What is Joshua Bryan's strike rate?

Joshua Bryan has won 60 of 629 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joshua Bryan do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 65 rides (13.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Joshua Bryan ride most for?

Archie Watson, with 132 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.3%).

Is Joshua Bryan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Joshua Bryan's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 626 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Joshua Bryan

629 rides in the last 5 seasons · 338 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

60–629

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=629

185 (29%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=626 · 0.81 incl. margin

−270.46

£1 level stake

n=629 at SP · −43.0%

£782k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (42 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 629 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 36.2% when favourite Archie Watson: 8.3% from 132 LTO winners: 14.3% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.83), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.97). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 7.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −177.31 to a £1 stake over 320 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Archie Watson supplies 21% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.78). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (16.4%, n=61) and on Good to Soft going (15.4%, n=52). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Cup Handicap at York (Jul 2021, £64,425). The standout partner of the record: The Defiant (GB) — 5 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−2.0

n=320 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −177.31

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+4.8

n=42 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −7.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−2.4

n=84 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −58.46

When favourite

36.2%

n=47 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −2.29

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−9.5

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−5.2

n=46 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −25.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+3.0

n=8 · A/E 3.74 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Daniel Steele 21.9% vs 9.5% · n=32

With debutants 2.5% vs 9.5% · n=79

With Georgina Nicholls 18.2% vs 9.5% · n=33

At trips under 6f 16.4% vs 9.5% · n=61

With Mark Pattinson 2.7% vs 9.5% · n=37

On Good to Soft going 15.4% vs 9.5% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 541 52 9.6% −236.01

Hurdle 58 5 8.6% −29.86

Chase 18 2 11.1% −11.59

NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 286 31 10.8% −101.70

Good 98 5 5.1% −79.36

Good to Firm 80 7 8.8% −43.30

Soft 69 4 5.8% −38.59

Good to Soft 52 8 15.4% +20.58

Heavy 38 3 7.9% −27.59

Firm 6 2 33.3% −0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 94 11 11.7% −18.00

Lingfield (AW) 65 9 13.8% −18.70

Kempton (AW) 58 6 10.3% −17.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 39 4 10.3% −21.50

Salisbury 30 4 13.3% −13.25

Chepstow 26 4 15.4% +6.00

Ffos Las 23 2 8.7% −17.09

Southwell (AW) 22 1 4.5% −18.00

Windsor 21 1 4.8% −18.80

Brighton 18 1 5.6% −14.25

Compiegne (FR) 14 1 7.1% −9.50

Auteuil (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00

Lingfield 13 0 0% −13.00

Bath 12 2 16.7% +1.25

Newbury 12 3 25% +9.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 206 20 9.7% −104.67

Class 6 187 23 12.3% −42.47

Class 4 139 11 7.9% −59.73

Class 3 32 2 6.3% −16.00

Class 2 27 1 3.7% −23.00

Class 1 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 20 38.5% 1.17 +4.71

2nd–3rd fav 145 23 15.9% 0.93 −25.17

4th–6th fav 217 16 7.4% 1.00 −54.00

7th+ in betting 215 1 0.5% 0.17 −196.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Defiant (GB) 16 5 8 9 Mar 24

Betties Bay (GB) 13 1 3 26 Oct 24

Snooze Lane (IRE) 13 4 9 24 Oct 24

Musique De Fee (IRE) 11 3 7 27 May 26

Croeso Cymraeg (GB) 10 2 4 22 Apr 24

Bobacious (GB) 9 2 7 14 Oct 24

Virtual Hug (IRE) 8 1 2 4 Nov 24

Perfect Symphony (IRE) 8 0 1 4 Jul 23

Taskheer (IRE) 8 2 3 26 Apr 23

Nubough (IRE) 8 0 2 25 Feb 23

Rainbow Sign (GB) 7 1 3 11 Feb 23

Angel's Call (IRE) 6 1 1 19 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 338 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1193066716545147

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardArchie Watson

21% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.78

TrainerRWSR£1

Archie Watson 132 11 8.3% −70.56

Andrew Balding 86 10 11.6% −47.78

Heather Main 41 6 14.6% +4.25

Mark Pattinson 37 1 2.7% −31.00

Georgina Nicholls 33 6 18.2% −8.98

Daniel Steele 32 7 21.9% +15.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

167

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.66m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 30 wins

Johnny Drama (IRE) — John Smith's Cup Handicap York · Jul 2021 · Class 2

£64,425

Shartash (IRE) — Pertemps Network Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed) Haydock · May 2024 · Listed

£28,355

Absolutely So (IRE) — China Southern Airlines Optional Claiming Handicap Sandown · Sep 2018 · Class 2

£19,407

Notable horses

The Defiant (GB) Zac Brown (IRE) Snooze Lane (IRE) Gold Souk (IRE) Musique De Fee (IRE) Piazon (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,601 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,983 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Morpheus (GB) 31.3% · 5–16

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,673 runs since 2018 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 148.

Cable Bay (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Free Eagle (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,416 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.

Zoffany (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,779 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,644 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,644 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 April 2016 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Imagination (FR)T: Mme Marine Pineda Prix Du Mont Ussy (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)18f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Whymper (GER)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Grande Course De Haies De Bordeaux19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 7/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Semper Adamas (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lidocaine De Cotte (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix ElisaClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 10/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Bonita De La Serre (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix HunoriskClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 14/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Ascencia (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Maurice D'okhuysenClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 2/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lisette D'estruval (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Francois De Chevigny23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 7/2

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Best Match (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 8/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Dame Imperiale (IRE)T: Nathan Vergne Prix Beaurepaire18f · Heavy · 13 ran REF 16/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Flambeau Bleu (IRE)T: Nathan Vergne Prix Maurice Calve16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 16/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sir Marvel (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Leognan19f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/8

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Lidocaine De Cotte (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix Mid DancerClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 18/1

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Le Gene Bleu (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix D'auteuilClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Milord De Palma (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Du Sablar17.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 7/2

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Esto Memor (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Bay Archer18f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 4/1

26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Villez19.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran F 12/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Ascencia (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Kargal17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 10/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Doctorino (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix De Gien17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/8F

17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Le Paillon19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 16/1

09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Porta Grande (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Petit Bob17f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joshua Bryan's strike rate?: Joshua Bryan has won 60 of 629 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joshua Bryan do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 65 rides (13.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Joshua Bryan ride most for?: Archie Watson, with 132 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.3%).
Is Joshua Bryan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joshua Bryan's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 626 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.