Nick Lampard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (57 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 8.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 2.88). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 5.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +8.00 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (10.1%, n=69) and over 1m5f – 2m (9.6%, n=94). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 51 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 172 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 172 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 March 2008 to 15 May 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Nick Lampard's strike rate?
- Nick Lampard has won 10 of 172 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Nick Lampard do best at?
- Wincanton by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Nick Lampard's Fair A/E?
- 1.25, from 171 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.