What is Harry Teal's strike rate?

Harry Teal has won 29 of 351 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Teal do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 rides (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Harry Teal ride most for?

Roger Teal, with 105 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).

What is Harry Teal's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 349 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Harry Teal

351 rides in the lifetime window · 174 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2020 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

29–351

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=351

86 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=349 · 0.79 incl. margin

−139.02

£1 level stake

n=351 at SP · −39.6%

£253k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (33 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 351 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Roger Teal: 6.7% from 105 LTO winners: 12.1%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.70), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.73). Roger Teal supplied 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 0.94). The rider also read well on Good to Soft going (18.3%, n=71) and in NH Flat races (15.8%, n=38). The record read poorly on Good going — 3.3% over 150 rides, 5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−0.8

n=174 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −87.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.1%+3.8

n=33 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.2%−1.1

n=69 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −40.25

When favourite

36.8%

n=19 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +0.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%−0.2

n=333 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −129.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−4.2

n=74 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −29.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.3

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Soft going 18.3% vs 8.3% · n=71

With Warren Greatrex 18.2% vs 8.3% · n=33

In NH Flat races 15.8% vs 8.3% · n=38

On Good going 3.3% vs 8.3% · n=150

Beyond 3m 15.2% vs 8.3% · n=33

In Chase races 14% vs 8.3% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 262 16 6.1% −117.65

Chase 43 6 14% −18.75

NH Flat 38 6 15.8% −0.62

Flat 8 1 12.5% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 150 5 3.3% −109.10

Good to Soft 71 13 18.3% +25.00

Soft 69 6 8.7% −19.67

Heavy 33 3 9.1% −18.75

Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Standard (AW) 10 1 10% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 34 3 8.8% −8.67

Huntingdon 29 3 10.3% −8.00

Worcester 25 2 8% +6.50

Southwell 21 2 9.5% −14.12

Uttoxeter 21 2 9.5% −8.75

Warwick 17 1 5.9% −11.00

Taunton 14 2 14.3% −4.50

Hereford 13 1 7.7% −10.38

Wincanton 13 0 0% −13.00

Plumpton 12 3 25% +4.50

Kempton 11 0 0% −11.00

Chepstow 10 1 10% +7.00

Newbury 10 1 10% +3.00

Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00

Fakenham 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 159 13 8.2% −100.52

Class 5 122 8 6.6% −35.38

Class 3 41 5 12.2% +11.50

Class 6 15 2 13.3% −6.62

Class 2 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 8 36.4% 1.31 +1.90

2nd–3rd fav 66 10 15.2% 0.88 −17.92

4th–6th fav 132 7 5.3% 0.66 −65.00

7th+ in betting 131 4 3.1% 0.93 −58.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.9% completed · 305 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 43 72.1% 2 1 9 0 0

Hurdle 262 88.2% 2 2 27 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Stonemadforspeed (IRE) 32 1 11 2 Oct 19

Agincourt Reef (IRE) 21 3 6 22 Mar 19

Howaboutnever (IRE) 13 2 2 11 Jun 18

Jonnigraig (IRE) 8 0 1 17 Nov 19

Marienstar (IRE) 8 0 4 31 Mar 18

Phar Away Island (IRE) 8 1 1 11 Apr 17

Sackett (GB) 7 1 5 10 May 18

Kilrush (IRE) 6 0 0 26 Mar 17

Hier Encore (FR) 5 2 2 26 Jan 20

Miss Yeats (IRE) 5 0 1 10 Dec 19

Elysian Prince (GB) 5 0 3 10 Jul 18

Oh Land Abloom (IRE) 5 1 2 26 Apr 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 174 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7141845017008108

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Teal

30% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Teal 105 7 6.7% −23.50

Neil King 64 5 7.8% −40.38

Warren Greatrex 33 6 18.2% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£253k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 9 wins

Keeper Hill (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Warwick · Jan 2019 · Class 2

£15,640

Howaboutnever (IRE) — Betfair Supporting Greatwood Veterans' Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Mar 2016 · Class 3

£12,996

Princeton Royale (IRE) — 20 Free Bets At totesport.com 'Confined' Handicap Chase Stratford · Apr 2018 · Class 3

£9,748

Notable horses

Agincourt Reef (IRE) Howaboutnever (IRE) Hier Encore (FR) Breaking Waves (IRE) Miss Honey Ryder (IRE) Holbrook Park (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fruits Of Love (USA) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.

Gold Well (GB) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).

Shantou (USA) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,825 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Marienbard (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 6.7% of 549 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3% from 100.

Midnight Legend (GB) 27.3% · 3–11

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Heron Island (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 351 · newest first

The latest 50 of 351 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2014 to 31 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Jan 20 Chepstow Bob Ford (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph Morecom Electrical Services Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 10/1

26 Jan 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)T: Nigel Dunger Paul Humes Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/1

25 Jan 20 Uttoxeter Comber Mill (FR)T: Alastair Ralph Le Shark Clothing Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 12/1

01 Jan 20 Cheltenham Ocean Wind (GB)T: Roger Teal EBF Stallions & Cheltenham Pony Club (Listed Standard Open NH Flat Race)Class 1 · 14f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 9/1

31 Dec 19 Warwick Bob Ford (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph Local Parking Security Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 4/1

31 Dec 19 Warwick Arans Choice (IRE)T: Roger Teal Lps British Stallion Studs Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran PU 33/1

28 Dec 19 Newbury Another Tuco (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Betway 'Introductory' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 17 ran 9th 100/1

14 Dec 19 Hereford Full Spes (FR)T: Warren Greatrex BMWi Christmas Lights 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 3/1

14 Dec 19 Hereford North Star Oscar (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Green Dragon Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/2

13 Dec 19 Bangor-on-Dee Bob Ford (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph Alfa Aggregate Products Golden Spurs Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Heavy · 4 ran 2nd 9/4

10 Dec 19 Fontwell Miss Yeats (IRE)T: Laura Mongan Visit attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 50/1

08 Dec 19 Huntingdon Little Jack (GB)T: Warren Greatrex Fitzdares Cerebral Gym Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 12/1

07 Dec 19 Chepstow Fancy A Dance (IRE)T: Oliver Signy UHY Hacker Young Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1

05 Dec 19 Wincanton Audacity (GB)T: Warren Greatrex Jockey Club Catering 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 5/1

25 Nov 19 Ludlow North Star Oscar (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Heath Farm Meats Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/10F

24 Nov 19 Uttoxeter Bob Ford (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph Barbara Peacock Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 11/4

23 Nov 19 Huntingdon North Star Oscar (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex DRC Blinds Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 3/1F

17 Nov 19 Fontwell Jonnigraig (IRE)T: Roger Teal Visit attheraces.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 13/2

16 Nov 19 Uttoxeter Elleon (FR)T: Warren Greatrex Marston's Saddle Tank Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 15/2

12 Nov 19 Huntingdon Audacity (GB)T: Warren Greatrex Integral UK 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 13.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Teal's strike rate?: Harry Teal has won 29 of 351 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Teal do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 rides (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Teal ride most for?: Roger Teal, with 105 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).
What is Harry Teal's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 349 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.