4:25 Worcester
The 4:25 at Worcester is a Class 5 conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle over 2m on good ground with a field of ten. A genuinely-run race is anticipated, with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several prominent types in what should prove a fair test. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, headed by a pair on 61, underlining a competitive heat where course form, trip suitability and trainer trends will carry significant weight.
How the race shapes up
With a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, the pace shape points to a genuinely-run, fair test. Castle Quarter is the one most inclined to make the running, with Lucky Sevens and Douglas Dc expected to race prominently and apply pressure. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or whether the held-up brigade, including the selection Network Rgb, can time their late efforts to best effect off what should be an even gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Network Rgb KTB Selection61/100
Network Rgb is a useful performer who won here over this trip on good ground in May and has a solid recent record overall. The yard has a strong 22% strike-rate at Worcester from a big sample yet the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 12 rides at the track. Lightly-raced on this surface but the one win from two runs is a plus. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and that run-style should be well suited if the race develops as anticipated with plenty of pace on. His recent form figures of 744-81 underline his competitiveness at this level, and returning to the scene of his most recent success makes him the one to beat.
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2Lucky Sevens61/100
Lucky Sevens is a useful performer who arrives in decent form having finished second last time out. He steps up in class today and also steps up in trip, though he has already won once over this distance from three attempts. The switch to Worcester is an unknown, yet the trainer has a solid 19% strike rate here while the jockey sits at 13%. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, his prominent run-style could see him involved in the early battle if Castle Quarter goes forward. With only two starts to his name this season and placed on his sole run on good ground, he remains an interesting contender.
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3Douglas Dc60/100
Douglas Dc is a useful performer who has shown up well around here with two seconds and a third from five visits. He stays this trip and has placed form on good ground, though he has never managed to get his head in front. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Worcester, with the yard on 7% and the rider on 9%. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, he is likely to be prominent in a race where several will want to be handy. His recent form of 34270- shows consistent placed efforts without a win, and stepping up in class adds to the task.
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4Al Mootamarid59/100
Al Mootamarid is a useful performer who has been placed on both previous visits to Worcester and drops back to a trip he has won over. He has been consistent enough this year without quite landing a blow and the good ground has produced a win and four places from his 14 starts on it. Jockey Toby McCain-Mitchell holds a solid 22% strike rate here from a small sample. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his run-style fits the shape of a race that should have plenty of pace to come off. Dropping in class is another positive as he bids to turn his placed form into a win.
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5Mojo Ego56/100
Mojo Ego is a useful performer with a solid recent record that includes three wins in the last six starts. He has already won over course and distance, and his three wins from 11 starts on good ground suggest the conditions will suit. The drop back to 2m from his latest run looks a sensible move given his three wins at this trip. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will look to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a genuinely-run contest. The trainer and jockey combination has produced a 19% strike rate together, though the jockey's record at Worcester is modest.
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6Castle Quarter51/100
Castle Quarter is a fair performer who has shown bits of form here, finishing second on his latest visit to Worcester. He has a win over today's trip on his CV but his record on good ground is modest with just one success from 15 starts. The trainer has a solid 14% strike-rate at the track from a big sample, and his front-running style could see him set the pace in a race that looks genuinely-run.
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7Granny B49/100
Granny B is a modest performer with 35 runs on the clock and a recent string of modest efforts. She has shown some competitiveness on good ground and at this trip but remains winless in both. The yard has no prior Worcester runners while Maggs has an above-average 18% strike rate here from a small sample. Usually held up, she will need to improve on her recent form figures of 3-P577 to feature.
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8T Or Coffey49/100
T Or Coffey is a useful performer who has won at this trip in the past and showed some spark when placed on good ground. Dropping back from 2m2½f looks a positive move but recent efforts have been modest and the Worcester record is only a sixth on the one visit. Trainer and jockey both operate at modest strike rates here.
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9Peter's Last Deal44/100
Peter's Last Deal is a useful performer who has been below form on his last two starts and was well held when sixth here over further last time. Dropping back to 2m looks a positive as he has placed at the trip before without winning. The yard and jockey both have modest strike rates at Worcester.
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10Connemara Joe40/100
Connemara Joe is a fair performer who has failed to place in five starts this year and showed ordinary form when fifth and eighth over this course. He drops back to 2m today having achieved little at the trip in four previous attempts. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at Worcester is another negative.
KTB verdict
Network Rgb looks the strongest candidate in a race where several hold claims. His course-and-distance win on good ground in May, combined with a solid recent record, gives him a clear edge, particularly as the Olly Murphy yard continues in excellent form at Worcester. The selection's held-up style should be ideally suited if the prominent runners go hard early. Lucky Sevens and Douglas Dc, both prominent types with solid recent efforts, represent the main dangers, while Al Mootamarid and Mojo Ego cannot be dismissed given their course form and trip suitability.
KTB Selection Network Rgb
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:09 UTC, 25 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Network Rgb | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Lucky Sevens | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Douglas Dc | 9/2 | William Hill |
| Al Mootamarid | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Mojo Ego | 3/1 | William Hill |
| Castle Quarter | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Granny B | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| T Or Coffey | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Peter's Last Deal | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Connemara Joe | 50/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:25 Worcester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Worcester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Worcester results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over the course and distance on good ground?
Network Rgb won here over this trip on good ground in May.
How does the race's pace shape influence the held-up runners?
A front-runner is likely to be pressed by several handy types in a genuinely-run, fair test, which should suit those held up and producing their effort late.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Worcester for the yard of the selection?
Olly Murphy has a 22% strike rate at Worcester from 157 runs.
Which runner has the best recent win record at this trip?
Mojo Ego has three wins at this trip and three wins in his last six starts overall.
Who is most likely to set the pace?
Castle Quarter tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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