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Trainer profile

Richard Armson

177 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 16 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–177
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=177
34 (19%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=176 · 0.69 incl. margin
−69.00
£1 level stake
n=177 at SP · −39.0%
£82,940
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
21.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.1% Philip Armson: 4.8% from 165 Claiming riders: 4.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Market Rasen (8.8%, n=34), clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. Philip Armson rides 93% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (9%, n=67) and over 2m5f – 3m (8.2%, n=49). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 52 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.1%+1.6
n=33 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +41.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+0.3
n=167 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −59.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 9% vs 4.5% · n=67
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.5% · n=52
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 4.5% · n=39
In Class 4 0% vs 4.5% · n=34
At Market Rasen 8.8% vs 4.5% · n=34
Over 2m5f – 3m 8.2% vs 4.5% · n=49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 90 2 2.2% −17.50
Chase 80 6 7.5% −44.50
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 96 3 3.1% −72.00
Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −27.50
Soft 29 3 10.3% +46.50
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 47 1 2.1% −41.50
Market Rasen 34 3 8.8% −15.50
Hexham 12 2 16.7% +58.00
Huntingdon 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Stratford 10 0 0% −10.00
Sedgefield 9 0 0% −9.00
Southwell 8 0 0% −8.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Wetherby 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00
Bangor-on-Dee 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 4 0 0% −4.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 137 8 5.8% −29.00
Class 4 34 0 0% −34.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.39 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 0.98 −2.00
4th–6th fav 63 3 4.8% 0.76 −39.00
7th+ in betting 96 1 1% 0.41 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.6% completed · 170 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 80 80% 2 1 12 0 1
Hurdle 90 81.1% 1 0 15 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mackie Dee (IRE)from John Mackie 33 2 10 2 Mar 25
Kilcaragh Boy (IRE)from Matt Sheppard 33 1 7 25 Jun 23
Scottish King (IRE) 16 3 7 24 May 26
Texard (FR)from David Pipe 13 1 2 2 Dec 25
Hurricane Vic (GB)from S Robinson 12 1 6 11 Jul 21
Alburn (GB) 11 0 0 23 Nov 21
Max O (IRE) 10 0 2 30 Dec 19
Keynote (IRE)from David C Griffiths 10 0 0 19 Jun 19
Battle Stride (USA)from Michael Bell 9 0 0 25 Oct 26
Makandy (GB)from Miss J Wormall 6 0 0 16 Jul 08
Rock On Cassie (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 5 0 0 12 Apr 26
Badbad Leroy Brown (GB)from Oliver Greenall · then Sarah Hollinshead 4 0 0 28 Sep 24
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01012955000760
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhilip Armson
93% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Philip Armson 165 8 4.8% −57.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£87,102
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Scottish King (IRE) — Holiday At Hexham Racecourse Caravan Park Novices' Handicap Chase Hexham · Mar 2026 · Class 5
£6,344
Scottish King (IRE) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Feb 2026 · Class 5
£4,758
Texard (FR) — Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Apr 2024 · Class 5
£4,489
Notable horses
Scottish King (IRE) Mackie Dee (IRE) Kilcaragh Boy (IRE) Texard (FR) Hurricane Vic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Westerner (GB) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,867 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Imperial Monarch (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,588 runs since 2019 (172 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,644 runs since 2008 (727 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10% of 6,287 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Alflora (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 208 · newest first

The latest 50 of 208 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 28/1
07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 6th 100/1
26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 150/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 125/1
15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson Jack Frost Chiller & Freezer Hire Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran F 80/1
24 May 26 Uttoxeter Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson Wrights Always Tasty Classic Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1
12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Rock On Cassie (IRE)J: Philip Armson Barry Murphy Racing Syndicate Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 80/1
31 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Rock On Cassie (IRE)J: Philip Armson Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 80/1
25 Mar 26 Hexham Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson Holiday At Hexham Racecourse Caravan Park Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 2/1F
09 Mar 26 Plumpton Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson DragonBet The Roar Before Cheltenham Dragonboosts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 2/1F
27 Feb 26 Doncaster Rock On Cassie (IRE)J: Philip Armson Virgin Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 100/1
17 Feb 26 Market Rasen Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/2
05 Feb 26 Doncaster Rock On Cassie (IRE)J: Philip Armson Virgin Bet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 125/1
25 Jan 26 Sedgefield Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson Michael & Fred Watson Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
31 Dec 25 Uttoxeter Rock On Cassie (IRE)J: Philip Armson Simply Logistics Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 80/1
28 Dec 25 Catterick Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson Sky Bet Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 11/1
05 Dec 25 Sedgefield Scottish King (IRE)J: Philip Armson BeatWright Beat The Wright Way Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 8 ran F 8/1
02 Dec 25 Southwell Texard (FR)J: Philip Armson Join Southwell Golf Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 66/1
24 Nov 25 Sedgefield Texard (FR)J: Philip Armson BeatWright Beat The Wright Way Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 20/1
15 Nov 25 Uttoxeter Battle Stride (USA)J: Philip Armson Brooklyn Pilsner Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Armson's strike rate?
Richard Armson has won 8 of 177 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Armson do best at?
Market Rasen by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Armson?
Philip Armson, with 165 runners since 2008 — 93% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (4.8%).
What is Richard Armson's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 176 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).