: Kyle James Beaumontcote Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 16/1
29 Mar 09 Kelso Nocatee (IRE)J: Henry Brooke Royal Scots Dragoon Guards Challenge Cup Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
24 Mar 09 Sedgefield Jupiter's Fancy (GB)J: Mr Christopher Dawson BHP Law Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran UR 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M V Coglan's strike rate?
M V Coglan has won 1 of 31 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M V Coglan's Fair A/E?
0.63, from 31 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).