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Trainer profile

Nathan Vergne

40 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–40
Wins / Runs
15%
Strike rate
n=40
16 (40%)
Placed
1.69
Fair A/E
n=40 · 1.36 incl. margin
+15.90
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · +39.8%
£226k
Prize money (window)

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−6.7
n=12 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −7.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.1%−3.9
n=9 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −4.10
Debutants · first career start
15.4%+0.4
n=13 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
22.2%+7.2
n=9 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−15.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+5.0
n=5 · A/E 3.45 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 12.1% vs 15% · n=33
With a new jockey booking 12.5% vs 15% · n=32
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 46.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 33 4 12.1% +6.00
Chase 6 2 33.3% +10.90
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 19 4 21.1% +15.90
Soft 18 2 11.1% +3.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 15 2 13.3% +6.00
Compiegne (FR) 9 1 11.1% −4.10
Clairefontaine (FR) 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 3 1 33.3% +6.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Nancy (FR) 1 1 100% +12.00
Lignieres (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Mans (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Class 2 5 1 20% +4.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 1 50% +11.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 4 36.4% 3.06 +23.90
4th–6th fav 11 2 18.2% 2.05 +10.00
7th+ in betting 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
92.3% completed · 39 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 6 83.3% 1 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 33 93.9% 1 0 0 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Serial Winner (FR) 4 0 1 5 Nov 26
Asta La Pasta (IRE)from Dan Skelton 4 1 2 8 Sep 26
Art De Rue (GB) 3 1 1 28 Oct 26
Credo (FR) 3 0 2 30 Sep 26
Flambeau Bleu (IRE) 2 0 1 29 Oct 26
Siberian Sonnet (IRE) 2 0 2 28 Oct 26
Casa Del Poeta (IRE) 2 0 1 26 Aug 26
Casa Del Poeta 2 0 1 26 Aug 26
Tipperary Sunset (GB)from Francois Nicolle 2 0 1 17 Aug 26
Creatrice De Vie (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Apr 26
Fauda (FR)from Francois Nicolle 2 1 1 28 Mar 26
Klovis Des Mottes (FR)from J Bertran De Balanda · then D Bressou 2 0 0 22 Mar 26
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Francois Nicolle (3); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·025017·0250300·
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Anthony Renard 18 3 16.7% +3.90
Joshua Bryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Leo-Paul Brechet 4 0 0% −4.00
Gauvain Faivre-Picon 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Ludovic Philipperon 2 1 50% +7.00
Lucas Zuliani 2 0 0% −2.00
J Bryan 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Nabet 1 0 0% −1.00
Angelo Zuliani 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr H C Swan 1 1 100% +11.00
Maximilien Justum 1 0 0% −1.00
Baptiste Le Clerc 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
6
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£226k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
Asta La Pasta (IRE) — Prix Des Enfoires (Gde Course De Haies - Prix Guillaume D'ornano) Clairefontaine (FR) · Aug 2026 · Listed
£39,150
Fauda (FR) — Prix Colonel de la Horie - Chall. de l'Obst. Equinaxy (Handicap Chase) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2026
£23,870
Art De Rue (GB) — Prix Lusignan Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 2
£23,459
Notable horses
Asta La Pasta (IRE) Art De Rue (GB) Fauda (FR) Knickers (FR) Invino Honnetete (FR) Submariner (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,055 runs since 2011 (707 horses).
Poet's Word (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2022 (150 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 108.
Blue Bresil (FR) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,551 runs since 2013 (464 horses).
Doctor Dino (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,229 runs since 2013 (499 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 564. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 697. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Goliath Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 15.8% of 443 runs since 2024 (123 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.9% from 169. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 23.3% from 116.
Nathaniel (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,113 runs since 2016 (641 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 40 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Nathan Vergne's 40 archived runners, from 23 February 2026 to 5 November 2026, newest first — 6 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Serial Winner (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Charles Et Georges Du Breil Handicap Chase18f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 5/1
29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Flambeau Bleu (IRE)J: Anthony Renard Prix Du Pont NeufClass 2 · 18.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 7/2
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Siberian Sonnet (IRE)J: Anthony Renard Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 8/1
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Art De Rue (GB)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 8/1
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Oops My Bad (GB)J: Maximilien Justum Prix Adolphe Besnard16f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Melodie Du Chenet (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran F 5/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Submariner (GB)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix De La Place StanislasClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 12/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Dame Imperiale (IRE)J: Joshua Bryan Prix Beaurepaire18f · Heavy · 13 ran REF 16/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Flambeau Bleu (IRE)J: Joshua Bryan Prix Maurice Calve16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 16/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Invino Honnetete (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Maurice Calve16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 8/1
06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Serial Winner (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Hipparque18f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 10/1
30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Credo (FR)J: Anthony Renard Steeple - Chase Du Debut17f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 14/1
30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Siberian Sonnet (IRE)J: Anthony Renard Prix D'aix17f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 40/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Art De Rue (GB)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Mid DancerClass 2 · 17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 8/1
12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Credo (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix KerymClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 25/1
09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Serial Winner (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Prix NuageClass 5 · 18f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 14/1
08 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Asta La Pasta (IRE)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Jean Bart18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 8th 15/2
26 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Casa Del Poeta (IRE)J: Joshua Bryan Prix Du E100 Fendt (Prix De La Risle)18f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 13/2
26 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Casa Del Poeta (IRE)J: J Bryan Prix Du E100 Fendt (Prix De La Risle)18f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 13/2
17 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Tipperary Sunset (GB)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Des Enfoires (Gde Course De Haies - Prix Guillaume D'ornano)18f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nathan Vergne's strike rate?
Nathan Vergne has won 6 of 40 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Nathan Vergne in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nathan Vergne's Fair A/E?
1.69, from 40 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).