Richard Mitford-Slade
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).
The record is strongest at Exeter (11.8%, n=34), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.35). Micheal Nolan rides 48% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.7% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.8%, n=78). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 3.2% over 62 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Samuel Jackson (GB) — 5 wins from 28 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 193 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 193 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2011 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 27 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Richard Mitford-Slade's strike rate?
- Richard Mitford-Slade has won 14 of 193 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Mitford-Slade do best at?
- Exeter by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Richard Mitford-Slade?
- Micheal Nolan, with 93 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (9.7%).
- Is Richard Mitford-Slade in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Richard Mitford-Slade's Fair A/E?
- 0.79, from 193 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.