What is P Cottier's strike rate?

P Cottier has won 110 of 679 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P Cottier do best at?

Marseille Borely by strike rate: 8 wins from 35 runners (22.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P Cottier?

H Besnier, with 136 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (20.6%).

Is P Cottier in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P Cottier's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 675 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P Cottier

679 runners in the lifetime window · 145 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.3% of 222 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

110–679

Wins / Runs

16.2%

Strike rate

n=679

257 (38%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=675 · 0.97 incl. margin

+129.37

£1 level stake

n=678 at SP · +19.1%

£5.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18).

Deterministic profile computed from 679 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 34.5% when favourite H Besnier: 20.6% from 136 Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Marseille Borely (22.9%, n=35), clear of the yard's 16.2% baseline. It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (10.3% over 107 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 9.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.91). H Besnier rides 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (20.6% vs 16.2%, A/E 1.49) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 30 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Diane Longines at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £496,870). The stable star of the record: Horizon Dore (FR) — 8 wins from 25 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.4%−2.8

n=201 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −30.45

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.7%−3.5

n=55 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +7.90

Debutants · first career start

15.1%−1.1

n=93 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −23.87

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.8%−6.4

n=51 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −24.40

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−7.9

n=12 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −9.40

When favourite

34.5%

n=113 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −14.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%−7.5

n=23 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +13.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.3%−1.9

n=210 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +30.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tony Piccone 27.5% vs 16.2% · n=40

With Anthony Crastus 6.1% vs 16.2% · n=33

With C&D winners 9.5% vs 16.2% · n=116

At Longchamp (FR) 10.3% vs 16.2% · n=107

With first-time headgear 9.8% vs 16.2% · n=51

At Marseille Borely 22.9% vs 16.2% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 196 27 13.8% +16.41

Standard (AW) 195 35 17.9% +70.48

Good to Soft 149 28 18.8% +42.28

Heavy 72 9 12.5% +3.60

Good 62 11 17.7% +1.60

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 156 25 16% +70.50

Chantilly (FR) 114 23 20.2% +1.80

Longchamp (FR) 107 11 10.3% −21.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 90 14 15.6% +19.00

Vichy (FR) 43 7 16.3% +8.83

Marseille Borely 35 8 22.9% +33.40

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 26 1 3.8% −21.60

Lyon Parilly (FR) 18 4 22.2% −1.92

La Teste De Buch (FR) 13 5 38.5% +22.13

Salon-de-Provence 13 1 7.7% −12.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 11 2 18.2% −1.35

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 10 3 30% +33.38

Toulouse (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.60

Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 223 36 16.1% +63.68

Class 3 17 2 11.8% −11.52

Class 2 15 5 33.3% +21.00

Class 4 7 1 14.3% −1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 115 39 33.9% 1.04 −16.99

2nd–3rd fav 204 40 19.6% 1.23 +5.16

4th–6th fav 178 11 6.2% 0.74 −70.70

7th+ in betting 181 19 10.5% 2.61 +211.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ten Horns (FR) 28 3 12 4 Oct 26

Horizon Dore (FR) 25 8 17 20 Sep 26

Cambronne (FR) 20 7 10 28 Oct 26

We Ride The World (IRE)from Cedric Rossi 20 2 5 26 Sep 26

Indian Pacific (FR)from Cedric Rossi 19 4 10 12 Oct 26

Morphewan (FR)from R Le Gal 19 3 5 12 Oct 26

Tomakay (FR) 15 4 8 10 Oct 26

Game Run (FR)from M Pimbonnet · then Elias Mikhalides 15 2 8 19 Dec 24

Stolen Kiss (FR) 14 4 7 13 Sep 26

Saint Hellier (FR)from J Reynier · then C Boutin 12 3 4 22 Aug 26

Daylight (FR) 12 2 10 27 Oct 25

Belgian Prince (FR)from Cedric Rossi 12 1 4 16 Feb 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 145 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Cedric Rossi (4) and Louis Baudron (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

22118141524131416172023

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderH Besnier

20% of all rides
20.6% SR · A/E 1.49

RiderRWSR£1

H Besnier 136 28 20.6% +62.01

M Barzalona 131 25 19.1% −15.70

M Grandin 106 14 13.2% +47.50

Tony Piccone 40 11 27.5% +31.23

Anthony Crastus 33 2 6.1% +34.10

Alexis Pouchin 33 6 18.2% +9.80

Cristian Demuro 30 6 20% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

110

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.60m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 37 wins

Sparkling Plenty (FR) — Prix de Diane Longines (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£496,870

Sauterne (FR) — Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2023 · Group 1

£227,549

Trafalgar Square (FR) — Arqana Series des 3 Ans (Conditions) (3yo) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2024

£139,130

Notable horses

Horizon Dore (FR) Cambronne (FR) Sauterne (FR) Indian Pacific (FR) Tomakay (FR) Stolen Kiss (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Prince Gibraltar (FR) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 9.5% of 878 runs since 2008 (130 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 155. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.5% from 128.

Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40

Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.

Chachnak (FR) 22.9% · 8–35

Progeny have won 12.6% of 230 runs since 2008 (41 horses).

Toronado (IRE) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,877 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.6% from 197. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.4% from 143.

Kingman (GB) 33.3% · 10–30

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,510 runs since 2008 (777 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 965. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Dabirsim (FR) 28.6% · 8–28

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,151 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 144.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 679 · newest first

The latest 50 of 679 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2011 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Feel Well (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Baguenault De Puchesse8f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 2/1F

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Cambronne (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Grand Prix Du MansClass 1 · 9.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 9/2

26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Lovely Warrior (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Serena6f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 15/8F

26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Faith In You (USA)J: Hugo Besnier Prix D'ensues8.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Leia Organa (FR)J: V Dupont Prix Des Juniors12f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 7/2

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Blanc Bleu (FR)J: L Scotto Prix De La RoseraieClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Corbusier (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Du Haras De Poujux9f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 13/8F

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Joyphoria (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Longines Equita Lyon C.h.i. - Prix Rouvignac10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 1/1F

21 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Spirituelle Agua (FR)J: H Besnier Prix Jeune Generation Maiden Stakes9f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/8F

21 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Philly Bassett (IRE)J: H Besnier Prix De La Liberte Handicap5.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 5/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Reach The Sky (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix De Suffren9.5f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 8/11F

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Capeline (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Carcagny (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix De La Villa Les Abeilles9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 8/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Indian Pacific (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Louis EspanetClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/2

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Saskatoon (FR)J: Mme Sarah St Lary Leroy Prix De L'estacadeClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 5/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Faith In You (USA)J: Hugo Besnier Prix D'orange8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Morphewan (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Jacques Rossi (Prix Jules Morgan)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 11/4F

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Windflower (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Jacques Rossi (Prix Jules Morgan)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 12/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Clea Chope (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Via MilanoClass 1 · 8.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/2

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Joyphoria (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Jean Cuvelette12f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Cottier's strike rate?: P Cottier has won 110 of 679 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Cottier do best at?: Marseille Borely by strike rate: 8 wins from 35 runners (22.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Cottier?: H Besnier, with 136 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (20.6%).
Is P Cottier in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P Cottier's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 675 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.