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Trainer profile

Richard Mitford-Slade

193 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–193
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=193
49 (25%)
Placed
0.79
n=193 · 0.68 incl. margin
−12.40
£1 level stake
n=193 at SP · −6.4%
£183k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 193 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Micheal Nolan: 9.7% from 93
The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (11.8%, n=34), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.35). Micheal Nolan rides 48% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.7% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.8%, n=78). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 3.2% over 62 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Samuel Jackson (GB) — 5 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.2%−5.1
n=46 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −25.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+5.2
n=8 · A/E 2.96 · £1 +13.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%−2.5
n=21 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +80.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.7%+0.4
n=13 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=14 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −0.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%−1.4
n=34 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −21.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 12.8% vs 7.3% · n=78
In Class 5 3.2% vs 7.3% · n=62
In Hurdle races 3.7% vs 7.3% · n=108
At Exeter 11.8% vs 7.3% · n=34
Off a break of 180+ days 3.2% vs 7.3% · n=31
In Class 4 9.8% vs 7.3% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 108 4 3.7% +24.25
Chase 78 10 12.8% −29.65
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 57 4 7% −33.00
Soft 56 5 8.9% +80.50
Good 54 4 7.4% −37.65
Heavy 23 1 4.3% −19.25
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 34 4 11.8% −10.00
Taunton 29 4 13.8% +100.50
Hereford 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Chepstow 17 1 5.9% −14.00
Bangor-on-Dee 14 2 14.3% −4.25
Ffos Las 14 1 7.1% −9.40
Newton Abbot 10 0 0% −10.00
Warwick 8 0 0% −8.00
Wincanton 8 0 0% −8.00
Lingfield 8 1 12.5% −4.75
Uttoxeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Fontwell 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 92 9 9.8% +62.00
Class 5 62 2 3.2% −51.40
Class 3 35 3 8.6% −19.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 4 23.5% 0.87 −3.25
2nd–3rd fav 45 7 15.6% 0.98 −6.65
4th–6th fav 57 2 3.5% 0.54 −29.50
7th+ in betting 74 1 1.4% 0.46 +27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.5% completed · 186 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 78 66.7% 2 1 23 0 0
Hurdle 108 87% 1 1 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lazy Sunday (GB) 28 4 13 11 Dec 25
Samuel Jackson (GB) 28 5 10 19 Mar 24
Master Tradesman (IRE) 23 0 6 31 Mar 22
Normandy Soldier (GB) 15 2 5 17 Apr 22
Apple Mack (GB) 14 0 3 5 May 21
Start Point (GB) 9 0 2 27 Apr 23
Mojito Royale (FR) 9 0 2 13 Apr 23
Babatunde (IRE) 7 0 2 27 Oct 26
Mormon (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 7 0 0 13 Dec 23
Ruby Fool (GB) 7 0 0 24 Apr 19
Fat Faced Columbo (IRE) 6 2 4 26 Feb 26
Alfie Sharp (GB) 6 0 0 12 May 24
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Philip Hobbs (2) and Richard Woollacott (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1511110000·00310
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMicheal Nolan
48% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 1.07
RiderRWSR£1
Micheal Nolan 93 9 9.7% +64.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
14
Archived wins
£183k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 3 wins
Samuel Jackson (GB) — Thank You NHS Devon National Handicap Chase Exeter · Feb 2021 · Class 3
£10,538
Samuel Jackson (GB) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed At Cheltenham Handicap Chase Taunton · Mar 2019 · Class 3
£9,357
Lazy Sunday (GB) — Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Mares' Handicap Chase Lingfield · Feb 2023 · Class 4
£8,238

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Apple Tree (FR) 6.8% · 3–44
Progeny have won 7.7% of 584 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 114.
Alflora (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Schiaparelli (GER) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,844 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Marienbard (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 6.7% of 549 runs since 2013 (54 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3% from 100.
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,131 runs since 2013 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,030 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 193 · newest first

The latest 50 of 193 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2011 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 27 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richard Mitford-Slade's strike rate?
Richard Mitford-Slade has won 14 of 193 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Mitford-Slade do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Mitford-Slade?
Micheal Nolan, with 93 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (9.7%).
Is Richard Mitford-Slade in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Mitford-Slade's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 193 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).