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Trainer profile

Nicole Moons

78 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–78
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=78
9 (12%)
Placed
1.55
n=78 · 1.29 incl. margin
+31.10
£1 level stake
n=78 at SP · +39.9%
£65,936
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 12.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.2%−1.9
n=31 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −27.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.29 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.1%+7.0
n=33 · A/E 3.13 · £1 +76.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 12.1% vs 5.1% · n=33
Over 6f – 7f 10% vs 5.1% · n=40
On Standard (AW) going 9.4% vs 5.1% · n=32
At Chantilly (FR) 2.2% vs 5.1% · n=45
With a new jockey booking 2.5% vs 5.1% · n=40
In Flat races 5.1% vs 5.1% · n=78 · A/E 1.55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 32 3 9.4% −9.90
Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Good 7 1 14.3% +80.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 45 1 2.2% −41.50
Deauville (AW) 18 2 11.1% +0.60
Longchamp (FR) 6 1 16.7% +81.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.29 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 3.30 +3.60
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 66 2 3% 1.54 +33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Barging Thru (GB)from Archie Watson 24 4 7 27 Oct 26
Time Signature (GB)from William Knight 11 0 2 27 Oct 25
Snoozy Sioux (IRE)from T Van Den Troost 10 0 0 10 Sep 22
Paris Affair (IRE)from Gavin Hernon 7 0 0 28 Mar 24
Piccata (FR)from T Van Den Troost 7 0 0 18 Feb 22
Tarnac (FR)from F Chappet 6 0 0 5 Sep 25
Zolia (FR)from A Baron 3 0 0 3 Nov 26
Score (IRE)from E J O'Neill 2 0 0 4 Jul 25
Tatihou (FR) 2 0 0 9 Sep 23
Black Sea (IRE)from T Van Den Troost 2 0 0 25 Sep 20
Red Master (FR)from Marc Rosseel 1 0 0 14 Dec 23
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from T Van Den Troost (3); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2000140000005025
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mme Sophie Tison 23 3 13% +74.10
Stephane Breux 10 0 0% −10.00
Ludovic Boisseau 8 0 0% −8.00
Fabien Lefebvre 6 0 0% −6.00
Ebbe Verhestraeten 6 0 0% −6.00
Marie Velon 4 1 25% +8.00
Mme Mickaelle Michel 3 0 0% −3.00
Mme Laura Grosso 2 0 0% −2.00
Benjamin Marie 2 0 0% −2.00
Jerome Moutard 2 0 0% −2.00
Cyrille Stefan 2 0 0% −2.00
Jerome Claudic 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
4
Archived wins
£65,936
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Barging Thru (GB) — Prix de Glatigny (Handicap) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2026
£11,261
Barging Thru (GB) — Prix du Funiculaire (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026
£11,261
Barging Thru (GB) — Prix d'Utah Beach (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2024
£9,565
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Profitable (IRE) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,443 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,935 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Sleeping Indian (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,715 runs since 2010 (238 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.9% from 108.
Frankel (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 18% of 7,536 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.
Sommerabend (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,192 runs since 2018 (133 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,895 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 78 · newest first

The latest 50 of 78 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 August 2020 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Zolia (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Du Hoguenet9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicole Moons's strike rate?
Nicole Moons has won 4 of 78 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicole Moons do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 45 runners (2.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Nicole Moons in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nicole Moons's Fair A/E?
1.55, from 78 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).