What is Mme Stephanie Penot's strike rate?

Mme Stephanie Penot has won 19 of 248 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme Stephanie Penot do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Mme Stephanie Penot in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mme Stephanie Penot's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 248 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme Stephanie Penot

248 runners in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

19–248

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=248

66 (27%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=248 · 0.88 incl. margin

−87.80

£1 level stake

n=248 at SP · −35.4%

£406k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 248 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (12.5%, n=56), clear of the yard's 7.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.77). The yard also reads well on Soft going (14.3%, n=49) and off a 15-30-day break (11.9%, n=101). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.8% over 36 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.72 across 61 runners (4.9% strike, −22.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.3%−3.4

n=47 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −25.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−0.6

n=14 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −6.20

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.7

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−7.7

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%+9.0

n=6 · A/E 2.46 · £1 +0.20

When favourite

30.8%

n=13 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +4.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−0.6

n=28 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −11.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 14.3% vs 7.7% · n=49

Off a 15-30-day break 11.9% vs 7.7% · n=101

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 12.5% vs 7.7% · n=56

Off a 61-180-day break 2.8% vs 7.7% · n=36

With a new jockey booking 4.7% vs 7.7% · n=107

Over 6f – 7f 4.9% vs 7.7% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 110 6 5.5% −57.90

Soft 49 7 14.3% +8.50

Good to Soft 43 3 7% −20.20

Good 23 0 0% −23.00

Heavy 23 3 13% +4.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 74 6 8.1% −24.10

Chantilly (FR) 59 3 5.1% −31.90

Saint-Cloud (FR) 56 7 12.5% −2.40

Longchamp (FR) 37 2 5.4% −14.40

Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 2 0 0% −2.00

Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Amiens (FR) 1 1 100% +6.00

Le Mans (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vittel (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 8 3 37.5% +9.50

Class 2 4 1 25% +8.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.23 +4.60

2nd–3rd fav 33 5 15.2% 1.20 −2.50

4th–6th fav 74 5 6.8% 0.86 −28.90

7th+ in betting 128 5 3.9% 1.10 −61.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gold Palace (FR)from Laurent Loisel 36 4 12 4 Jul 25

Prince Aubois (FR) 25 2 8 10 Nov 26

Elvis (FR)from J Carayon 25 1 7 13 Apr 21

La Doloise (FR)from Gregoire Juillet 24 4 11 7 Nov 26

Benimaru (IRE)from S Wattel 19 2 5 4 Nov 26

Love Affair (FR)from F Dehez · then G Nakouzi 19 1 8 21 Feb 25

Wooldix (FR)from Frau Hella Sauer 14 0 4 14 Jun 20

Adlan Senora (FR) 12 2 2 14 Oct 26

Dax Otea (FR)from M Boutin 12 2 4 4 Jun 20

Restless (IRE)from S Kobayashi 11 0 0 9 Jul 20

Liking (FR)from Alexis Andrieu 10 0 0 28 Oct 26

Extravaganza (FR)from Louis Baudron 6 1 3 28 Oct 26

All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J Carayon (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1407104089171544

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJerome Moutard

15% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.77

RiderRWSR£1

Jerome Moutard 36 2 5.6% −17.00

Clement Lecoeuvre 35 3 8.6% −16.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£406k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 6 wins

Prince Aubois (FR) — Prix De La Place Morny Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 2

£25,450

Dax Otea (FR) — Prix du Grand Cabinet d'Angle (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2019

£12,613

Benimaru (IRE) — Prix du Chesnay (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2024

£12,174

Notable horses

Gold Palace (FR) La Doloise (FR) Prince Aubois (FR) Benimaru (IRE) Adlan Senora (FR) Dax Otea (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Palace Episode (USA) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 8.3% of 625 runs since 2013 (58 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.4% from 132.

Evasive (GB) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,160 runs since 2014 (167 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.4% from 219.

Della Francesca (USA) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 10% of 1,477 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 338. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16% from 100. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.3% from 160.

Motivator (GB) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 12% of 5,599 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.9% from 1,091. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,282. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 575.

Earnshaw (USA) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 9.3% of 54 runs since 2023 (10 horses).

Gleneagles (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,582 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 285.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 249 · newest first

The latest 50 of 249 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2018 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Anielska (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix de La Vallee de l'Yvette10f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 14/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Prince Aubois (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Roland Fougedoire6f · Very Soft · 16 ran 10th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) La Doloise (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix De L'operation WindsorClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Benimaru (IRE)J: Mme Camille Thelier-Mele Prix Guy Leclercq - Handicap Challenge9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Extravaganza (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De RoyeClass 3 · 11f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 6/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Liking (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Jean MenandClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) La Doloise (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix De La Foret D'ecouves9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 4/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Prince Aubois (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 28/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Adlan Senora (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Liking (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des Falaises De Craie10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 10/1

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Extravaganza (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Chesnay10f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 10/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Prince Aubois (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Qatar Prix du Festival des NationsClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 20/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Liking (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 16/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) La Doloise (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Salon Des CondeClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/2F

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Extravaganza (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (Prix Des Cerfs)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 10/1

13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Habiba (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De Ponthieu8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 6/1

07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Liking (FR)J: Pierre Bazire Prix De La ChalosseClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 18/1

06 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Agatha Senora (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Qatar Prix De Madrid Presente Par RmcClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 20/1

06 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Adlan Senora (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Qatar Prix De Madrid Presente Par RmcClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 28/1

29 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Extravaganza (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de la Critique (Prix de Saint-Helier)11f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Stephanie Penot's strike rate?: Mme Stephanie Penot has won 19 of 248 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Stephanie Penot do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mme Stephanie Penot in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Stephanie Penot's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 248 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.