3:35 Doncaster
This Class 2 British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap over 1m3f197y at Doncaster on good to soft ground brings together a field of ten where the KTB Fit scores range from 65 down to 46. The race features several progressive three-year-olds stepping up in class alongside more experienced handicappers, with recent form suggesting a competitive heat. Overall the KTB numbers point to a race where solid recent performers with course and trip experience hold the edge.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is strongly likely to be on the fast side. Nochebuena and Silver Lake are both inclined to race prominently or make the running, which should ensure an honest gallop that could leave the leaders vulnerable late on. This strong pace scenario therefore poses the key question of which hold-up performers can time their effort best to pick up the pieces in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Salamanca City KTB Selection65/100
Salamanca City arrives as a useful performer in solid nick, with recent form figures of 12112 underlining his consistency. The five-year-old has placed here before, acts on good to soft ground having won twice from six starts on it, and has scored twice at today's trip. James Fanshawe's 16% strike rate at Doncaster from 507 runs provides plenty of encouragement, while Daniel Muscutt's 15% strike rate at the track from 207 rides adds a positive jockey element. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is ideally suited by the expected strong pace that should collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
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2Nochebuena59/100
Nochebuena is a fair performer who won here over today's trip on her only visit to Doncaster. She has shown consistent form this year with two wins from four runs and handles good to soft ground having won her only start on it. Ralph Beckett's 15% strike rate at the track from 415 runs is respectable though Jason Hart's 8% strike rate from 329 rides is more modest. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, she is one of the horses likely to set the strong gallop that the pace shape indicates, which could leave her vulnerable if it collapses late.
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3Ruby Wedding57/100
Ruby Wedding is a fair performer who has shown steady improvement this year and already has a win at this trip from a single attempt. Drawn in stall 1 which should help on this track, she steps up in class while the yard's solid 14% strike rate at Doncaster from 444 runs adds some confidence. Oisin Murphy's 16% strike rate at the track from 315 rides is another plus. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she fits the profile that could be favoured if the strong pace collapses in the latter stages, though she remains unproven on good to soft ground with no runs on it.
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4Room Fourteen56/100
Room Fourteen is a fair three-year-old with a solid recent record of 312113 and has already shown he handles this track by winning here on his only visit. He steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question of him, while he remains unproven on good to soft ground. James Fanshawe's 16% strike rate at Doncaster from 507 runs is a positive, though the trainer and jockey combination of Saffie Osborne shows a modest 6% strike rate from 18 runs. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is another who could benefit if the strong pace takes its toll on the leaders.
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5Golden Muse55/100
Golden Muse is a fair performer who has won two of his five starts and is two from two at this trip. He showed his best form when third over course and distance on his penultimate start before a solid win last time out. Marco Botti's 12% strike rate at Doncaster from 301 runs is fair, while David Egan's 16% strike rate from 194 rides at the track is a plus. Usually held up with medium confidence, he should be suited by the strong pace that is likely to unfold, though he remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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6Silver Lake54/100
Silver Lake is a useful performer who has won three of his last four starts and arrives in strong form. William Haggas has a solid 17% strike rate at Doncaster from 526 runs and the yard clearly thinks enough of this horse to try the longer trip, with ground a plus having won from two runs on good to soft. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is likely to be involved in ensuring the strong gallop.
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7Green Sky48/100
Green Sky is a fair sort who has been in solid form this year with three wins from his last six starts. He has already placed over course and distance on good to soft ground and looks suited by the trip having won two of his five attempts at it, though the yard's modest 5% strike rate at Doncaster from 149 runs is a negative. Usually held up, he could be suited by the strong pace.
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8Thatwilldoso48/100
Thatwilldoso is a fair performer who has been in decent form this year with two wins from his last four starts. He steps up in trip today having already won over this distance in the past, though he is unproven on good to soft ground and makes his first visit to Doncaster. The trainer has only had one runner here so the record is too small a sample to judge.
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9Aequitas48/100
Aequitas is a fair horse who showed useful promise when winning his first two starts before two lesser efforts. He has already won once at today's trip though he steps back up in distance from 1m2f, and the lightly-raced profile means his effectiveness on good to soft ground remains unknown. The yard's modest 9% strike-rate at Doncaster from 812 runs is a negative.
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10Bint Al Daar46/100
Bint Al Daar is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor efforts. She has placed once on good to soft but is stepping up in trip today having failed to win in four previous tries at this distance, though the trainer has a solid 25% strike rate here from a small sample of eight runs.
KTB verdict
Salamanca City stands out as the KTB Selection. A useful performer in solid nick with recent form of 12112, he has placed here before, acts on good to soft ground and has won twice at today's trip, while the yard's 16% strike rate at Doncaster from a big sample gives plenty of encouragement. Usually held up, he is perfectly positioned to capitalise if the strong pace collapses late. His main dangers are likely to be Nochebuena, who won here over the trip on her only visit, and the progressive Ruby Wedding, though both step up in class.
KTB Selection Salamanca City
This is the narrative read of the 3:35 Doncaster. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Doncaster racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Doncaster results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Nochebuena and Silver Lake both tend to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has Salamanca City recorded at this trip?
Salamanca City has won twice at today's trip.
What is James Fanshawe's strike rate at Doncaster?
James Fanshawe has a 16% strike rate at Doncaster from 507 runs.
Which runner has already won over course and distance?
Nochebuena won here over today's trip on her only visit to the track.
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time?
Room Fourteen is stepping up in trip today for the first time.
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